NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Quinshon Judkins RB

CLE vs NYJ · Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

59.5 Rush Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 20 44%8/18 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 44.2
Graph avg: 55.8
Graph median: 56.019–110
Over the close: 8%1/13

2026 per game

Carries14.8▼-1.7

Rush Yds44.2▼-14.8

Rush TD0.2▼-0.2

Targets4.0▲+1.4

Rec3.8▲+1.9

Rec Yds24.0▲+11.8

Snaps37.5▲+5.2

Snap %62.3%▲+11.8

2025

61

Sep 14
94

Sep 21
82

Sep 28
110

Oct 05
36

Oct 12
84

Oct 19
19

Oct 26
75

Nov 09
59

Nov 16
47

Nov 23
91

Nov 30
26

Dec 07
21

Dec 14
22

Dec 21
2026

33

Sep 13
21

Sep 20
70

Sep 27
53

Oct 01
?

Oct 11

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 59.5

Home 56% 5/9 · avg 67.7
Away 33% 3/9 · avg 43.9
vs NYJ 100% 1/1 · avg 75.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 49.5 56% 10/18
O 54.5 50% 9/18
O 59.5 Today 44% 8/18
O 64.5 39% 7/18
O 69.5 39% 7/18

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs NYJ

What NYJ allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush Yds124.5#1
Yds/Carry4.7#7
Rush TD1.1#4
Targets5.6#12
Rec Yds46.5#1

RBs vs NYJ · 2026

Each main RB who faced NYJ this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-9.8

Avg diff %-15%

Beat their average25% (1/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	D'Andre Swift	58	84.3	-31%
Sep 27	Jahmyr Gibbs	99	84.7	+17%
Sep 20	MarShawn Lloyd	20	20.3	-2%
Sep 13	Tony Pollard	35	62.0	-44%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CLE offense

CLE offense: Share of CLE pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	4%13.1 yds	6%14.1 yds	4%8.9 yds
Short	34%5.7 yds	19%7.7 yds	32%4.9 yds

Share of CLE pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NYJ defense

NYJ defense: Throws NYJ faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%9.7 yds#20	4%14.6 yds#18	7%12.5 yds#9
Short	33%6.3 yds#8	20%7.1 yds#14	29%6.6 yds#4

Throws NYJ faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	43%5.2 yds	19%11.4 yds	38%3.1 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of CLE targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	KC Concepcion WR	4	7.0	28	24.2%
2	Harold Fannin Jr. TE	4	5.8	23	19.7%
3	Denzel Boston WR	4	5.5	22	19.0%
4	Quinshon Judkins RB	4	4.0	16	13.4%
5	Jerry Jeudy WR	3	2.7	8	10.2%
6	Raheim Sanders RB	4	2.8	11	9.9%
7	Blake Whiteheart TE	3	1.0	3	3.7%
8	Michael Burton FB	1	1.0	1	3.3%
9	Isaiah Bond WR	2	1.0	2	3.2%
10	Jaleel McLaughlin RB	2	0.5	1	1.7%

Game log · 18 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 59.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-01	4	vs PIT	53	Under	56.5	42 (66%)
2026-09-27	3	vs CAR	70	Over	60.5	36 (51%)
2026-09-20	2	@ TB	21	Under	49.5	39 (67%)
2026-09-13	1	@ JAX	33	Under	56.5	33 (65%)
2025-12-21	16	vs BUF	22	Under	61.5	26 (39%)
2025-12-14	15	@ CHI	21	Under	25.5	38 (67%)
2025-12-07	14	vs TEN	26	Under	27.5	32 (46%)
2025-11-30	13	vs SF	91	Over	91.5	38 (60%)
2025-11-23	12	@ LV	47	Under	50.5	25 (49%)
2025-11-16	11	vs BAL	59	Under	75.5	33 (60%)
2025-11-09	10	@ NYJ	75	Over	78.5	38 (52%)
2025-10-26	8	@ NE	19	Under	25.5	18 (33%)
2025-10-19	7	vs MIA	84	Over	115.5	37 (65%)
2025-10-12	6	@ PIT	36	Under	—	33 (40%)
2025-10-05	5	vs MIN	110	Over	—	39 (56%)
2025-09-28	4	@ DET	82	Over	—	39 (58%)
2025-09-21	3	vs GB	94	Over	—	36 (55%)
2025-09-14	2	@ BAL	61	Over	—	20 (27%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 59.5Underdog 59.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 10m ago.