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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Tyler Shough QB

NO vs MIN ·

8.5 Rush Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · Last 10 60%6/10 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
18.0
Graph avg
22.5
Graph median
20.55–55
Over the close
70%7/10
2026 per game
Pass Yds300.8â–²+84.0
Att45.0â–²+15.3
Cmp%67.2%â–¼-0.4
Pass TD2.2â–²+1.3
INT0.8â–²+0.2
Rush Yds18.0â–²+1.1
Snaps76.5â–²+21.5
Snap %100.0%â–²+16.5
Tyler Shough rushing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 8.5.
  1. 2025
    18
  2. 55
  3. 32
  4. 8
  5. 6
  6. 34
  7. 2026
    8
  8. 23
  9. 36
  10. 5
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 8.5

  • Home 67% 4/6 · avg 19.2
  • Away 44% 4/9 · avg 15.9
  • vs MIN No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 3.5 100% 10/10
  • O 8.5 Today 60% 6/10
  • O 13.5 60% 6/10
  • O 18.5 50% 5/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs MIN

What MIN allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds167.5#32
  • Yds/Att6.2#30
  • Cmp%53.7%#32
  • Pass TD0.4#32
  • Pass Att27.2#32

QBs vs MIN · 2026

Each main QB who faced MIN this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-26.3
Avg diff %-72%
Beat their average0% (0/2)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Malik Willis1133.7-67%
Sep 27 Jalon Daniels939.0-77%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NO offense

NO offense: Share of NO pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%7.6 yds3%18.2 yds8%13.3 yds
Short30%5.7 yds14%9.0 yds36%5.9 yds

Share of NO pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

MIN defense

MIN defense: Throws MIN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep5%10.5 yds#136%16.7 yds#127%10.3 yds#19
Short34%4.8 yds#3117%5.4 yds#2832%4.7 yds#27

Throws MIN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%7.6 yds3%16.2 yds8%13.3 yds
Short30%5.7 yds15%9.0 yds36%5.9 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Target share · NO 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of NO targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Chris Olave WR412.04828.6%
2Devaughn Vele WR47.83118.3%
3Juwan Johnson TE46.82715.7%
4Alvin Kamara RB34.71412.0%
5Travis Etienne RB34.3139.5%
6Noah Fant TE34.0128.5%
7Bryce Lance WR43.2137.2%
8Kendre Miller RB32.064.6%
9Kevin Austin Jr. WR11.013.1%
10CJ Donaldson RB41.042.0%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppRush Ydsvs 8.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-054vs ATL5Under16.574 (100%)
2026-09-273vs LV36Over14.574 (100%)
2026-09-202@ BAL23Over15.568 (100%)
2026-09-131@ DET8Under18.590 (100%)
2026-01-0418@ ATL34Over16.568 (100%)
2025-12-2817@ TEN6Under5.553 (98%)
2025-12-2116vs NYJ8Under8.576 (97%)
2025-12-1415vs CAR32Over30.568 (99%)
2025-12-0714@ TB55Over12.558 (100%)
2025-11-3013@ MIA18Over12.571 (99%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 8.5PrizePicks 9.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 11m ago.