NFL Prop Research

TA

Tyler Allgeier RB

ARI vs LAR · Sun Oct 18 · 4:05 PM ET

2.5 Receptions

Hit rate · Last 20 5%1/20 Odds imply —

Season avg

2.4

Graph avg

1.2

Graph median

1.00–4

Over the close

69%11/16

2026 per game

Carries7.0▼-1.4

Rush Yds23.8▼-6.4

Rush TD0.2▼-0.3

Targets2.4▲+1.5

Rec2.4▲+1.6

Rec Yds8.8▲+3.2

Snaps35.0▲+15.7

Snap %51.6%▲+21.4

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

• Home 5% 1/19 · avg 1.2
• Away 5% 1/20 · avg 0.8
• vs LAR 0% 0/1 · avg 0.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

• O 0.5 70% 14/20
• O 1.5 45% 9/20
• O 2.5 Today 5% 1/20
• O 3.5 5% 1/20
• O 4.5 0% 0/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs LAR

What LAR allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rush Yds95.5#16
• Yds/Carry4.2#19
• Rush TD0.6#15
• Targets6.6#6
• Rec Yds44.2#1

RBs vs LAR · 2026

Each main RB who faced LAR this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+1.1

Avg diff %+37%

Beat their average80% (4/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 12	BUF Ty Johnson	4	3.0	+33%
Oct 04	PHI Will Shipley	0	1.2	-100%
Sep 27	DEN RJ Harvey	6	4.2	+41%
Sep 21	NYG Cam Skattebo	4	1.5	+167%
Sep 10	SF Christian McCaffrey	5	3.5	+43%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

ARI offense

ARI offense: Share of ARI pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%7.3 yds	2%13.8 yds	8%7.9 yds
Short	29%6.1 yds	20%5.6 yds	35%5.3 yds

Share of ARI pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LAR defense

LAR defense: Throws LAR faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%10.0 yds#16	5%15.4 yds#15	7%5.0 yds#31
Short	31%6.0 yds#13	18%4.8 yds#31	31%6.3 yds#4

Throws LAR faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	40%2.9 yds	10%8.5 yds	50%7.4 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · ARI 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of ARI targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Trey McBride TE	5	11.2	56	30.3%
2	Michael Wilson WR	5	10.2	51	26.4%
3	Kendrick Bourne WR	4	5.5	22	14.1%
4	Reggie Virgil WR	1	5.0	5	10.9%
5	Marvin Harrison Jr. WR	4	3.2	13	8.3%
6	Jeremiyah Love RB	5	2.8	14	7.5%
7	Tyler Allgeier RB	5	2.4	12	6.2%
8	Elijah Higgins TE	4	2.0	8	4.6%
9	Jalen Brooks WR	4	2.0	8	4.3%
10	Teagan Quitoriano TE	1	2.0	2	4.3%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 2.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs DET	2	Under	1.5	32 (44%)
2026-10-04	4	@ NYG	2	Under	1.5	36 (55%)
2026-09-27	3	@ SF	4	Over	1.5	31 (36%)
2026-09-20	2	vs SEA	2	Under	1.5	32 (64%)
2026-09-13	1	@ LAC	2	Under	0.5	44 (59%)
2026-01-04	18	vs NO	1	Under	—	23 (37%)
2025-12-29	17	vs LA	0	Under	1.5	19 (36%)
2025-12-21	16	@ ARI	1	Under	0.5	31 (40%)
2025-12-11	15	@ TB	0	Under	0.5	12 (17%)
2025-12-07	14	vs SEA	2	Under	1.5	25 (39%)
2025-11-30	13	@ NYJ	2	Under	0.5	17 (25%)
2025-11-23	12	@ NO	1	Under	0.5	22 (39%)
2025-11-16	11	vs CAR	2	Under	—	14 (21%)
2025-11-09	10	@ IND	0	Under	—	23 (37%)
2025-11-02	9	@ NE	0	Under	0.5	17 (30%)
2025-10-26	8	vs MIA	2	Under	0.5	20 (40%)
2025-10-19	7	@ SF	0	Under	0.5	15 (23%)
2025-10-13	6	vs BUF	1	Under	0.5	22 (31%)
2025-09-28	4	vs WAS	0	Under	0.5	21 (32%)
2025-09-21	3	@ CAR	1	Under	—	6 (9%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 2.5Underdog 2.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: Underdog, updated 8m ago.