NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Tucker Kraft TE

GB vs DAL · Sun Oct 18 · 8:20 PM ET

4.5 Receptions O +110U -141

Hit rate · All 29%9/31 Odds imply 44.9% Over

Season avg: 4.0
Graph avg: 3.5
Graph median: 3.00–7
Over the close: 60%3/5

2026 per game

Targets5.8▲+0.3

Rec4.0+0.0

Rec Yds42.4▼-18.7

Rec TD0.2▼-0.6

Snaps51.0▼-3.9

Snap %81.8%▼-4.2

4.5

2024

2

Sep 06
2

Sep 15
2

Sep 22
6

Sep 29
4

Oct 06
2

Oct 13
3

Oct 20
3

Oct 27
4

Nov 03
0

Nov 17
2

Nov 24
6

Nov 28
3

Dec 05
2

Dec 15
3

Dec 23
2

Dec 29
4

Jan 05
5

Jan 12
2025

2

Sep 07
6

Sep 11
3

Sep 21
5

Sep 28
2

Oct 12
5

Oct 19
7

Oct 26
2

Nov 02
2026

3

Sep 13
2

Sep 20
4

Sep 24
6

Oct 04
5

Oct 11
?

Oct 19

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

Home 27% 4/15 · avg 3.5
Away 31% 5/16 · avg 3.4
vs DAL 100% 1/1 · avg 5.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 2.5 61% 19/31
O 3.5 42% 13/31
O 4.5 Today 29% 9/31
O 5.5 16% 5/31
O 6.5 3% 1/31

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs DAL

What DAL allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds43.8#22
Receptions4.2#27
Targets4.8#31
Yds/Target9.1#2
Rec TD0.4#15

TEs vs DAL · 2026

Each main TE who faced DAL this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.7

Avg diff %+41%

Beat their average40% (2/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 08	Cade Otton	3	3.8	-20%
Oct 04	Dalton Schultz	2	5.5	-64%
Sep 27	Mark Andrews	3	4.8	-37%
Sep 20	Colson Yankoff	1	0.2	+300%
Sep 13	Isaiah Likely	8	6.2	+28%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

GB offense

GB offense: Share of GB pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%12.4 yds	5%19.9 yds	10%15.4 yds
Short	27%5.8 yds	16%6.1 yds	35%4.8 yds

Share of GB pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

DAL defense

DAL defense: Throws DAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%13.5 yds#9	2%24.3 yds#1	9%10.6 yds#19
Short	27%7.4 yds#2	16%10.1 yds#1	37%6.7 yds#3

Throws DAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	2%30.0 yds	3%12.0 yds	5%35.0 yds
Short	31%7.8 yds	14%7.4 yds	45%6.7 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of GB targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Matthew Golden WR	5	8.8	44	24.0%
2	Christian Watson WR	5	8.0	40	22.7%
3	Tucker Kraft TE	5	5.8	29	16.1%
4	Pierre Strong RB	1	4.0	4	12.9%
5	Jayden Reed WR	2	4.0	8	10.5%
6	MarShawn Lloyd RB	5	2.6	13	7.7%
7	Skyy Moore WR	5	2.8	14	7.3%
8	Mark Redman TE	1	2.0	2	6.7%
9	Jonnu Smith TE	3	2.3	7	5.6%
10	Bo Melton WR	5	1.6	8	4.8%

Game log · 31 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 4.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs CHI	5	Over	4.5	47 (77%)
2026-10-04	4	@ TB	6	Over	3.5	55 (92%)
2026-09-24	3	vs ATL	4	Under	3.5	50 (76%)
2026-09-20	2	@ NYJ	2	Under	3.5	58 (98%)
2026-09-13	1	@ MIN	3	Under	3.5	45 (66%)
2025-11-02	9	vs CAR	2	Under	—	32 (49%)
2025-10-26	8	@ PIT	7	Over	—	59 (92%)
2025-10-19	7	@ ARI	5	Over	—	50 (89%)
2025-10-12	6	vs CIN	2	Under	—	56 (92%)
2025-09-28	4	@ DAL	5	Over	—	79 (95%)
2025-09-21	3	@ CLE	3	Under	—	57 (88%)
2025-09-11	2	vs WAS	6	Over	—	62 (91%)
2025-09-07	1	vs DET	2	Under	—	44 (92%)
2025-01-12	19 (P)	@ PHI	5	Over	—	64 (97%)
2025-01-05	18	vs CHI	4	Under	—	62 (95%)
2024-12-29	17	@ MIN	2	Under	—	54 (86%)
2024-12-23	16	vs NO	3	Under	—	43 (62%)
2024-12-15	15	@ SEA	2	Under	—	57 (89%)
2024-12-05	14	@ DET	3	Under	—	44 (88%)
2024-11-28	13	vs MIA	6	Over	—	49 (91%)
2024-11-24	12	vs SF	2	Under	—	57 (79%)
2024-11-17	11	@ CHI	0	Under	—	43 (93%)
2024-11-03	9	vs DET	4	Under	—	65 (100%)
2024-10-27	8	@ JAX	3	Under	—	59 (84%)
2024-10-20	7	vs HOU	3	Under	—	55 (95%)
2024-10-13	6	vs ARI	2	Under	—	60 (82%)
2024-10-06	5	@ LA	4	Under	—	50 (85%)
2024-09-29	4	vs MIN	6	Over	—	65 (86%)
2024-09-22	3	@ TEN	2	Under	—	42 (67%)
2024-09-15	2	vs IND	2	Under	—	56 (80%)
2024-09-06	1	@ PHI	2	Under	—	64 (96%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 5.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 13m ago.