NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Dontayvion Wicks WR

PHI vs CAR · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

2.5 Receptions O -120U -107

Hit rate · All 39%14/36 Odds imply 51.3% Over

Season avg: 3.4
Graph avg: 2.4
Graph median: 2.00–6
Over the close: 43%3/7

2026 per game

Targets5.6▲+2.1

Rec3.4▲+1.1

Rec Yds52.0▲+26.5

Rec TD0.2+0.0

Snaps49.8▲+18.9

Snap %83.4%▲+36.2

2.5

2024

0

Sep 06
3

Sep 15
0

Sep 22
5

Sep 29
2

Oct 06
1

Oct 13
3

Oct 20
2

Oct 27
0

Nov 03
0

Nov 17
1

Nov 24
4

Nov 28
4

Dec 05
2

Dec 15
3

Dec 23
4

Dec 29
5

Jan 05
2

Jan 12
2025

2

Sep 07
4

Sep 11
2

Sep 21
2

Sep 28
2

Oct 12
1

Oct 19
4

Nov 10
1

Nov 16
2

Nov 23
6

Nov 27
1

Dec 14
2

Dec 20
1

Dec 27
2026

2

Sep 13
5

Sep 20
2

Sep 28
3

Oct 04
5

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

Home 53% 9/17 · avg 2.6
Away 26% 5/19 · avg 2.3
vs CAR No games

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 0.5 89% 32/36
O 1.5 72% 26/36
O 2.5 Today 39% 14/36
O 3.5 28% 10/36
O 4.5 14% 5/36

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs CAR

What CAR allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds148.4#13
Receptions12.3#8
Targets19.3#8
Yds/Target7.7#23
Rec TD0.6#27

WRs vs CAR · 2026

Each main WR who faced CAR this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.4

Avg diff %+16%

Beat their average62% (5/8)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	Amon-Ra St. Brown	8	7.2	+10%
Oct 04	Jameson Williams	6	3.0	+100%
Sep 27	KC Concepcion	2	4.0	-50%
Sep 27	Denzel Boston	2	3.5	-43%
Sep 20	Drake London	4	5.8	-30%
Sep 20	Jahan Dotson	2	1.5	+33%
Sep 13	Luther Burden III	5	4.5	+11%
Sep 13	Kalif Raymond	8	4.0	+100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

PHI offense

PHI offense: Share of PHI pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%6.4 yds	2%14.2 yds	10%12.5 yds
Short	30%5.7 yds	16%6.4 yds	36%4.0 yds

Share of PHI pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

CAR defense

CAR defense: Throws CAR faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%14.1 yds#6	5%12.2 yds#25	6%10.2 yds#20
Short	28%4.9 yds#29	24%8.5 yds#7	31%5.3 yds#19

Throws CAR faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	16%10.7 yds	9%6.8 yds	14%22.2 yds
Short	30%7.1 yds	9%5.2 yds	23%6.3 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of PHI targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	DeVonta Smith WR	3	9.0	27	32.5%
2	Dontayvion Wicks WR	5	5.6	28	19.5%
3	Dallas Goedert TE	3	5.3	16	17.6%
4	Makai Lemon WR	5	4.4	22	16.0%
5	Dameon Pierce RB	1	5.0	5	13.5%
6	Zach Ertz TE	3	2.7	8	9.8%
7	Darius Cooper WR	5	2.6	13	9.0%
8	Saquon Barkley RB	4	1.8	7	6.7%
9	Will Shipley RB	5	1.6	8	5.6%
10	Johnny Mundt TE	4	1.2	5	3.9%

Game log · 36 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 2.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	@ JAX	5	Over	3.5	52 (84%)
2026-10-04	4	vs LA	3	Over	3.5	56 (92%)
2026-09-28	3	@ CHI	2	Under	3.5	44 (88%)
2026-09-20	2	@ TEN	5	Over	2.5	47 (62%)
2026-09-13	1	vs WAS	2	Under	2.5	50 (91%)
2025-12-27	17	vs BAL	1	Under	1.5	3 (6%)
2025-12-20	16	@ CHI	2	Under	1.5	30 (42%)
2025-12-14	15	@ DEN	1	Under	—	28 (42%)
2025-11-27	13	@ DET	6	Over	—	31 (49%)
2025-11-23	12	vs MIN	2	Under	—	32 (48%)
2025-11-16	11	@ NYG	1	Under	—	31 (56%)
2025-11-10	10	vs PHI	4	Over	—	44 (65%)
2025-10-19	7	@ ARI	1	Under	—	15 (27%)
2025-10-12	6	vs CIN	2	Under	—	21 (34%)
2025-09-28	4	@ DAL	2	Under	—	64 (77%)
2025-09-21	3	@ CLE	2	Under	—	44 (68%)
2025-09-11	2	vs WAS	4	Over	—	37 (54%)
2025-09-07	1	vs DET	2	Under	—	22 (46%)
2025-01-12	19 (P)	@ PHI	2	Under	—	51 (77%)
2025-01-05	18	vs CHI	5	Over	—	48 (74%)
2024-12-29	17	@ MIN	4	Over	—	46 (73%)
2024-12-23	16	vs NO	3	Over	—	42 (61%)
2024-12-15	15	@ SEA	2	Under	—	30 (47%)
2024-12-05	14	@ DET	4	Over	—	39 (78%)
2024-11-28	13	vs MIA	4	Over	—	48 (89%)
2024-11-24	12	vs SF	1	Under	—	28 (39%)
2024-11-17	11	@ CHI	0	Under	—	16 (35%)
2024-11-03	9	vs DET	0	Under	—	35 (54%)
2024-10-27	8	@ JAX	2	Under	—	21 (30%)
2024-10-20	7	vs HOU	3	Over	—	24 (41%)
2024-10-13	6	vs ARI	1	Under	—	10 (14%)
2024-10-06	5	@ LA	2	Under	—	45 (76%)
2024-09-29	4	vs MIN	5	Over	—	58 (76%)
2024-09-22	3	@ TEN	0	Under	—	29 (46%)
2024-09-15	2	vs IND	3	Over	—	36 (51%)
2024-09-06	1	@ PHI	0	Under	—	31 (46%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 2.5Underdog 2.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 8m ago.