NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Davis Allen TE

LAR vs ARI · Sun Oct 18 · 4:05 PM ET

0.5 Receptions O -209U +162

Hit rate · Last 20 90%18/20 Odds imply 63.9% Over

Season avg: 1.2
Graph avg: 1.5
Graph median: 1.00–3
Over the close: 46%5/11

2026 per game

Targets1.8▼-0.4

Rec1.2▼-0.4

Rec Yds12.6▼-1.3

Rec TD0.0▼-0.2

Snaps33.0▼-2.9

Snap %44.0%▼-7.7

0.5

2025

1

Sep 07
1

Sep 14
1

Sep 21
1

Sep 28
2

Oct 02
1

Oct 12
1

Oct 19
3

Nov 02
2

Nov 09
3

Nov 23
1

Nov 30
2

Dec 07
3

Dec 14
2

Dec 18
0

Jan 04
2026

1

Sep 10
1

Sep 21
2

Sep 27
0

Oct 04
2

Oct 12
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 0.5

Home 73% 11/15 · avg 1.5
Away 77% 10/13 · avg 1.1
vs ARI 33% 1/3 · avg 0.7

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 0.5 Today 90% 18/20
O 1.5 45% 9/20
O 2.5 15% 3/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs ARI

What ARI allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds78.7#2
Receptions6.8#3
Targets8.7#3
Yds/Target9.0#3
Rec TD1.0#3

TEs vs ARI · 2026

Each main TE who faced ARI this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.5

Avg diff %-21%

Beat their average40% (2/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Sam LaPorta	5	5.5	-9%
Oct 04	Isaiah Likely	7	6.5	+8%
Sep 27	George Kittle	6	3.8	+60%
Sep 20	AJ Barner	1	2.8	-64%
Sep 13	Charlie Kolar	0	3.0	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LAR offense

LAR offense: Share of LAR pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%7.3 yds	3%9.9 yds	15%11.6 yds
Short	23%6.7 yds	18%7.9 yds	33%5.6 yds

Share of LAR pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

ARI defense

ARI defense: Throws ARI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%14.5 yds#5	3%14.6 yds#17	10%12.2 yds#11
Short	30%6.1 yds#12	18%8.6 yds#5	31%7.3 yds#2

Throws ARI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	4%0.0 yds	4%21.0 yds	4%0.0 yds
Short	36%7.5 yds	4%7.0 yds	46%5.0 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of LA targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Puka Nacua WR	3	15.0	45	33.9%
2	Davante Adams WR	5	9.0	45	22.6%
3	Kyren Williams RB	5	6.6	33	14.6%
4	Tyler Higbee TE	4	6.2	25	13.2%
5	Terrance Ferguson TE	3	4.0	12	12.6%
6	Konata Mumpfield WR	4	3.5	14	8.2%
7	Colby Parkinson TE	4	1.8	7	5.0%
8	Blake Corum RB	5	2.2	11	4.6%
9	Davis Allen TE	5	1.8	9	4.2%
10	Ronnie Rivers RB	1	1.0	1	3.7%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 0.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-12	5	vs BUF	2	Over	0.5	41 (50%)
2026-10-04	4	@ PHI	0	Under	1.5	40 (48%)
2026-09-27	3	@ DEN	2	Over	2.5	31 (36%)
2026-09-21	2	vs NYG	1	Over	1.5	32 (52%)
2026-09-10	1	vs SF	1	Over	—	21 (34%)
2026-01-04	18	vs ARI	0	Under	—	53 (71%)
2025-12-18	16	@ SEA	2	Over	1.5	60 (65%)
2025-12-14	15	vs DET	3	Over	3.5	54 (75%)
2025-12-07	14	@ ARI	2	Over	0.5	50 (71%)
2025-11-30	13	@ CAR	1	Over	1.5	20 (38%)
2025-11-23	12	vs TB	3	Over	1.5	28 (50%)
2025-11-09	10	@ SF	2	Over	0.5	35 (51%)
2025-11-02	9	vs NO	3	Over	—	47 (59%)
2025-10-19	7	@ JAX	1	Over	—	36 (51%)
2025-10-12	6	@ BAL	1	Over	—	21 (40%)
2025-10-02	5	vs SF	2	Over	2.5	41 (60%)
2025-09-28	4	vs IND	1	Over	—	22 (29%)
2025-09-21	3	@ PHI	1	Over	—	25 (38%)
2025-09-14	2	@ TEN	1	Over	—	25 (41%)
2025-09-07	1	vs HOU	1	Over	—	22 (37%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 1.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 9m ago.