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Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players

Pat Freiermuth TE

PIT vs TB ·

3.5 Receptions O -115U -111
Hit rate · All 33%13/39 Odds imply 50.4% Over
Season avg
3.8
Graph avg
3.3
Graph median
3.01–8
Over the close
55%11/20
2026 per game
Targets5.2â–²+1.6
Rec3.8â–²+1.2
Rec Yds33.8â–²+2.3
Rec TD0.8â–²+0.6
Snaps45.4â–²+12.3
Snap %68.4%â–²+14.9
Pat Freiermuth receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 3.5.
3.5
  1. 2024
    4
  2. 4
  3. 4
  4. 5
  5. 3
  6. 2
  7. 2
  8. 2
  9. 3
  10. 2
  11. 4
  12. 6
  13. 3
  14. 3
  15. 3
  16. 7
  17. 8
  18. 3
  19. 2025
    3
  20. 3
  21. 1
  22. 1
  23. 5
  24. 3
  25. 3
  26. 3
  27. 1
  28. 3
  29. 2
  30. 3
  31. 4
  32. 3
  33. 3
  34. 1
  35. 2026
    5
  36. 4
  37. 2
  38. 3
  39. 5
  40. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 3.5

  • Home 26% 5/19 · avg 3.2
  • Away 40% 8/20 · avg 3.4
  • vs TB No games

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 1.5 90% 35/39
  • O 2.5 74% 29/39
  • O 3.5 Today 33% 13/39
  • O 4.5 18% 7/39
  • O 5.5 8% 3/39

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs TB

What TB allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds68.8#5
  • Receptions6.5#5
  • Targets8.7#4
  • Yds/Target7.9#7
  • Rec TD0.9#5

TEs vs TB · 2026

Each main TE who faced TB this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.7
Avg diff %+35%
Beat their average60% (3/5)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 08 Jake Ferguson33.0+0%
Oct 04 Tucker Kraft63.5+71%
Sep 27 T.J. Hockenson25.2-62%
Sep 20 Harold Fannin Jr.53.2+54%
Sep 13 Mike Gesicki52.3+114%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

PIT offense

PIT offense: Share of PIT pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%7.0 yds4%15.5 yds9%5.6 yds
Short30%5.1 yds18%8.3 yds32%5.2 yds

Share of PIT pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

TB defense

TB defense: Throws TB faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%9.7 yds#205%12.7 yds#226%9.3 yds#24
Short34%7.0 yds#416%7.7 yds#1332%5.8 yds#12

Throws TB faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%0.0 yds8%18.0 yds12%3.2 yds
Short35%7.4 yds17%12.5 yds21%4.9 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · PIT 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of PIT targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1DK Metcalf WR57.43720.8%
2Pat Freiermuth TE55.22615.2%
3Jaylen Warren RB55.22615.1%
4Germie Bernard WR45.02015.0%
5Roman Wilson WR55.02514.1%
6Michael Pittman WR34.01211.5%
7Rico Dowdle RB23.579.5%
8Darnell Washington TE53.2169.3%
9Ben Skowronek WR31.343.7%
10Robert Tonyan TE11.013.2%

Game log · 39 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 3.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-115vs IND5Over3.541 (68%)
2026-10-014@ CLE3Under3.554 (75%)
2026-09-273vs CIN2Under3.537 (60%)
2026-09-202@ NE4Over3.546 (66%)
2026-09-131vs ATL5Over2.549 (73%)
2026-01-1219 (P)vs HOU1Under1.539 (68%)
2026-01-0418vs BAL3Under2.552 (69%)
2025-12-2817@ CLE3Under2.546 (70%)
2025-12-2116@ DET4Over4.532 (43%)
2025-12-1515vs MIA3Under2.528 (42%)
2025-12-0714@ BAL2Under1.531 (60%)
2025-11-2312@ CHI3Under1.534 (47%)
2025-11-1611vs CIN1Under2.530 (46%)
2025-11-0910@ LAC3Under2.526 (50%)
2025-11-029vs IND3Under3.529 (47%)
2025-10-268vs GB3Under—27 (43%)
2025-10-167@ CIN5Over1.537 (65%)
2025-10-126vs CLE1Under1.521 (36%)
2025-09-213@ NE1Under2.538 (70%)
2025-09-142vs SEA3Under3.531 (50%)
2025-09-071@ NYJ3Under2.528 (50%)
2025-01-1119 (P)@ BAL3Under—27 (59%)
2025-01-0418vs CIN8Over—49 (80%)
2024-12-2517vs KC7Over—45 (60%)
2024-12-2116@ BAL3Under—41 (68%)
2024-12-1515@ PHI3Under—30 (70%)
2024-12-0814vs CLE3Under—40 (62%)
2024-12-0113@ CIN6Over—46 (67%)
2024-11-2112@ CLE4Over—44 (64%)
2024-11-1711vs BAL2Under—45 (58%)
2024-11-1010@ WAS3Under—45 (58%)
2024-10-288vs NYG2Under—43 (65%)
2024-10-207vs NYJ2Under—48 (71%)
2024-10-136@ LV2Under—58 (87%)
2024-10-065vs DAL3Under—46 (79%)
2024-09-294@ IND5Over—53 (76%)
2024-09-223vs LAC4Over—55 (81%)
2024-09-152@ DEN4Over—38 (58%)
2024-09-081@ ATL4Over—50 (74%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 3.5Underdog 3.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 3m ago.