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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Justice Hill RB

BAL vs ATL ·

11.5 Rush Yds O -115U -109
Hit rate · All 45%14/31 Odds imply 50.6% Over
Season avg
15.0
Graph avg
14.3
Graph median
7.0-14–76
Over the close
30%3/10
2026 per game
Carries3.5â–²+1.7
Rush Yds15.0â–²+5.7
Rush TD0.0â–¼-0.2
Targets1.5â–¼-1.2
Rec1.2â–¼-0.9
Rec Yds11.0â–¼-5.9
Snaps25.8â–²+3.9
Snap %41.0%â–²+3.9
Justice Hill rushing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 11.5.
  1. 2024
    3
  2. 22
  3. 33
  4. 18
  5. 17
  6. 2
  7. 4
  8. 5
  9. 15
  10. -2
  11. 13
  12. 55
  13. 6
  14. 7
  15. 30
  16. 12
  17. 50
  18. 2025
    -14
  19. 7
  20. 0
  21. 76
  22. 3
  23. 16
  24. 2
  25. 2
  26. 1
  27. 0
  28. 2026
    18
  29. 6
  30. 33
  31. 3
  32. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 11.5

  • Home 38% 6/16 · avg 8.8
  • Away 53% 8/15 · avg 20.2
  • vs ATL No games

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 1.5 84% 26/31
  • O 6.5 52% 16/31
  • O 11.5 Today 45% 14/31
  • O 16.5 32% 10/31
  • O 21.5 23% 7/31

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs ATL

What ATL allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush YdsYds/CarryRush TDTargetsRec Yds
  • Rush Yds74.0#28
  • Yds/Carry4.0#21
  • Rush TD0.4#28
  • Targets5.7#11
  • Rec Yds23.5#30

RBs vs ATL · 2026

Each main RB who faced ATL this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-23.5
Avg diff %-43%
Beat their average0% (0/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 05 Alvin Kamara2325.5-10%
Sep 24 Kaleb Johnson624.7-76%
Sep 20 Chuba Hubbard5384.3-37%
Sep 13 Jaylen Warren4687.7-48%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

BAL offense

BAL offense: Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%20.4 yds4%11.0 yds8%12.3 yds
Short26%6.9 yds25%10.6 yds29%5.2 yds

Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

ATL defense

ATL defense: Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep11%9.8 yds#172%18.7 yds#710%10.7 yds#16
Short31%6.0 yds#1314%5.7 yds#2631%4.6 yds#31

Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep0% 0% 0% 
Short36%6.7 yds26%7.0 yds39%6.7 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · BAL 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of BAL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Zay Flowers WR37.32229.8%
2Mark Andrews TE46.02423.7%
3Rashod Bateman WR43.81514.3%
4Ja'Kobi Lane WR13.0312.5%
5Chris Moore WR32.067.9%
6Matthew Hibner TE31.757.0%
7Elijah Sarratt WR12.026.9%
8Derrick Henry RB41.876.6%
9Devontez Walker WR31.756.3%
10Justice Hill RB41.565.4%

Game log · 31 games

DateWkOppRush Ydsvs 11.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs TEN3Under16.524 (38%)
2026-09-273@ DAL33Over13.521 (33%)
2026-09-202vs NO6Under13.527 (47%)
2026-09-131@ IND18Over8.531 (46%)
2025-11-2312vs NYJ0Under—16 (25%)
2025-11-0910@ MIN1Under—19 (27%)
2025-10-309@ MIA2Under—11 (20%)
2025-10-268vs CHI2Under9.519 (31%)
2025-10-126vs LA16Over20.535 (45%)
2025-10-055vs HOU3Under7.513 (30%)
2025-09-284@ KC76Over10.532 (58%)
2025-09-223vs DET0Under0.529 (51%)
2025-09-142vs CLE7Under—22 (39%)
2025-09-071@ BUF-14Under8.523 (45%)
2025-01-1920 (P)@ BUF50Over—24 (41%)
2025-01-1119 (P)vs PIT12Over—29 (39%)
2024-12-2116vs PIT30Over—7 (11%)
2024-12-1515@ NYG7Under—22 (37%)
2024-12-0113vs PHI6Under—36 (50%)
2024-11-2512@ LAC55Over—26 (40%)
2024-11-1711@ PIT13Over—30 (49%)
2024-11-0710vs CIN-2Under—22 (35%)
2024-11-039vs DEN15Over—19 (33%)
2024-10-278@ CLE5Under—34 (50%)
2024-10-217@ TB4Under—27 (46%)
2024-10-136vs WAS2Under—26 (38%)
2024-10-065@ CIN17Over—41 (53%)
2024-09-294vs BUF18Over—20 (35%)
2024-09-223@ DAL33Over—26 (41%)
2024-09-152vs LV22Over—35 (54%)
2024-09-051@ KC3Under—43 (54%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 11.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 10m ago.