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Game logs through Oct 18, 2026 · 114 players

Justin Jefferson WR

MIN vs IND ·

6.5 Receptions
Hit rate · Last 5 40%2/5 Odds imply —
Season avg
4.8
Graph avg
5.4
Graph median
6.02–8
Over the close
40%2/5
2026 per game
Targets6.0â–¼-2.3
Rec4.8â–¼-0.2
Rec Yds64.5â–²+2.9
Rec TD0.8â–²+0.6
Snaps45.5â–¼-9.9
Snap %73.2%â–¼-20.9
Under 6.5 in 3 straight
Justin Jefferson receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 6.5.
6.5
  1. 2025
    8
  2. 2026
    8
  3. 3
  4. 2
  5. 6
  6. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 6.5

  • Home 44% 8/18 · avg 5.7
  • Away 24% 5/21 · avg 5.1
  • vs IND 100% 1/1 · avg 7.0

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

  • O 4.5 60% 3/5
  • O 5.5 60% 3/5
  • O 6.5 Today 40% 2/5
  • O 7.5 40% 2/5
  • O 8.5 0% 0/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs IND

What IND allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds158.0#12
  • Receptions11.8#12
  • Targets18.5#15
  • Yds/Target8.5#13
  • Rec TD0.8#22

WRs vs IND · 2026

Each main WR who faced IND this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.5
Avg diff %-12%
Beat their average33% (4/12)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 18 Carnell Tate64.6+30%
Oct 18 Wan'Dale Robinson34.4-32%
Oct 11 DK Metcalf35.4-44%
Oct 11 Germie Bernard64.5+33%
Oct 04 Stefon Diggs54.3+15%
Oct 04 Antonio Williams33.0+0%
Sep 27 Xavier Hutchinson33.0+0%
Sep 27 Jaylin Noel23.0-33%
Sep 20 Rashee Rice44.5-11%
Sep 20 Xavier Worthy54.0+25%
Sep 13 Zay Flowers56.8-26%
Sep 13 Rashod Bateman03.2-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

MIN offense

MIN offense: Share of MIN pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep11%15.9 yds2%11.2 yds8%7.5 yds
Short27%4.8 yds17%7.4 yds35%5.5 yds

Share of MIN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

IND defense

IND defense: Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep5%12.2 yds#113%13.7 yds#2210%11.7 yds#12
Short30%6.0 yds#1220%9.2 yds#133%5.8 yds#12

Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep12%15.5 yds3%11.0 yds9%6.7 yds
Short27%3.7 yds18%10.2 yds30%6.8 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · MIN 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of MIN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Justin Jefferson WR46.02425.7%
2Jordan Addison WR45.52222.3%
3T.J. Hockenson TE55.42720.3%
4Aaron Jones RB53.61812.6%
5Gavin Bartholomew TE23.5711.9%
6Josh Oliver TE31.757.6%
7Tai Felton WR32.067.1%
8Myles Price WR51.475.0%
9Jauan Jennings WR41.254.7%
10Ben Yurosek TE11.013.4%

Game log · 5 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 6.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-115@ NO6Under6.563 (89%)
2026-09-273@ TB2Under5.57 (12%)
2026-09-202@ CHI3Under6.552 (100%)
2026-09-131vs GB8Over5.560 (92%)
2026-01-0418vs GB8Over5.551 (76%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 6.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: Underdog, updated 5m ago.