NFL Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Aaron Rodgers QB

PIT vs IND ·

0.5 Rush Yds O -113U -111
Hit rate · All 47%18/38 Odds imply 50.2% Over
Season avg
3.0
Graph avg
4.7
Graph median
0.0-3–45
Over the close
33%5/15
2026 per game
Pass Yds249.8â–²+45.8
Att38.2â–²+7.0
Cmp%57.5%â–¼-7.3
Pass TD1.8â–²+0.3
INT1.0â–²+0.5
Rush Yds3.0â–¼-0.6
Snaps67.0â–²+10.0
Snap %99.0%â–²+3.7
Aaron Rodgers rushing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 0.5.
  1. 2024
    -1
  2. 1
  3. 18
  4. 26
  5. 0
  6. 0
  7. 0
  8. 0
  9. -1
  10. 0
  11. 7
  12. 6
  13. 0
  14. 45
  15. 6
  16. 0
  17. 0
  18. 2025
    -1
  19. 3
  20. 1
  21. 8
  22. 1
  23. 6
  24. 0
  25. 0
  26. 0
  27. 8
  28. 0
  29. 0
  30. 0
  31. 9
  32. 6
  33. 20
  34. 0
  35. 2026
    -3
  36. 5
  37. 10
  38. 0
  39. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 0.5

  • Home 55% 11/20 · avg 5.5
  • Away 39% 7/18 · avg 3.9
  • vs IND 50% 1/2 · avg 3.5

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 Today 47% 18/38
  • O 5.5 34% 13/38
  • O 10.5 10% 4/38

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs IND

What IND allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds266.2#2
  • Yds/Att7.8#6
  • Cmp%61.6%#22
  • Pass TD1.4#19
  • Pass Att34.1#7

QBs vs IND · 2026

Each main QB who faced IND this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+8.4
Avg diff %+120%
Beat their average75% (3/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Marcus Mariota357.0+400%
Sep 27 C.J. Stroud1018.7-46%
Sep 20 Patrick Mahomes178.0+112%
Sep 13 Lamar Jackson4034.7+15%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

PIT offense

PIT offense: Share of PIT pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%8.8 yds4%14.4 yds9%7.4 yds
Short28%5.0 yds18%7.8 yds34%5.0 yds

Share of PIT pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

IND defense

IND defense: Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%12.5 yds#103%12.3 yds#2410%11.7 yds#13
Short27%6.2 yds#1020%9.0 yds#433%6.0 yds#7

Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%8.8 yds4%14.4 yds9%7.4 yds
Short28%5.1 yds18%7.8 yds34%5.0 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Target share · PIT 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of PIT targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1DK Metcalf WR48.23322.6%
2Roman Wilson WR46.02416.8%
3Jaylen Warren RB45.02013.8%
4Pat Freiermuth TE44.81913.2%
5Michael Pittman WR34.01211.5%
6Germie Bernard WR33.71110.0%
7Rico Dowdle RB23.579.5%
8Darnell Washington TE43.2139.1%
9Ben Skowronek WR31.343.7%
10Robert Tonyan TE11.013.2%

Game log · 38 games

DateWkOppRush Ydsvs 0.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-014@ CLE0Under1.572 (100%)
2026-09-273vs CIN10Over0.562 (100%)
2026-09-202@ NE5Over0.567 (96%)
2026-09-131vs ATL-3Under0.567 (100%)
2026-01-1219 (P)vs HOU0Under0.551 (89%)
2026-01-0418vs BAL20Over19.575 (100%)
2025-12-2817@ CLE6Over6.566 (100%)
2025-12-2116@ DET9Over0.574 (100%)
2025-12-1515vs MIA0Under0.566 (100%)
2025-12-0714@ BAL0Under0.552 (100%)
2025-11-3013vs BUF0Under0.536 (84%)
2025-11-1611vs CIN8Over10.537 (57%)
2025-11-0910@ LAC0Under0.552 (100%)
2025-11-029vs IND0Under0.562 (100%)
2025-10-268vs GB0Under—63 (100%)
2025-10-167@ CIN6Over0.557 (100%)
2025-10-126vs CLE1Over—56 (95%)
2025-09-284vs MIN8Over—53 (100%)
2025-09-213@ NE1Over—54 (100%)
2025-09-142vs SEA3Over—59 (95%)
2025-09-071@ NYJ-1Under—56 (100%)
2025-01-0518vs MIA0Under—64 (100%)
2024-12-2917@ BUF0Under—40 (63%)
2024-12-2216vs LA6Over—69 (100%)
2024-12-1515@ JAX45Over—58 (100%)
2024-12-0814@ MIA0Under—68 (100%)
2024-12-0113vs SEA6Over—68 (100%)
2024-11-1711vs IND7Over—51 (100%)
2024-11-1010@ ARI0Under—58 (100%)
2024-10-319vs HOU-1Under—58 (100%)
2024-10-278@ NE0Under—62 (100%)
2024-10-207@ PIT0Under—57 (100%)
2024-10-146vs BUF0Under—63 (100%)
2024-10-065@ MIN0Under—72 (100%)
2024-09-294vs DEN26Over—74 (100%)
2024-09-193vs NE18Over—73 (100%)
2024-09-152@ TEN1Over—57 (100%)
2024-09-091@ SF-1Under—38 (75%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 0.5Underdog 0.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 13m ago.