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Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players

Michael Mayer TE

LV vs BUF ·

3.5 Receptions O +119U -152
Hit rate · Last 10 30%3/10 Odds imply 43.1% Over
Season avg
4.2
Graph avg
3.5
Graph median
3.00–9
Over the close
30%3/10
2026 per game
Targets5.0â–²+1.2
Rec4.2â–²+1.5
Rec Yds34.2â–²+9.0
Rec TD0.2â–²+0.1
Snaps56.4â–²+20.6
Snap %81.0%â–²+19.2
Michael Mayer receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 3.5.
3.5
  1. 2025
    1
  2. 0
  3. 1
  4. 9
  5. 3
  6. 2026
    6
  7. 3
  8. 3
  9. 8
  10. 1
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 3.5

  • Home 36% 5/14 · avg 3.4
  • Away 13% 2/15 · avg 1.9
  • vs BUF No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 1.5 60% 6/10
  • O 2.5 60% 6/10
  • O 3.5 Today 30% 3/10
  • O 4.5 30% 3/10
  • O 5.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs BUF

What BUF allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds38.0#28
  • Receptions4.1#30
  • Targets6.7#23
  • Yds/Target5.7#29
  • Rec TD0.3#21

TEs vs BUF · 2026

Each main TE who faced BUF this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.0
Avg diff %-1%
Beat their average40% (2/5)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 12 Tyler Higbee55.0+0%
Oct 04 Hunter Henry52.5+100%
Sep 27 Oronde Gadsden II02.2-100%
Sep 17 Sam LaPorta65.2+14%
Sep 13 Dalton Schultz45.0-20%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LV offense

LV offense: Share of LV pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%14.5 yds3%5.3 yds5%7.0 yds
Short30%5.6 yds19%7.0 yds35%5.8 yds

Share of LV pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

BUF defense

BUF defense: Throws BUF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%11.5 yds#144%8.1 yds#329%9.2 yds#25
Short30%5.5 yds#2216%6.5 yds#2035%5.4 yds#16

Throws BUF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep2%21.0 yds0% 6%7.7 yds
Short19%3.3 yds29%9.9 yds44%6.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · LV 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of LV targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Brock Bowers TE311.33431.3%
2Ashton Jeanty RB56.03017.6%
3Tre Tucker WR55.62816.4%
4Michael Mayer TE55.02514.3%
5Jalen Nailor WR33.71112.5%
6Jack Bech WR23.0610.3%
7Cody White WR52.8148.0%
8Malik Benson WR51.685.0%
9Ian Thomas TE31.343.5%
10Deven Thompkins WR11.012.8%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 3.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-115@ NE1Under3.539 (65%)
2026-10-044vs KC8Over2.574 (88%)
2026-09-273@ NO3Under2.561 (87%)
2026-09-202@ LAC3Under5.553 (84%)
2026-09-131vs MIA6Over4.555 (81%)
2026-01-0418vs KC3Under3.559 (95%)
2025-12-2817vs NYG9Over10.555 (93%)
2025-12-2116@ HOU1Under1.536 (67%)
2025-12-1415@ PHI0Under0.58 (19%)
2025-11-2312vs CLE1Under1.513 (16%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 3Underdog 3.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 11m ago.