NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players

Rico Dowdle RB

PIT vs TB ·

1.5 Receptions O +102U -130
Hit rate · All 67%24/36 Odds imply 46.7% Over
Season avg
2.0
Graph avg
2.3
Graph median
2.00–5
Over the close
39%7/18
2026 per game
Carries7.5â–¼-5.9
Rush Yds18.5â–¼-41.8
Rush TD0.0â–¼-0.3
Targets3.5â–²+0.6
Rec2.0â–¼-0.2
Rec Yds14.0â–¼-2.8
Snaps28.5â–¼-5.7
Snap %42.0%â–¼-12.9
Over 1.5 in 2 straight
Rico Dowdle receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 1.5.
1.5
  1. 2024
    1
  2. 4
  3. 3
  4. 1
  5. 2
  6. 5
  7. 5
  8. 3
  9. 2
  10. 3
  11. 3
  12. 1
  13. 0
  14. 3
  15. 1
  16. 2
  17. 2025
    2
  18. 1
  19. 1
  20. 1
  21. 3
  22. 4
  23. 1
  24. 0
  25. 2
  26. 3
  27. 5
  28. 4
  29. 2
  30. 1
  31. 4
  32. 3
  33. 2
  34. 1
  35. 2026
    2
  36. 2
  37. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

  • Home 79% 15/19 · avg 2.6
  • Away 53% 9/17 · avg 2.0
  • vs TB 100% 3/3 · avg 3.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 94% 34/36
  • O 1.5 Today 67% 24/36
  • O 2.5 42% 15/36
  • O 3.5 19% 7/36

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs TB

What TB allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush YdsYds/CarryRush TDTargetsRec Yds
  • Rush Yds71.1#28
  • Yds/Carry3.9#22
  • Rush TD0.4#29
  • Targets5.8#11
  • Rec Yds35.7#9

RBs vs TB · 2026

Each main RB who faced TB this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+1.4
Avg diff %+100%
Beat their average80% (4/5)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 08 Javonte Williams23.8-47%
Oct 04 MarShawn Lloyd51.2+300%
Sep 27 Aaron Jones51.8+186%
Sep 20 Quinshon Judkins53.2+54%
Sep 13 Chase Brown54.8+5%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

PIT offense

PIT offense: Share of PIT pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%7.0 yds4%15.5 yds9%5.6 yds
Short30%5.1 yds18%8.3 yds32%5.2 yds

Share of PIT pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

TB defense

TB defense: Throws TB faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%9.7 yds#205%12.7 yds#226%9.3 yds#24
Short34%7.0 yds#416%7.7 yds#1332%5.8 yds#12

Throws TB faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep0% 0% 0% 
Short56%4.0 yds11%6.5 yds33%6.8 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · PIT 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of PIT targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1DK Metcalf WR57.43720.8%
2Pat Freiermuth TE55.22615.2%
3Jaylen Warren RB55.22615.1%
4Germie Bernard WR45.02015.0%
5Roman Wilson WR55.02514.1%
6Michael Pittman WR34.01211.5%
7Rico Dowdle RB23.579.5%
8Darnell Washington TE53.2169.3%
9Ben Skowronek WR31.343.7%
10Robert Tonyan TE11.013.2%

Game log · 36 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 1.5CloseSnaps
2026-09-202@ NE2Over2.518 (26%)
2026-09-131vs ATL2Over1.539 (58%)
2026-01-1019 (P)vs LA1Under1.524 (36%)
2026-01-0318@ TB2Over2.527 (53%)
2025-12-2817vs SEA3Over3.534 (64%)
2025-12-2116vs TB4Over3.531 (57%)
2025-12-1415@ NO1Under1.534 (60%)
2025-11-3013vs LA2Over1.527 (42%)
2025-11-2412@ SF4Over3.530 (65%)
2025-11-1611@ ATL5Over3.566 (82%)
2025-11-0910vs NO3Over3.542 (79%)
2025-11-029@ GB2Over—42 (72%)
2025-10-268vs BUF0Under0.522 (36%)
2025-10-197@ NYJ1Under1.533 (46%)
2025-10-126vs DAL4Over—59 (88%)
2025-10-055vs MIA3Over2.547 (67%)
2025-09-284@ NE1Under1.527 (39%)
2025-09-213vs ATL1Under1.523 (40%)
2025-09-142@ ARI1Under1.525 (29%)
2025-09-071@ JAX2Over0.522 (34%)
2025-01-0518vs WAS2Over—52 (67%)
2024-12-2917@ PHI1Under—41 (66%)
2024-12-2216vs TB3Over—46 (77%)
2024-12-1515@ CAR0Under—54 (74%)
2024-12-0914vs CIN1Under—46 (77%)
2024-11-2813vs NYG3Over—53 (70%)
2024-11-2412@ WAS3Over—40 (61%)
2024-11-1811vs HOU2Over—41 (49%)
2024-11-1010vs PHI3Over—31 (52%)
2024-11-039@ ATL5Over—55 (71%)
2024-10-136vs DET5Over—19 (28%)
2024-10-065@ PIT2Over—38 (50%)
2024-09-264@ NYG1Under—25 (45%)
2024-09-223vs BAL3Over—37 (46%)
2024-09-152vs NO4Over—30 (43%)
2024-09-081@ CLE1Under—28 (44%)

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 15m ago.