NFL Prop Research

DA

Davante Adams WR

LAR vs ARI · Sun Oct 18 · 4:05 PM ET

4.5 Receptions O +115U -147

BookFanatics · 4.5Caesars · 4.5BetMGM · 4.5ESPN BET · 4.5DraftKings · 4.5FanDuel · 4.5Bally Bet · 4.5

Hit rate · Last 10 40%4/10 Odds imply 43.9% Over

Season avg

5.4

Graph avg

4.6

Graph median

4.02–8

Over the close

40%4/10

2026 per game

Targets9.0▲+0.8

Rec5.4▲+1.2

Rec Yds88.2▲+30.9

Rec TD0.8▼-0.1

Snaps56.8▲+10.4

Snap %74.0%▲+2.8

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

• Home 62% 10/16 · avg 4.9
• Away 55% 11/20 · avg 5.2
• vs ARI 50% 1/2 · avg 5.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

• O 2.5 90% 9/10
• O 3.5 80% 8/10
• O 4.5 Today 40% 4/10
• O 5.5 20% 2/10
• O 6.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs ARI

What ARI allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rec Yds141.7#17
• Receptions9.7#28
• Targets15.5#30
• Yds/Target9.1#5
• Rec TD1.7#1

WRs vs ARI · 2026

Each main WR who faced ARI this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.9

Avg diff %-22%

Beat their average30% (3/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	DET Amon-Ra St. Brown	6	7.8	-23%
Oct 11	DET Jameson Williams	2	4.0	-50%
Oct 04	NYG Malik Nabers	6	5.8	+4%
Oct 04	NYG Darnell Mooney	0	2.0	-100%
Sep 27	SF Mike Evans	3	5.2	-43%
Sep 27	SF Deebo Samuel Sr.	0	4.0	-100%
Sep 20	SEA Jaxon Smith-Njigba	9	8.0	+12%
Sep 20	SEA Cooper Kupp	2	2.8	-29%
Sep 13	LAC Tre Harris	3	3.0	+0%
Sep 13	LAC Ladd McConkey	5	2.3	+114%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LAR offense

LAR offense: Share of LAR pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%7.3 yds	3%9.9 yds	15%11.6 yds
Short	23%6.7 yds	18%7.9 yds	33%5.6 yds

Share of LAR pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

ARI defense

ARI defense: Throws ARI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%14.5 yds#5	3%14.6 yds#17	10%12.2 yds#11
Short	30%6.1 yds#12	18%8.6 yds#5	31%7.3 yds#2

Throws ARI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	22%6.2 yds	6%8.8 yds	12%14.2 yds
Short	25%9.0 yds	18%10.9 yds	18%4.7 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · LA 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of LA targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Puka Nacua WR	3	15.0	45	33.9%
2	Davante Adams WR	5	9.0	45	22.6%
3	Kyren Williams RB	5	6.6	33	14.6%
4	Tyler Higbee TE	4	6.2	25	13.2%
5	Terrance Ferguson TE	3	4.0	12	12.6%
6	Konata Mumpfield WR	4	3.5	14	8.2%
7	Colby Parkinson TE	4	1.8	7	5.0%
8	Blake Corum RB	5	2.2	11	4.6%
9	Davis Allen TE	5	1.8	9	4.2%
10	Ronnie Rivers RB	1	1.0	1	3.7%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 4.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-12	5	vs BUF	5	Over	4.5	60 (73%)
2026-10-04	4	@ PHI	4	Under	4.5	80 (95%)
2026-09-27	3	@ DEN	7	Over	5.5	71 (83%)
2026-09-21	2	vs NYG	8	Over	5.5	40 (65%)
2026-09-10	1	vs SF	3	Under	4.5	33 (54%)
2026-01-25	21 (P)	@ SEA	4	Under	4.5	37 (61%)
2026-01-18	20 (P)	@ CHI	2	Under	4.5	61 (78%)
2026-01-10	19 (P)	@ CAR	5	Over	3.5	55 (72%)
2025-12-14	15	vs DET	4	Under	4.5	33 (46%)
2025-12-07	14	@ ARI	4	Under	4.5	30 (43%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 3.5PrizePicks 4

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 5m ago.