NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Darnell Mooney WR

NYG vs NO · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

1.5 Receptions O -130U +102

Hit rate · Last 20 70%14/20 Odds imply 53.3% Over

Season avg: 1.6
Graph avg: 2.0
Graph median: 2.00–4
Over the close: 35%7/20

2026 per game

Targets3.4▼-1.4

Rec1.6▼-0.5

Rec Yds21.8▼-7.7

Rec TD0.0▼-0.1

Snaps40.8▼-11.1

Snap %58.6%▼-23.3

1.5

2025

2

Sep 14
4

Sep 21
1

Sep 28
3

Oct 19
1

Oct 26
1

Nov 02
1

Nov 09
3

Nov 16
3

Nov 23
2

Nov 30
1

Dec 07
3

Dec 11
2

Dec 21
2

Dec 29
3

Jan 04
2026

2

Sep 13
2

Sep 21
2

Sep 27
0

Oct 04
2

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

Home 71% 12/17 · avg 3.2
Away 84% 16/19 · avg 2.6
vs NO 100% 4/4 · avg 3.5

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 0.5 95% 19/20
O 1.5 Today 70% 14/20
O 2.5 30% 6/20
O 3.5 5% 1/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs NO

What NO allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds121.9#27
Receptions9.8#26
Targets16.4#26
Yds/Target7.4#26
Rec TD0.9#13

WRs vs NO · 2026

Each main WR who faced NO this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.9

Avg diff %+19%

Beat their average60% (6/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Justin Jefferson	6	4.3	+38%
Oct 11	Jauan Jennings	0	0.7	-100%
Oct 05	Drake London	5	5.5	-9%
Oct 05	Jahan Dotson	2	1.5	+33%
Sep 27	Tre Tucker	4	3.8	+7%
Sep 27	Jalen Nailor	1	2.0	-50%
Sep 20	Rashod Bateman	7	2.2	+211%
Sep 20	Chris Moore	1	1.0	+0%
Sep 13	Amon-Ra St. Brown	10	6.8	+48%
Sep 13	Jameson Williams	4	3.5	+14%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NYG offense

NYG offense: Share of NYG pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%9.2 yds	4%10.9 yds	8%6.3 yds
Short	33%5.8 yds	22%6.1 yds	26%5.5 yds

Share of NYG pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NO defense

NO defense: Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%9.7 yds#21	2%15.0 yds#16	8%11.9 yds#13
Short	32%6.6 yds#8	12%5.9 yds#25	38%4.6 yds#28

Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	18%10.3 yds	8%0.0 yds	10%4.5 yds
Short	33%5.2 yds	13%6.2 yds	18%5.7 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of NYG targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Isaiah Likely TE	5	9.6	48	29.8%
2	Malik Nabers WR	5	9.2	46	26.9%
3	Malachi Fields WR	5	3.4	17	11.3%
4	Darnell Mooney WR	5	3.4	17	10.2%
5	Devin Singletary RB	2	2.5	5	8.5%
6	Cam Skattebo RB	5	2.4	12	8.2%
7	Theo Johnson TE	4	2.2	9	6.3%
8	Patrick Ricard RB	2	1.5	3	5.2%
9	Odell Beckham Jr. WR	1	1.0	1	4.8%
10	Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB	5	0.6	3	1.2%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 1.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	@ WAS	2	Over	1.5	58 (65%)
2026-10-04	4	vs ARI	0	Under	1.5	37 (55%)
2026-09-27	3	vs TEN	2	Over	1.5	28 (44%)
2026-09-21	2	@ LA	2	Over	1.5	42 (72%)
2026-09-13	1	vs DAL	2	Over	1.5	39 (57%)
2026-01-04	18	vs NO	3	Over	3.5	52 (83%)
2025-12-29	17	vs LA	2	Over	2.5	37 (70%)
2025-12-21	16	@ ARI	2	Over	1.5	54 (70%)
2025-12-11	15	@ TB	3	Over	2.5	65 (92%)
2025-12-07	14	vs SEA	1	Under	3.5	49 (77%)
2025-11-30	13	@ NYJ	2	Over	3.5	66 (96%)
2025-11-23	12	@ NO	3	Over	3.5	37 (66%)
2025-11-16	11	vs CAR	3	Over	3.5	61 (92%)
2025-11-09	10	@ IND	1	Under	1.5	57 (90%)
2025-11-02	9	@ NE	1	Under	1.5	56 (100%)
2025-10-26	8	vs MIA	1	Under	2.5	45 (90%)
2025-10-19	7	@ SF	3	Over	2.5	54 (83%)
2025-09-28	4	vs WAS	1	Under	2.5	29 (45%)
2025-09-21	3	@ CAR	4	Over	4.5	59 (89%)
2025-09-14	2	@ MIN	2	Over	2.5	57 (86%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 2.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 15m ago.