Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players
Dalton Kincaid TE
BUF vs LV ·
4.5 Receptions
O +122U -156
- Season avg
- 3.2
- Graph avg
- 3.2
- Graph median
- 2.01–7
- Over the close
- 40%2/5
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 4.5
- Home 22% 4/18 · avg 3.3
- Away 24% 4/17 · avg 3.2
- vs LV No games
Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared
- O 2.5 40% 2/5
- O 3.5 40% 2/5
- O 4.5 Today 40% 2/5
- O 5.5 20% 1/5
- O 6.5 20% 1/5
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · TEs vs LV
What LV allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Rec Yds47.9#18
- Receptions5.8#10
- Targets7.3#14
- Yds/Target6.6#22
- Rec TD0.9#4
TEs vs LV · 2026
Each main TE who faced LV this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 |
Hunter Henry | 3 | 3.0 | +0% |
| Oct 04 |
Travis Kelce | 2 | 4.7 | -57% |
| Sep 27 |
Juwan Johnson | 8 | 4.2 | +88% |
| Sep 20 |
Oronde Gadsden II | 2 | 1.8 | +14% |
| Sep 13 |
Greg Dulcich | 2 | 3.7 | -45% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
BUF offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 8%6.4 yds | 7%17.5 yds | 5%17.6 yds |
| Short | 30%7.7 yds | 13%8.6 yds | 36%6.0 yds |
Share of BUF pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
LV defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 10%15.1 yds#4 | 4%12.0 yds#27 | 6%10.1 yds#21 |
| Short | 35%5.7 yds#18 | 15%6.6 yds#18 | 30%5.2 yds#20 |
Throws LV faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His targets
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 8%6.0 yds | 10%16.2 yds | 12%15.6 yds |
| Short | 32%13.4 yds | 20%9.0 yds | 18%9.0 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/target
Target share · BUF 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of BUF targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khalil Shakir WR | 5 | 5.2 | 26 | 19.5% |
| 2 | DJ Moore WR | 4 | 5.0 | 20 | 18.4% |
| 3 | Dalton Kincaid TE | 5 | 4.2 | 21 | 15.9% |
| 4 | Ty Johnson RB | 3 | 3.3 | 10 | 14.8% |
| 5 | Keon Coleman WR | 5 | 3.6 | 18 | 13.4% |
| 6 | Skyler Bell WR | 1 | 2.0 | 2 | 11.1% |
| 7 | Josh Palmer WR | 3 | 3.0 | 9 | 10.4% |
| 8 | James Cook RB | 5 | 2.2 | 11 | 8.2% |
| 9 | Dawson Knox TE | 5 | 1.8 | 9 | 7.6% |
| 10 | Ray Davis RB | 4 | 0.5 | 2 | 2.2% |
Game log · 5 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Receptions | vs 4.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | 5 | @ LA | 1 | Under | 4.5 | 45 (70%) |
| 2026-10-04 | 4 | vs NE | 1 | Under | 4.5 | 35 (59%) |
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | vs LAC | 2 | Under | 4.5 | 44 (67%) |
| 2026-09-17 | 2 | vs DET | 7 | Over | 4.5 | 49 (66%) |
| 2026-09-13 | 1 | @ HOU | 5 | Over | 3.5 | 42 (72%) |
Pick’em lines: Underdog 3.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 11m ago.
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