NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Emanuel Wilson RB

SEA vs SF · Sun Oct 11 · 4:25 PM ET

64.5 Rush Yds O -115U -115

Hit rate · Last 20 20%4/20 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 47.5
Graph avg: 34.2
Graph median: 16.52–107
Over the close: 50%3/6

2026 per game

Carries13.2▲+6.2

Rush Yds47.5▲+19.8

Rush TD0.2▲+0.1

Targets1.2▲+0.3

Rec0.8▼-0.1

Rec Yds9.8▲+4.2

Snaps23.0▲+4.2

Snap %35.8%▲+5.4

2025

25

Sep 21
44

Sep 28
11

Oct 12
17

Oct 19
61

Oct 26
16

Nov 02
2

Nov 10
40

Nov 16
107

Nov 23
14

Nov 27
10

Dec 07
3

Dec 14
82

Dec 20
16

Dec 27
44

Jan 04
3

Jan 10
2026

3

Sep 09
92

Sep 20
14

Sep 27
81

Oct 04
?

Oct 11

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 64.5

Home 16% 3/19 · avg 29.7
Away 10% 2/21 · avg 30.1
vs SF 0% 0/1 · avg 41.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 44.5 25% 5/20
O 54.5 25% 5/20
O 64.5 Today 20% 4/20
O 74.5 20% 4/20
O 84.5 10% 2/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs SF

What SF allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush Yds108.7#10
Yds/Carry4.6#8
Rush TD0.9#10
Targets7.0#4
Rec Yds40.7#3

RBs vs SF · 2026

Each main RB who faced SF this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-15.4

Avg diff %-10%

Beat their average25% (1/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	J.K. Dobbins	40	40.3	-1%
Sep 27	Jeremiyah Love	90	44.3	+103%
Sep 20	Ollie Gordon II	7	70.5	-90%
Sep 10	Kyren Williams	41	84.3	-51%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

SEA offense

SEA offense: Share of SEA pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	4%5.0 yds	3%11.7 yds	8%15.9 yds
Short	32%6.9 yds	19%7.4 yds	32%6.7 yds

Share of SEA pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

SF defense

SF defense: Throws SF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%5.4 yds#29	3%15.8 yds#16	10%11.0 yds#15
Short	34%7.0 yds#5	12%4.4 yds#32	35%4.8 yds#26

Throws SF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	33%5.8 yds	17%9.7 yds	50%4.6 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of SEA targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR	4	10.5	42	37.3%
2	Rashid Shaheed WR	4	3.8	15	14.3%
3	AJ Barner TE	4	3.8	15	11.8%
4	Cooper Kupp WR	4	3.0	12	10.3%
5	Jadarian Price RB	3	2.3	7	7.6%
6	George Holani RB	4	2.0	8	6.0%
7	Emanuel Wilson RB	4	1.2	5	6.0%
8	Tory Horton WR	2	2.0	4	5.8%
9	Elijah Arroyo TE	1	1.0	1	3.8%
10	Brady Russell RB	3	1.0	3	3.5%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 64.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	vs LAC	81	Over	43.5	36 (60%)
2026-09-27	3	@ WAS	14	Under	30.5	24 (36%)
2026-09-20	2	@ ARI	92	Over	—	29 (41%)
2026-09-09	1	vs NE	3	Under	9.5	3 (6%)
2026-01-10	19 (P)	@ CHI	3	Under	15.5	13 (18%)
2026-01-04	18	@ MIN	44	Under	—	28 (55%)
2025-12-27	17	vs BAL	16	Under	10.5	17 (36%)
2025-12-20	16	@ CHI	82	Over	70.5	33 (46%)
2025-12-14	15	@ DEN	3	Under	—	13 (20%)
2025-12-07	14	vs CHI	10	Under	—	8 (15%)
2025-11-27	13	@ DET	14	Under	—	12 (19%)
2025-11-23	12	vs MIN	107	Over	—	37 (56%)
2025-11-16	11	@ NYG	40	Under	—	39 (71%)
2025-11-10	10	vs PHI	2	Under	—	14 (21%)
2025-11-02	9	vs CAR	16	Under	—	21 (32%)
2025-10-26	8	@ PIT	61	Under	—	27 (42%)
2025-10-19	7	@ ARI	17	Under	—	19 (34%)
2025-10-12	6	vs CIN	11	Under	—	11 (18%)
2025-09-28	4	@ DAL	44	Under	—	25 (30%)
2025-09-21	3	@ CLE	25	Under	—	15 (23%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 65.5Underdog 69.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: BetMGM, updated 7m ago.