NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Jonnu Smith TE

GB vs DAL · Sun Oct 18 · 8:20 PM ET

0.5 Receptions

Hit rate · All 90%34/38 Odds imply —

Season avg: 1.7
Graph avg: 3.5
Graph median: 3.00–10
Over the close: 29%4/14

2026 per game

Targets2.3▼-0.8

Rec1.7▼-0.6

Rec Yds28.3▲+16.1

Rec TD0.0▼-0.1

Snaps22.3▼-9.1

Snap %34.0%▼-18.7

0.5

2024

1

Sep 08
6

Sep 12
2

Sep 22
0

Sep 30
5

Oct 06
7

Oct 20
4

Oct 27
5

Nov 03
3

Nov 11
6

Nov 17
9

Nov 24
10

Nov 28
3

Dec 08
9

Dec 15
6

Dec 22
3

Dec 29
9

Jan 05
2025

5

Sep 07
4

Sep 14
3

Sep 21
2

Sep 28
3

Oct 12
3

Oct 16
2

Oct 26
3

Nov 02
1

Nov 09
0

Nov 16
3

Nov 23
1

Nov 30
0

Dec 07
2

Dec 15
0

Dec 21
5

Dec 28
1

Jan 04
2

Jan 12
2026

2

Sep 13
2

Sep 24
1

Oct 04
?

Oct 19

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 0.5

Home 90% 17/19 · avg 3.0
Away 90% 17/19 · avg 4.0
vs DAL No games

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 0.5 Today 90% 34/38
O 1.5 76% 29/38
O 2.5 58% 22/38

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs DAL

What DAL allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds43.8#22
Receptions4.2#27
Targets4.8#31
Yds/Target9.1#2
Rec TD0.4#15

TEs vs DAL · 2026

Each main TE who faced DAL this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.7

Avg diff %+41%

Beat their average40% (2/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 08	Cade Otton	3	3.8	-20%
Oct 04	Dalton Schultz	2	5.5	-64%
Sep 27	Mark Andrews	3	4.8	-37%
Sep 20	Colson Yankoff	1	0.2	+300%
Sep 13	Isaiah Likely	8	6.2	+28%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

GB offense

GB offense: Share of GB pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%12.4 yds	5%19.9 yds	10%15.4 yds
Short	27%5.8 yds	16%6.1 yds	35%4.8 yds

Share of GB pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

DAL defense

DAL defense: Throws DAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%13.5 yds#9	2%24.3 yds#1	9%10.6 yds#19
Short	27%7.4 yds#2	16%10.1 yds#1	37%6.7 yds#3

Throws DAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%0.0 yds	0%	4%43.0 yds
Short	17%-0.2 yds	30%5.9 yds	39%4.3 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of GB targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Matthew Golden WR	5	8.8	44	24.0%
2	Christian Watson WR	5	8.0	40	22.7%
3	Tucker Kraft TE	5	5.8	29	16.1%
4	Pierre Strong RB	1	4.0	4	12.9%
5	Jayden Reed WR	2	4.0	8	10.5%
6	MarShawn Lloyd RB	5	2.6	13	7.7%
7	Skyy Moore WR	5	2.8	14	7.3%
8	Mark Redman TE	1	2.0	2	6.7%
9	Jonnu Smith TE	3	2.3	7	5.6%
10	Bo Melton WR	5	1.6	8	4.8%

Game log · 38 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 0.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	@ TB	1	Over	1.5	13 (22%)
2026-09-24	3	vs ATL	2	Over	1.5	22 (33%)
2026-09-13	1	@ MIN	2	Over	—	32 (47%)
2026-01-12	19 (P)	vs HOU	2	Over	2.5	30 (53%)
2026-01-04	18	vs BAL	1	Over	0.5	33 (44%)
2025-12-28	17	@ CLE	5	Over	1.5	27 (41%)
2025-12-21	16	@ DET	0	Under	0.5	28 (38%)
2025-12-15	15	vs MIA	2	Over	2.5	19 (29%)
2025-12-07	14	@ BAL	0	Under	2.5	27 (52%)
2025-11-30	13	vs BUF	1	Over	1.5	23 (53%)
2025-11-23	12	@ CHI	3	Over	2.5	35 (49%)
2025-11-16	11	vs CIN	0	Under	1.5	35 (54%)
2025-11-09	10	@ LAC	1	Over	3.5	35 (67%)
2025-11-02	9	vs IND	3	Over	3.5	25 (40%)
2025-10-26	8	vs GB	2	Over	—	38 (60%)
2025-10-16	7	@ CIN	3	Over	3.5	40 (70%)
2025-10-12	6	vs CLE	3	Over	—	41 (69%)
2025-09-28	4	vs MIN	2	Over	—	13 (25%)
2025-09-21	3	@ NE	3	Over	—	45 (83%)
2025-09-14	2	vs SEA	4	Over	—	35 (56%)
2025-09-07	1	@ NYJ	5	Over	—	37 (66%)
2025-01-05	18	@ NYJ	9	Over	—	42 (60%)
2024-12-29	17	@ CLE	3	Over	—	29 (48%)
2024-12-22	16	vs SF	6	Over	—	37 (55%)
2024-12-15	15	@ HOU	9	Over	—	45 (66%)
2024-12-08	14	vs NYJ	3	Over	—	46 (64%)
2024-11-28	13	@ GB	10	Over	—	51 (72%)
2024-11-24	12	vs NE	9	Over	—	47 (69%)
2024-11-17	11	vs LV	6	Over	—	55 (81%)
2024-11-11	10	@ LA	3	Over	—	23 (43%)
2024-11-03	9	@ BUF	5	Over	—	42 (69%)
2024-10-27	8	vs ARI	4	Over	—	43 (66%)
2024-10-20	7	@ IND	7	Over	—	34 (49%)
2024-10-06	5	@ NE	5	Over	—	32 (41%)
2024-09-30	4	vs TEN	0	Under	—	25 (42%)
2024-09-22	3	@ SEA	2	Over	—	23 (38%)
2024-09-12	2	vs BUF	6	Over	—	32 (42%)
2024-09-08	1	vs JAX	1	Over	—	20 (28%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 0.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: Underdog, updated 4m ago.