NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players

Isaiah Likely TE

NYG vs NO ·

5.5 Receptions O +109U -139
Hit rate · This season 60%3/5 Odds imply 45.1% Over
Season avg
6.6
Graph avg
6.6
Graph median
7.02–11
Over the close
80%4/5
2026 per game
Targets9.6â–²+6.6
Rec6.6â–²+4.3
Rec Yds56.8â–²+31.2
Rec TD0.8â–²+0.7
Snaps48.6â–²+11.9
Snap %69.6%â–²+12.3
Over 5.5 in 2 straight
Isaiah Likely receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 5.5.
5.5
  1. 2026
    8
  2. 5
  3. 2
  4. 7
  5. 11
  6. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 5.5

  • Home 11% 2/18 · avg 2.8
  • Away 12% 2/16 · avg 3.6
  • vs NO No games

Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared

  • O 3.5 80% 4/5
  • O 4.5 80% 4/5
  • O 5.5 Today 60% 3/5
  • O 6.5 60% 3/5
  • O 7.5 40% 2/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs NO

What NO allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds56.4#12
  • Receptions6.1#7
  • Targets8.5#5
  • Yds/Target6.6#21
  • Rec TD0.3#19

TEs vs NO · 2026

Each main TE who faced NO this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.2
Avg diff %-10%
Beat their average40% (2/5)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 11 T.J. Hockenson15.5-82%
Oct 05 Austin Hooper12.0-50%
Sep 27 Brock Bowers107.0+43%
Sep 20 Mark Andrews64.0+50%
Sep 13 Sam LaPorta55.5-9%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NYG offense

NYG offense: Share of NYG pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%9.2 yds4%10.9 yds8%6.3 yds
Short33%5.8 yds22%6.1 yds26%5.5 yds

Share of NYG pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NO defense

NO defense: Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%9.7 yds#212%15.0 yds#168%11.9 yds#13
Short32%6.6 yds#812%5.9 yds#2538%4.6 yds#28

Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep3%28.0 yds2%0.0 yds9%5.7 yds
Short31%6.6 yds28%8.2 yds28%4.7 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · NYG 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of NYG targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Isaiah Likely TE59.64829.8%
2Malik Nabers WR59.24626.9%
3Malachi Fields WR53.41711.3%
4Darnell Mooney WR53.41710.2%
5Devin Singletary RB22.558.5%
6Cam Skattebo RB52.4128.2%
7Theo Johnson TE42.296.3%
8Patrick Ricard RB21.535.2%
9Odell Beckham Jr. WR11.014.8%
10Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB50.631.2%

Game log · 5 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 5.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-115@ WAS11Over4.571 (80%)
2026-10-044vs ARI7Over3.544 (66%)
2026-09-273vs TEN2Under3.554 (84%)
2026-09-212@ LA5Under4.540 (69%)
2026-09-131vs DAL8Over3.534 (49%)

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 6m ago.