Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players
Kyler Murray QB
MIN vs NO ·
17.5 Rush Yds
O -113U -111
- Season avg
- 14.0
- Graph avg
- 26.9
- Graph median
- 28.59–41
- Over the close
- 38%3/8
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2024
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2025
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 17.5
- Home 57% 8/14 · avg 26.4
- Away 73% 8/11 · avg 37.9
- vs NO 100% 1/1 · avg 38.0
Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared
- O 7.5 100% 10/10
- O 12.5 90% 9/10
- O 17.5 Today 70% 7/10
- O 22.5 60% 6/10
- O 27.5 50% 5/10
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · QBs vs NO
What NO allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Pass Yds197.3#29
- Yds/Att6.4#24
- Cmp%60.6%#23
- Pass TD1.2#24
- Pass Att30.7#23
QBs vs NO · 2026
Each main QB who faced NO this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 |
Lamar Jackson | 34 | 36.7 | -7% |
| Sep 13 |
Jared Goff | 2 | 4.3 | -54% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
MIN offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 10%14.4 yds | 2%11.2 yds | 8%6.9 yds |
| Short | 26%4.6 yds | 18%7.0 yds | 35%5.2 yds |
Share of MIN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
NO defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 9%7.7 yds#26 | 2%16.0 yds#15 | 7%12.2 yds#10 |
| Short | 33%6.3 yds#9 | 13%6.7 yds#17 | 37%4.6 yds#29 |
Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His throws
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 9%10.4 yds | 3%7.6 yds | 7%10.4 yds |
| Short | 32%4.3 yds | 19%7.8 yds | 31%4.3 yds |
Last 8 games · Yds/att
Target share · MIN 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of MIN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Jefferson WR | 3 | 5.7 | 17 | 26.2% |
| 2 | T.J. Hockenson TE | 4 | 6.5 | 26 | 24.5% |
| 3 | Jordan Addison WR | 4 | 5.5 | 22 | 22.3% |
| 4 | Aaron Jones RB | 4 | 3.8 | 15 | 13.1% |
| 5 | Josh Oliver TE | 3 | 1.7 | 5 | 7.6% |
| 6 | Tai Felton WR | 2 | 1.5 | 3 | 5.5% |
| 7 | Jauan Jennings WR | 3 | 1.3 | 4 | 5.1% |
| 8 | DeeJay Dallas RB | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 3.2% |
| 9 | Gavin Bartholomew TE | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 3.0% |
| 10 | Myles Price WR | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 2.8% |
Game log · 10 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Rush Yds | vs 17.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 4 | vs MIA | 16 | Under | 21.5 | 78 (100%) |
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | @ TB | 17 | Under | 20.5 | 59 (100%) |
| 2026-09-13 | 1 | vs GB | 9 | Under | 23.5 | 11 (17%) |
| 2025-10-05 | 5 | vs TEN | 25 | Over | 30.5 | 65 (96%) |
| 2025-09-25 | 4 | vs SEA | 41 | Over | 29.5 | 67 (100%) |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | @ SF | 37 | Over | 37.5 | 66 (100%) |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | vs CAR | 32 | Over | 20.5 | 54 (98%) |
| 2025-09-07 | 1 | @ NO | 38 | Over | 29.5 | 66 (100%) |
| 2025-01-05 | 18 | vs SF | 22 | Over | — | 60 (92%) |
| 2024-12-28 | 17 | @ LA | 32 | Over | — | 79 (100%) |
Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 17.5Underdog 17.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 14m ago.