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Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players

Zay Flowers WR

BAL vs CLE ·

5.5 Receptions O +100U -127
Hit rate · All 40%15/38 Odds imply 47.2% Over
Season avg
6.5
Graph avg
4.9
Graph median
5.01–9
Over the close
62%13/21
2026 per game
Targets7.8â–²+0.8
Rec6.5â–²+1.4
Rec Yds101.2â–²+30.0
Rec TD0.5â–²+0.2
Snaps37.5â–¼-14.1
Snap %54.2%â–¼-32.2
Over 5.5 in 2 straight
Zay Flowers receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 5.5.
5.5
  1. 2024
    6
  2. 7
  3. 3
  4. 1
  5. 7
  6. 9
  7. 1
  8. 7
  9. 5
  10. 4
  11. 2
  12. 5
  13. 3
  14. 6
  15. 5
  16. 2
  17. 1
  18. 2025
    7
  19. 7
  20. 2
  21. 7
  22. 5
  23. 6
  24. 7
  25. 5
  26. 4
  27. 3
  28. 5
  29. 2
  30. 8
  31. 3
  32. 7
  33. 4
  34. 4
  35. 2026
    5
  36. 5
  37. 8
  38. 8
  39. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 5.5

  • Home 44% 8/18 · avg 5.1
  • Away 35% 7/20 · avg 4.7
  • vs CLE 50% 2/4 · avg 4.5

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 3.5 71% 27/38
  • O 4.5 60% 23/38
  • O 5.5 Today 40% 15/38
  • O 6.5 32% 12/38
  • O 7.5 10% 4/38

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs CLE

What CLE allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds132.4#20
  • Receptions10.2#24
  • Targets17.6#16
  • Yds/Target7.5#24
  • Rec TD1.3#2

WRs vs CLE · 2026

Each main WR who faced CLE this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-1.6
Avg diff %-27%
Beat their average30% (3/10)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 11 Garrett Wilson76.0+17%
Oct 11 Isaiah Williams12.5-60%
Oct 01 Germie Bernard23.7-45%
Oct 01 DK Metcalf53.5+43%
Sep 27 Jalen Coker28.0-75%
Sep 27 Tetairoa McMillan28.0-75%
Sep 20 Emeka Egbuka34.5-33%
Sep 20 Chris Godwin Jr.34.0-25%
Sep 13 Parker Washington54.2+18%
Sep 13 Jakobi Meyers23.2-38%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

BAL offense

BAL offense: Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%19.9 yds3%14.1 yds7%14.9 yds
Short27%6.6 yds24%9.8 yds31%5.3 yds

Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

CLE defense

CLE defense: Throws CLE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%7.8 yds#265%16.4 yds#137%6.2 yds#30
Short30%4.7 yds#3114%7.0 yds#1537%6.1 yds#8

Throws CLE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep4%47.0 yds8%12.8 yds12%20.1 yds
Short22%7.1 yds22%15.5 yds31%4.3 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · BAL 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of BAL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Zay Flowers WR47.83129.6%
2Mark Andrews TE56.03022.8%
3Rashod Bateman WR54.22115.3%
4Ja'Kobi Lane WR13.0312.5%
5Chris Moore WR32.067.9%
6Matthew Hibner TE31.757.0%
7Justice Hill RB52.0106.9%
8Elijah Sarratt WR12.026.9%
9Derrick Henry RB51.896.6%
10Devontez Walker WR41.876.3%

Game log · 38 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 5.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-115@ ATL8Over5.562 (82%)
2026-10-044vs TEN8Over5.547 (73%)
2026-09-273@ DAL5Under3.521 (33%)
2026-09-131@ IND5Under5.520 (29%)
2026-01-0418@ PIT4Under3.550 (98%)
2025-12-2717@ GB4Under4.552 (68%)
2025-12-2116vs NE7Over6.549 (89%)
2025-12-1415@ CIN3Under3.532 (78%)
2025-12-0714vs PIT8Over4.574 (92%)
2025-11-2713vs CIN2Under2.557 (95%)
2025-11-2312vs NYJ5Under3.553 (84%)
2025-11-1611@ CLE3Under4.554 (89%)
2025-11-0910@ MIN4Under4.558 (83%)
2025-10-309@ MIA5Under5.546 (82%)
2025-10-268vs CHI7Over4.559 (95%)
2025-10-126vs LA6Over4.571 (91%)
2025-10-055vs HOU5Under4.536 (84%)
2025-09-284@ KC7Over5.548 (87%)
2025-09-223vs DET2Under3.549 (86%)
2025-09-142vs CLE7Over4.544 (79%)
2025-09-071@ BUF7Over3.546 (90%)
2025-01-0418vs CLE1Under—14 (20%)
2024-12-2517@ HOU2Under—41 (65%)
2024-12-2116vs PIT5Under—54 (87%)
2024-12-1515@ NYG6Over—48 (81%)
2024-12-0113vs PHI3Under—68 (94%)
2024-11-2512@ LAC5Under—50 (77%)
2024-11-1711@ PIT2Under—51 (84%)
2024-11-0710vs CIN4Under—52 (83%)
2024-11-039vs DEN5Under—30 (53%)
2024-10-278@ CLE7Over—59 (87%)
2024-10-217@ TB1Under—42 (71%)
2024-10-136vs WAS9Over—49 (72%)
2024-10-065@ CIN7Over—64 (82%)
2024-09-294vs BUF1Under—39 (68%)
2024-09-223@ DAL3Under—42 (67%)
2024-09-152vs LV7Over—58 (89%)
2024-09-051@ KC6Over—71 (89%)

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 15m ago.