NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Rachaad White RB

WAS vs NYG · Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

23.5 Rush Yds O -115U -110

Hit rate · All 64%23/36 Odds imply 50.5% Over

Season avg: 33.3
Graph avg: 35.7
Graph median: 35.01–90
Over the close: 40%8/20

2026 per game

Carries7.3▼-0.4

Rush Yds33.3▼-0.3

Rush TD0.0▼-0.2

Targets3.0▲+0.4

Rec3.0▲+0.6

Rec Yds17.0▲+4.2

Snaps32.0▼-1.8

Snap %45.3%▼-5.7

2024

31

Sep 08
18

Sep 15
17

Sep 22
49

Sep 29
72

Oct 03
40

Oct 21
29

Oct 27
19

Nov 04
31

Nov 10
37

Nov 24
76

Dec 01
90

Dec 08
64

Dec 15
10

Dec 22
30

Dec 29
1

Jan 12
2025

14

Sep 07
65

Sep 15
12

Sep 21
17

Sep 28
41

Oct 05
65

Oct 12
38

Oct 20
35

Oct 26
38

Nov 09
51

Nov 16
38

Nov 23
7

Nov 30
53

Dec 07
20

Dec 11
45

Dec 21
10

Dec 28
23

Jan 03
2026

22

Sep 13
43

Sep 20
35

Sep 27
?

Oct 11

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 23.5

Home 61% 11/18 · avg 32.7
Away 67% 12/18 · avg 38.8
vs NYG 100% 1/1 · avg 37.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 13.5 86% 31/36
O 18.5 75% 27/36
O 23.5 Today 64% 23/36
O 28.5 64% 23/36
O 33.5 53% 19/36

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs NYG

What NYG allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush Yds110.2#8
Yds/Carry5.1#1
Rush TD0.7#14
Targets4.8#23
Rec Yds26.6#23

RBs vs NYG · 2026

Each main RB who faced NYG this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+8.1

Avg diff %+15%

Beat their average75% (3/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	Jeremiyah Love	63	53.3	+18%
Sep 27	Tony Pollard	74	49.0	+51%
Sep 21	Kyren Williams	85	69.7	+22%
Sep 13	Javonte Williams	41	58.8	-30%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

WAS offense

WAS offense: Share of WAS pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%13.0 yds	4%13.5 yds	12%5.9 yds
Short	30%5.2 yds	14%5.8 yds	33%5.4 yds

Share of WAS pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NYG defense

NYG defense: Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%8.2 yds#25	3%15.8 yds#17	8%10.5 yds#18
Short	30%5.8 yds#15	16%7.6 yds#12	35%5.8 yds#11

Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	41%7.4 yds	18%6.8 yds	41%3.4 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of WAS targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Stefon Diggs WR	4	7.8	31	24.3%
2	Terry McLaurin WR	3	7.3	22	23.4%
3	Antonio Williams WR	4	4.8	19	14.5%
4	Chig Okonkwo TE	2	3.5	7	10.7%
5	Dyami Brown WR	4	3.2	13	9.7%
6	Rachaad White RB	3	3.0	9	9.3%
7	John Bates TE	2	2.0	4	6.8%
8	Treylon Burks WR	3	2.0	6	6.0%
9	Austin Ekeler RB	1	2.0	2	5.6%
10	Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB	4	1.8	7	5.2%

Game log · 36 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 23.5	Close	Snaps
2026-09-27	3	vs SEA	35	Over	19.5	30 (43%)
2026-09-20	2	@ DAL	43	Over	21.5	37 (52%)
2026-09-13	1	@ PHI	22	Under	22.5	29 (41%)
2026-01-03	18	vs CAR	23	Under	15.5	22 (33%)
2025-12-28	17	@ MIA	10	Under	10.5	32 (48%)
2025-12-21	16	@ CAR	45	Over	45.5	25 (39%)
2025-12-11	15	vs ATL	20	Under	18.5	29 (42%)
2025-12-07	14	vs NO	53	Over	12.5	36 (49%)
2025-11-30	13	vs ARI	7	Under	7.5	23 (38%)
2025-11-23	12	@ LA	38	Over	25.5	42 (60%)
2025-11-16	11	@ BUF	51	Over	60.5	42 (60%)
2025-11-09	10	vs NE	38	Over	35.5	50 (72%)
2025-10-26	8	@ NO	35	Over	62.5	32 (55%)
2025-10-20	7	@ DET	38	Over	49.5	62 (90%)
2025-10-12	6	vs SF	65	Over	65.5	41 (77%)
2025-10-05	5	@ SEA	41	Over	49.5	49 (80%)
2025-09-28	4	vs PHI	17	Under	10.5	30 (42%)
2025-09-21	3	vs NYJ	12	Under	15.5	20 (28%)
2025-09-15	2	@ HOU	65	Over	70.5	25 (31%)
2025-09-07	1	@ ATL	14	Under	21.5	14 (24%)
2025-01-12	19 (P)	vs WAS	1	Under	—	18 (37%)
2024-12-29	17	vs CAR	30	Over	—	28 (36%)
2024-12-22	16	@ DAL	10	Under	—	36 (50%)
2024-12-15	15	@ LAC	64	Over	—	37 (51%)
2024-12-08	14	vs LV	90	Over	—	47 (76%)
2024-12-01	13	@ CAR	76	Over	—	42 (53%)
2024-11-24	12	@ NYG	37	Over	—	32 (49%)
2024-11-10	10	vs SF	31	Over	—	37 (61%)
2024-11-04	9	@ KC	19	Under	—	34 (62%)
2024-10-27	8	vs ATL	29	Over	—	41 (56%)
2024-10-21	7	vs BAL	40	Over	—	39 (48%)
2024-10-03	5	@ ATL	72	Over	—	34 (64%)
2024-09-29	4	vs PHI	49	Over	—	45 (58%)
2024-09-22	3	vs DEN	17	Under	—	42 (74%)
2024-09-15	2	@ DET	18	Under	—	34 (71%)
2024-09-08	1	vs WAS	31	Over	—	45 (70%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 23.5Underdog 24.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 10m ago.