NFL Prop Research

MT

Mason Taylor TE

NYJ vs NE · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

3.5 Receptions

Hit rate · Last 20 40%6/15 Odds imply —

Season avg

2.5

Graph avg

3.3

Graph median

3.01–9

Over the close

40%6/15

2026 per game

Targets3.0▼-2.0

Rec2.5▼-0.9

Rec Yds11.0▼-17.4

Rec TD0.0▼-0.1

Snaps42.5▼-7.8

Snap %62.5%▼-18.6

Splits all logged games · over 3.5

• Home 22% 2/9 · avg 2.9
• Away 67% 4/6 · avg 3.8
• vs NE 100% 1/1 · avg 4.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

• O 1.5 73% 11/15
• O 2.5 60% 9/15
• O 3.5 Today 40% 6/15
• O 4.5 27% 4/15
• O 5.5 7% 1/15

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs NE

What NE allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rec Yds44.9#21
• Receptions4.5#23
• Targets6.0#28
• Yds/Target7.5#12
• Rec TD0.2#29

TEs vs NE · 2026

Each main TE who faced NE this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.9

Avg diff %-24%

Beat their average20% (1/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	LV Brock Bowers	8	8.0	+0%
Oct 04	BUF Dalton Kincaid	1	3.8	-73%
Sep 27	JAX Brenton Strange	3	4.5	-33%
Sep 20	PIT Pat Freiermuth	4	3.8	+7%
Sep 09	SEA AJ Barner	2	2.6	-23%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NYJ offense

NYJ offense: Share of NYJ pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%9.0 yds	2%21.2 yds	6%12.7 yds
Short	37%5.3 yds	10%4.5 yds	40%5.0 yds

Share of NYJ pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NE defense

NE defense: Throws NE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%6.6 yds#29	4%10.5 yds#31	4%10.0 yds#22
Short	32%5.2 yds#27	17%7.7 yds#12	36%4.4 yds#31

Throws NE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	2%0.0 yds	2%0.0 yds	2%0.0 yds
Short	33%6.4 yds	23%4.6 yds	37%5.0 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · NYJ 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of NYJ targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Garrett Wilson WR	5	8.4	42	30.1%
2	Adonai Mitchell WR	2	7.5	15	23.2%
3	Kenyon Sadiq TE	5	4.2	21	16.1%
4	Mason Taylor TE	2	3.0	6	11.7%
5	Isaiah Williams WR	5	2.8	14	10.7%
6	Breece Hall RB	3	3.3	10	10.3%
7	Tim Patrick WR	1	3.0	3	10.3%
8	Braelon Allen RB	5	2.2	11	8.5%
9	Jeremy Ruckert TE	3	2.7	8	7.9%
10	Sterling Shepard WR	2	1.0	2	4.7%

Game log · 15 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 3.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs CLE	3	Under	1.5	41 (59%)
2026-09-13	1	@ TEN	2	Under	2.5	44 (66%)
2025-12-07	14	vs MIA	5	Over	3.5	38 (66%)
2025-11-30	13	vs ATL	2	Under	3.5	55 (83%)
2025-11-23	12	@ BAL	3	Under	4.5	52 (88%)
2025-11-13	11	@ NE	4	Over	4.5	43 (75%)
2025-11-09	10	vs CLE	1	Under	1.5	38 (78%)
2025-10-26	8	@ CIN	5	Over	3.5	55 (76%)
2025-10-19	7	vs CAR	3	Under	2.5	57 (93%)
2025-10-12	6	vs DEN	1	Under	1.5	55 (96%)
2025-10-05	5	vs DAL	9	Over	2.5	69 (84%)
2025-09-29	4	@ MIA	5	Over	5.5	51 (81%)
2025-09-21	3	@ TB	4	Over	2.5	51 (74%)
2025-09-14	2	vs BUF	1	Under	2.5	34 (72%)
2025-09-07	1	vs PIT	1	Under	2.5	56 (88%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 3.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: Underdog, updated 8m ago.