NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Javonte Williams RB

DAL vs GB · Sun Oct 18 · 8:20 PM ET

2.5 Receptions O -128U +100

Hit rate · Last 20 40%8/20 Odds imply 52.9% Over

Season avg: 3.4
Graph avg: 2.5
Graph median: 2.00–6
Over the close: 29%4/14

2026 per game

Carries14.8▼-0.9

Rush Yds55.2▼-19.9

Rush TD1.2▲+0.5

Targets4.0▲+0.8

Rec3.4▲+1.2

Rec Yds18.8▲+10.2

Snaps50.0▲+1.9

Snap %77.2%▲+8.2

2.5

2025

6

Sep 14
5

Sep 21
3

Sep 28
1

Oct 05
5

Oct 12
1

Oct 19
1

Oct 26
1

Nov 03
1

Nov 17
2

Nov 23
3

Nov 27
2

Dec 04
0

Dec 14
2

Dec 21
0

Dec 25
2026

5

Sep 13
3

Sep 20
2

Sep 27
5

Oct 04
2

Oct 08
?

Oct 19

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

Home 53% 10/19 · avg 2.7
Away 35% 7/20 · avg 2.7
vs GB 100% 1/1 · avg 3.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 0.5 90% 18/20
O 1.5 65% 13/20
O 2.5 Today 40% 8/20
O 3.5 25% 5/20
O 4.5 25% 5/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs GB

What GB allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush Yds113.5#5
Yds/Carry4.3#15
Rush TD1.5#1
Targets4.8#24
Rec Yds33.3#14

RBs vs GB · 2026

Each main RB who faced GB this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.9

Avg diff %-18%

Beat their average40% (2/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	D'Andre Swift	4	2.5	+60%
Oct 04	Bucky Irving	0	3.8	-100%
Sep 24	Bijan Robinson	2	4.0	-50%
Sep 20	Breece Hall	5	2.5	+100%
Sep 13	Aaron Jones	0	3.0	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

DAL offense

DAL offense: Share of DAL pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%9.5 yds	5%21.2 yds	5%14.8 yds
Short	34%6.3 yds	16%5.7 yds	33%5.8 yds

Share of DAL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

GB defense

GB defense: Throws GB faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%14.1 yds#7	3%11.0 yds#30	7%7.5 yds#28
Short	26%5.3 yds#23	20%6.3 yds#23	34%6.1 yds#7

Throws GB faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	34%4.9 yds	20%4.1 yds	46%3.1 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of DAL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	CeeDee Lamb WR	5	10.2	51	27.3%
2	George Pickens WR	5	8.2	41	22.2%
3	Ryan Flournoy WR	5	5.4	27	14.8%
4	Javonte Williams RB	5	4.0	20	11.2%
5	Jake Ferguson TE	5	4.2	21	11.1%
6	Jonathan Mingo WR	3	2.3	7	5.8%
7	KaVontae Turpin WR	5	1.4	7	3.6%
8	Brevyn Spann-Ford TE	5	1.2	6	3.3%
9	Luke Schoonmaker TE	3	1.0	3	2.7%
10	Tyler Goodson RB	2	1.0	2	2.4%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 2.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-08	5	vs TB	2	Under	2.5	51 (85%)
2026-10-04	4	@ HOU	5	Over	2.5	58 (74%)
2026-09-27	3	vs BAL	2	Under	2.5	56 (76%)
2026-09-20	2	vs WAS	3	Over	2.5	44 (80%)
2026-09-13	1	@ NYG	5	Over	2.5	41 (71%)
2025-12-25	17	@ WAS	0	Under	1.5	25 (27%)
2025-12-21	16	vs LAC	2	Under	2.5	33 (57%)
2025-12-14	15	vs MIN	0	Under	1.5	20 (29%)
2025-12-04	14	@ DET	2	Under	2.5	65 (79%)
2025-11-27	13	vs KC	3	Over	2.5	56 (78%)
2025-11-23	12	vs PHI	2	Under	2.5	58 (78%)
2025-11-17	11	@ LV	1	Under	1.5	52 (78%)
2025-11-03	9	vs ARI	1	Under	—	58 (87%)
2025-10-26	8	@ DEN	1	Under	1.5	53 (72%)
2025-10-19	7	vs WAS	1	Under	2.5	46 (69%)
2025-10-12	6	@ CAR	5	Over	—	47 (85%)
2025-10-05	5	@ NYJ	1	Under	—	46 (77%)
2025-09-28	4	vs GB	3	Over	—	55 (80%)
2025-09-21	3	@ CHI	5	Over	—	44 (59%)
2025-09-14	2	vs NYG	6	Over	—	64 (72%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 2.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 9m ago.