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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Chase Brown RB

CIN vs MIA ·

67.5 Rush Yds O -114U -110
Hit rate · Last 5 40%2/5 Odds imply 50.4% Over
Season avg
51.8
Graph avg
55.8
Graph median
61.010–80
Over the close
40%2/5
2026 per game
Carries14.5â–²+0.9
Rush Yds51.8â–¼-8.2
Rush TD0.2â–¼-0.1
Targets6.0â–²+0.8
Rec5.2â–²+1.2
Rec Yds25.8+0.0
Snaps47.0â–²+3.6
Snap %72.8%â–²+6.2
Chase Brown rushing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 67.5.
  1. 2025
    72
  2. 2026
    56
  3. 80
  4. 61
  5. 10
  6. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 67.5

  • Home 42% 8/19 · avg 62.6
  • Away 33% 6/18 · avg 57.0
  • vs MIA 0% 0/1 · avg 66.0

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

  • O 47.5 80% 4/5
  • O 57.5 60% 3/5
  • O 67.5 Today 40% 2/5
  • O 77.5 20% 1/5
  • O 87.5 0% 0/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs MIA

What MIA allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush YdsYds/CarryRush TDTargetsRec Yds
  • Rush Yds98.0#14
  • Yds/Carry4.3#18
  • Rush TD1.0#7
  • Targets5.7#10
  • Rec Yds36.8#8

RBs vs MIA · 2026

Each main RB who faced MIA this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-13.3
Avg diff %+2%
Beat their average50% (2/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Aaron Jones9467.7+39%
Sep 27 Kenneth Walker III70155.7-55%
Sep 20 Christian McCaffrey2365.0-65%
Sep 13 Ashton Jeanty10254.0+89%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CIN offense

CIN offense: Share of CIN pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep4%13.4 yds3%14.9 yds7%11.7 yds
Short32%5.5 yds20%8.2 yds34%6.2 yds

Share of CIN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

MIA defense

MIA defense: Throws MIA faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%12.1 yds#114%14.5 yds#198%11.2 yds#14
Short29%6.5 yds#615%8.6 yds#537%6.3 yds#6

Throws MIA faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep0% 0% 2%0.0 yds
Short44%3.7 yds16%9.3 yds38%5.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · CIN 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of CIN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Tee Higgins WR49.83924.8%
2Ja'Marr Chase WR47.02819.7%
3Chase Brown RB46.02415.0%
4Mitchell Tinsley WR17.0713.2%
5Mike Gesicki TE35.01512.7%
6Erick All TE13.039.7%
7Dohnte Meyers WR44.0169.2%
8Drew Sample TE22.557.1%
9Andrei Iosivas WR22.046.0%
10Samaje Perine RB42.085.5%

Game log · 5 games

DateWkOppRush Ydsvs 67.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs JAX10Under58.560 (79%)
2026-09-273@ PIT61Under63.540 (70%)
2026-09-202@ HOU80Over53.542 (70%)
2026-09-131vs TB56Under56.546 (72%)
2026-01-0418vs CLE72Over64.538 (56%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 67.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 11m ago.