NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Ryan Flournoy WR

DAL vs GB · Sun Oct 18 · 8:20 PM ET

3.5 Receptions O +127U -162

Hit rate · All 21%6/29 Odds imply 41.6% Over

Season avg: 3.2
Graph avg: 2.3
Graph median: 2.00–9
Over the close: 46%6/13

2026 per game

Targets5.4▲+1.7

Rec3.2▲+0.5

Rec Yds38.8▲+7.1

Rec TD0.0▼-0.3

Snaps46.2▲+14.3

Snap %71.0%▲+23.3

3.5

2024

1

Oct 13
0

Oct 27
1

Nov 03
0

Nov 10
2

Nov 18
0

Dec 09
3

Dec 22
1

Dec 29
2

Jan 05
2025

0

Sep 14
2

Sep 21
2

Sep 28
6

Oct 05
3

Oct 12
0

Oct 19
1

Oct 26
2

Nov 03
1

Nov 17
0

Nov 23
3

Nov 27
9

Dec 04
4

Dec 14
2

Dec 21
5

Jan 04
2026

2

Sep 13
5

Sep 20
2

Sep 27
4

Oct 04
3

Oct 08
?

Oct 19

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 3.5

Home 12% 2/17 · avg 1.8
Away 33% 4/12 · avg 2.9
vs GB 0% 0/1 · avg 2.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 1.5 62% 18/29
O 2.5 34% 10/29
O 3.5 Today 21% 6/29
O 4.5 14% 4/29
O 5.5 7% 2/29

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs GB

What GB allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds145.3#15
Receptions12.1#10
Targets18.1#14
Yds/Target8.0#17
Rec TD1.2#5

WRs vs GB · 2026

Each main WR who faced GB this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.5

Avg diff %+40%

Beat their average40% (4/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Kalif Raymond	3	5.2	-43%
Oct 11	Luther Burden III	4	4.8	-16%
Oct 04	Emeka Egbuka	2	4.8	-58%
Oct 04	Chris Godwin Jr.	6	3.2	+85%
Sep 24	Drake London	9	4.5	+100%
Sep 24	Jahan Dotson	1	1.8	-43%
Sep 20	Garrett Wilson	5	6.5	-23%
Sep 20	Isaiah Williams	6	1.2	+380%
Sep 13	Justin Jefferson	8	3.7	+118%
Sep 13	Jordan Addison	0	3.7	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

DAL offense

DAL offense: Share of DAL pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%9.5 yds	5%21.2 yds	5%14.8 yds
Short	34%6.3 yds	16%5.7 yds	33%5.8 yds

Share of DAL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

GB defense

GB defense: Throws GB faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%14.1 yds#7	3%11.0 yds#30	7%7.5 yds#28
Short	26%5.3 yds#23	20%6.3 yds#23	34%6.1 yds#7

Throws GB faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%11.0 yds	5%22.7 yds	5%19.7 yds
Short	40%6.2 yds	16%4.9 yds	28%7.6 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of DAL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	CeeDee Lamb WR	5	10.2	51	27.3%
2	George Pickens WR	5	8.2	41	22.2%
3	Ryan Flournoy WR	5	5.4	27	14.8%
4	Javonte Williams RB	5	4.0	20	11.2%
5	Jake Ferguson TE	5	4.2	21	11.1%
6	Jonathan Mingo WR	3	2.3	7	5.8%
7	KaVontae Turpin WR	5	1.4	7	3.6%
8	Brevyn Spann-Ford TE	5	1.2	6	3.3%
9	Luke Schoonmaker TE	3	1.0	3	2.7%
10	Tyler Goodson RB	2	1.0	2	2.4%

Game log · 29 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 3.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-08	5	vs TB	3	Under	3.5	41 (68%)
2026-10-04	4	@ HOU	4	Over	3.5	58 (74%)
2026-09-27	3	vs BAL	2	Under	3.5	49 (66%)
2026-09-20	2	vs WAS	5	Over	2.5	42 (76%)
2026-09-13	1	@ NYG	2	Under	2.5	41 (71%)
2026-01-04	18	@ NYG	5	Over	—	48 (87%)
2025-12-21	16	vs LAC	2	Under	2.5	23 (40%)
2025-12-14	15	vs MIN	4	Over	3.5	45 (64%)
2025-12-04	14	@ DET	9	Over	4.5	53 (65%)
2025-11-27	13	vs KC	3	Under	1.5	27 (38%)
2025-11-23	12	vs PHI	0	Under	1.5	33 (45%)
2025-11-17	11	@ LV	1	Under	1.5	29 (43%)
2025-11-03	9	vs ARI	2	Under	—	45 (67%)
2025-10-26	8	@ DEN	1	Under	—	34 (46%)
2025-10-19	7	vs WAS	0	Under	—	19 (28%)
2025-10-12	6	@ CAR	3	Under	3.5	38 (69%)
2025-10-05	5	@ NYJ	6	Over	1.5	34 (57%)
2025-09-28	4	vs GB	2	Under	—	16 (23%)
2025-09-21	3	@ CHI	2	Under	—	24 (32%)
2025-09-14	2	vs NYG	0	Under	—	11 (12%)
2025-01-05	18	vs WAS	2	Under	—	7 (9%)
2024-12-29	17	@ PHI	1	Under	—	13 (21%)
2024-12-22	16	vs TB	3	Under	—	24 (40%)
2024-12-09	14	vs CIN	0	Under	—	1 (2%)
2024-11-18	11	vs HOU	2	Under	—	54 (65%)
2024-11-10	10	vs PHI	0	Under	—	16 (27%)
2024-11-03	9	@ ATL	1	Under	—	17 (22%)
2024-10-27	8	@ SF	0	Under	—	2 (3%)
2024-10-13	6	vs DET	1	Under	—	2 (3%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 3Underdog 4.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 11m ago.