NFL Prop Research

LT

Laquon Treadwell WR

IND vs TEN · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

2.5 Receptions O +139U -178

BookCaesars · 2.5ESPN BET · 2.5BetMGM · 2.5Fanatics · 2.5FanDuel · 2.5DraftKings · 2.5Bally Bet · 2.5

Hit rate · All 18%2/11 Odds imply 39.5% Over

Season avg

2.2

Graph avg

1.0

Graph median

0.00–5

Over the close

67%2/3

2026 per game

Targets3.8▲+3.8

Rec2.2▲+2.2

Rec Yds31.4▲+31.4

Rec TD0.0+0.0

Snaps47.2▲+41.5

Snap %70.6%▲+61.4

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

• Home 0% 0/5 · avg 0.2
• Away 33% 2/6 · avg 1.7
• vs TEN No games

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

• O 0.5 36% 4/11
• O 1.5 27% 3/11
• O 2.5 Today 18% 2/11
• O 3.5 9% 1/11
• O 4.5 9% 1/11

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs TEN

What TEN allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rec Yds166.2#9
• Receptions12.2#9
• Targets16.8#21
• Yds/Target9.9#1
• Rec TD1.0#11

WRs vs TEN · 2026

Each main WR who faced TEN this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.0

Avg diff %-4%

Beat their average30% (3/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	HOU Nico Collins	5	7.0	-29%
Oct 11	HOU Xavier Hutchinson	4	3.0	+33%
Oct 04	BAL Zay Flowers	8	6.0	+33%
Oct 04	BAL Rashod Bateman	2	3.5	-43%
Sep 27	NYG Malik Nabers	5	6.0	-17%
Sep 27	NYG Malachi Fields	2	2.0	+0%
Sep 20	PHI DeVonta Smith	10	4.5	+122%
Sep 20	PHI Makai Lemon	1	3.5	-71%
Sep 13	NYJ Garrett Wilson	6	6.2	-4%
Sep 13	NYJ Isaiah Williams	1	2.5	-60%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

IND offense

IND offense: Share of IND pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%5.7 yds	4%15.9 yds	6%7.4 yds
Short	33%5.1 yds	17%7.1 yds	32%4.9 yds

Share of IND pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

TEN defense

TEN defense: Throws TEN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%11.5 yds#13	4%20.0 yds#6	9%15.3 yds#4
Short	31%6.7 yds#7	16%9.8 yds#2	34%5.7 yds#14

Throws TEN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 5 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%0.0 yds	16%22.7 yds	5%0.0 yds
Short	37%4.6 yds	10%0.0 yds	21%14.2 yds

Last 5 games · Yds/target

Target share · IND 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of IND targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Tyler Warren TE	5	7.2	36	21.5%
2	Keenan Allen WR	4	7.2	29	21.0%
3	Josh Downs WR	5	6.8	34	20.6%
4	Ashton Dulin WR	2	3.5	7	12.1%
5	Alec Pierce WR	2	3.5	7	12.0%
6	Jonathan Taylor RB	5	3.8	19	11.8%
7	Laquon Treadwell WR	5	3.8	19	11.1%
8	Deion Burks WR	3	1.3	4	3.8%
9	Mo Alie-Cox TE	2	1.5	3	3.8%
10	Seth McGowan RB	5	0.8	4	2.5%

Game log · 11 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 2.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	@ PIT	2	Under	1.5	57 (80%)
2026-10-04	4	@ WAS	5	Over	1.5	56 (85%)
2026-09-27	3	vs HOU	1	Under	1.5	56 (79%)
2026-09-20	2	@ KC	3	Over	—	48 (74%)
2026-09-13	1	vs BAL	0	Under	—	19 (35%)
2025-12-28	17	vs JAX	0	Under	—	1 (2%)
2025-12-07	14	@ JAX	0	Under	—	14 (20%)
2025-11-30	13	vs HOU	0	Under	—	7 (13%)
2025-11-23	12	@ KC	0	Under	—	1 (2%)
2025-11-09	10	vs ATL	0	Under	—	—
2025-10-19	7	@ LAC	0	Under	—	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 2

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 3m ago.