NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Bryce Young QB

CAR vs PHI · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

10.5 Rush Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 20 30%6/20 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 4.8
Graph avg: 10.9
Graph median: 7.0-1–49
Over the close: 16%3/19

2026 per game

Pass Yds317.0▲+124.4

Att40.5▲+10.0

Cmp%62.3%▼-0.4

Pass TD2.2▲+0.8

INT0.5▼-0.2

Rush Yds4.8▼-9.4

Snaps68.8▲+8.1

Snap %96.0%▼-0.9

10.5

2025

2

Sep 14
8

Sep 21
3

Sep 28
1

Oct 05
5

Oct 12
10

Oct 19
9

Nov 02
6

Nov 09
-1

Nov 16
15

Nov 24
23

Nov 30
49

Dec 14
20

Dec 21
27

Dec 28
-1

Jan 03
24

Jan 10
2026

10

Sep 13
6

Sep 20
0

Sep 27
3

Oct 04
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 10.5

Home 53% 9/17 · avg 17.0
Away 33% 6/18 · avg 12.2
vs PHI 100% 1/1 · avg 29.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 0.5 85% 17/20
O 5.5 60% 12/20
O 10.5 Today 30% 6/20
O 15.5 25% 5/20
O 20.5 20% 4/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs PHI

What PHI allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass Yds209.9#24
Yds/Att6.7#22
Cmp%61.5%#26
Pass TD0.9#30
Pass Att31.4#21

QBs vs PHI · 2026

Each main QB who faced PHI this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-9.3

Avg diff %+87%

Beat their average50% (2/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Trevor Lawrence	25	8.5	+194%
Oct 04	Matthew Stafford	10	2.8	+264%
Sep 20	Cam Ward	7	13.0	-46%
Sep 13	Jayden Daniels	31	86.0	-64%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CAR offense

CAR offense: Share of CAR pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%9.2 yds	4%16.7 yds	6%17.1 yds
Short	33%5.0 yds	15%8.5 yds	34%5.1 yds

Share of CAR pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

PHI defense

PHI defense: Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	4%10.4 yds#15	3%21.6 yds#3	7%11.8 yds#14
Short	33%5.7 yds#17	20%6.3 yds#22	32%5.2 yds#23

Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%9.2 yds	4%16.7 yds	7%17.1 yds
Short	33%5.1 yds	15%8.5 yds	34%5.1 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Each pass-catcher’s share of CAR targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Tetairoa McMillan WR	4	9.8	39	26.9%
2	Jalen Coker WR	3	7.3	22	21.4%
3	Darren Waller TE	4	4.8	19	12.4%
4	Tommy Tremble TE	4	3.8	15	10.2%
5	Xavier Legette WR	2	3.0	6	9.2%
6	John Metchie III WR	3	3.3	10	8.2%
7	Chuba Hubbard RB	4	2.8	11	7.4%
8	Brycen Tremayne WR	4	2.2	9	5.5%
9	Mitchell Evans TE	4	1.8	7	4.7%
10	Jonathon Brooks RB	2	1.5	3	4.5%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 10.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	vs DET	3	Under	12.5	75 (100%)
2026-09-27	3	@ CLE	0	Under	13.5	77 (100%)
2026-09-20	2	@ ATL	6	Under	13.5	62 (94%)
2026-09-13	1	vs CHI	10	Under	13.5	61 (90%)
2026-01-10	19 (P)	vs LA	24	Over	24.5	67 (100%)
2026-01-03	18	@ TB	-1	Under	16.5	51 (100%)
2025-12-28	17	vs SEA	27	Over	14.5	53 (100%)
2025-12-21	16	vs TB	20	Over	21.5	54 (100%)
2025-12-14	15	@ NO	49	Over	7.5	57 (100%)
2025-11-30	13	vs LA	23	Over	30.5	64 (100%)
2025-11-24	12	@ SF	15	Over	6.5	46 (100%)
2025-11-16	11	@ ATL	-1	Under	9.5	80 (100%)
2025-11-09	10	vs NO	6	Under	6.5	53 (100%)
2025-11-02	9	@ GB	9	Under	—	58 (100%)
2025-10-19	7	@ NYJ	10	Under	10.5	49 (69%)
2025-10-12	6	vs DAL	5	Under	10.5	67 (100%)
2025-10-05	5	vs MIA	1	Under	13.5	70 (100%)
2025-09-28	4	@ NE	3	Under	6.5	56 (81%)
2025-09-21	3	vs ATL	8	Under	10.5	57 (98%)
2025-09-14	2	@ ARI	2	Under	15.5	85 (100%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 10.5Underdog 10.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 15m ago.