NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Bhayshul Tuten RB

JAX vs PHI · Sun Oct 11 · 9:30 AM ET

65.5 Rush Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 20 20%4/20 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 69.2
Graph avg: 31.8
Graph median: 21.55–74
Over the close: 37%7/19

2026 per game

Carries15.0▲+9.6

Rush Yds69.2▲+46.9

Rush TD0.5▲+0.2

Targets1.8▲+0.9

Rec1.8▲+1.1

Rec Yds13.5▲+8.6

Snaps31.0▲+16.6

Snap %51.7%▲+30.1

2025

11

Sep 07
42

Sep 14
21

Sep 21
14

Sep 28
6

Oct 06
14

Oct 12
22

Oct 19
29

Nov 02
5

Nov 09
74

Nov 16
17

Nov 23
17

Nov 30
5

Dec 07
7

Dec 14
23

Jan 04
51

Jan 11
2026

66

Sep 13
65

Sep 20
73

Sep 27
73

Oct 04
?

Oct 11

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 65.5

Home 25% 3/12 · avg 31.1
Away 12% 1/8 · avg 32.8
vs PHI No games

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 45.5 30% 6/20
O 55.5 25% 5/20
O 65.5 Today 20% 4/20
O 75.5 0% 0/20
O 85.5 0% 0/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs PHI

What PHI allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush Yds89.3#22
Yds/Carry3.8#26
Rush TD0.6#19
Targets6.3#7
Rec Yds39.0#5

RBs vs PHI · 2026

Each main RB who faced PHI this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-15.8

Avg diff %-20%

Beat their average50% (2/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	Kyren Williams	80	71.3	+12%
Sep 28	Kyle Monangai	31	97.7	-68%
Sep 20	Tony Pollard	64	52.3	+22%
Sep 13	Rachaad White	22	39.0	-44%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

JAX offense

JAX offense: Share of JAX pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	12%10.7 yds	5%16.9 yds	8%11.0 yds
Short	32%6.5 yds	16%6.2 yds	28%7.6 yds

Share of JAX pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

PHI defense

PHI defense: Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	4%8.9 yds#22	4%19.6 yds#5	8%10.2 yds#20
Short	32%5.8 yds#16	19%6.0 yds#24	34%4.6 yds#28

Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	50%7.9 yds	25%4.8 yds	25%1.5 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of JAX targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Parker Washington WR	4	6.5	26	25.7%
2	Brenton Strange TE	4	4.5	18	18.7%
3	Jakobi Meyers WR	4	3.8	15	15.0%
4	Brian Thomas Jr. WR	4	3.5	14	13.8%
5	Bhayshul Tuten RB	4	1.8	7	7.0%
6	Josh Cameron WR	4	1.5	6	6.4%
7	Nate Boerkircher TE	3	1.3	4	5.7%
8	LeQuint Allen Jr. RB	3	1.0	3	3.7%
9	Ameer Abdullah RB	4	0.8	3	3.0%
10	Quintin Morris TE	3	0.7	2	2.8%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 65.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	@ CIN	73	Over	57.5	36 (59%)
2026-09-27	3	vs NE	73	Over	50.5	30 (48%)
2026-09-20	2	@ DEN	65	Under	48.5	30 (51%)
2026-09-13	1	vs CLE	66	Over	44.5	28 (49%)
2026-01-11	19 (P)	vs BUF	51	Under	51.5	16 (29%)
2026-01-04	18	vs TEN	23	Under	25.5	16 (26%)
2025-12-14	15	vs NYJ	7	Under	25.5	11 (18%)
2025-12-07	14	vs IND	5	Under	25.5	2 (3%)
2025-11-30	13	@ TEN	17	Under	30.5	18 (29%)
2025-11-23	12	@ ARI	17	Under	20.5	13 (21%)
2025-11-16	11	vs LAC	74	Over	80.5	23 (32%)
2025-11-09	10	@ HOU	5	Under	19.5	17 (27%)
2025-11-02	9	@ LV	29	Under	15.5	20 (25%)
2025-10-19	7	vs LA	22	Under	5.5	22 (29%)
2025-10-12	6	vs SEA	14	Under	14.5	11 (14%)
2025-10-06	5	vs KC	6	Under	6.5	12 (21%)
2025-09-28	4	@ SF	14	Under	15.5	16 (24%)
2025-09-21	3	vs HOU	21	Under	25.5	12 (17%)
2025-09-14	2	@ CIN	42	Under	37.5	18 (25%)
2025-09-07	1	vs CAR	11	Under	—	4 (6%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 65.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 11m ago.