NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 170 players

Brian Thomas WR

JAX vs PHI ·

2.5 Receptions O +134U -180
Hit rate · Last 20 65%13/20 Odds imply 39.9% Over
Season avg
2.2
Graph avg
3.3
Graph median
3.01–8
Over the close
26%5/19
2026 per game
Targets3.5â–¼-2.7
Rec2.2â–¼-1.1
Rec Yds26.2â–¼-22.3
Rec TD0.2+0.0
Snaps28.2â–¼-24.0
Snap %47.0%â–¼-30.6
Brian Thomas receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 2.5.
  1. 2024
    7
  2. 2025
    1
  3. 4
  4. 2
  5. 5
  6. 4
  7. 8
  8. 3
  9. 3
  10. 2
  11. 3
  12. 4
  13. 2
  14. 4
  15. 3
  16. 2
  17. 2026
    3
  18. 3
  19. 1
  20. 2
  21. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

  • Home 68% 13/19 · avg 3.8
  • Away 76% 13/17 · avg 4.4
  • vs PHI 0% 0/1 · avg 2.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 100% 20/20
  • O 1.5 90% 18/20
  • O 2.5 Today 65% 13/20
  • O 3.5 35% 7/20
  • O 4.5 15% 3/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs PHI

What PHI allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds128.3#22
  • Receptions9.9#25
  • Targets16.3#25
  • Yds/Target7.9#15
  • Rec TD0.5#29

WRs vs PHI · 2026

Each main WR who faced PHI this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-1.1
Avg diff %-22%
Beat their average25% (2/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Davante Adams46.0-33%
Oct 04 Konata Mumpfield11.7-40%
Sep 28 Kalif Raymond65.0+20%
Sep 28 Luther Burden III74.0+75%
Sep 20 Carnell Tate36.3-53%
Sep 20 Wan'Dale Robinson15.0-80%
Sep 13 Stefon Diggs44.7-14%
Sep 13 Terry McLaurin24.0-50%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

JAX offense

JAX offense: Share of JAX pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep12%10.7 yds5%16.9 yds8%11.0 yds
Short32%6.5 yds16%6.2 yds28%7.6 yds

Share of JAX pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

PHI defense

PHI defense: Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep4%8.9 yds#224%19.6 yds#58%10.2 yds#20
Short32%5.8 yds#1619%6.0 yds#2434%4.6 yds#28

Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep25%6.4 yds2%0.0 yds18%17.9 yds
Short32%8.1 yds2%0.0 yds20%6.6 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · JAX 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of JAX targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Parker Washington WR46.52625.7%
2Brenton Strange TE44.51818.7%
3Jakobi Meyers WR43.81515.0%
4Brian Thomas Jr. WR43.51413.8%
5Bhayshul Tuten RB41.877.0%
6Josh Cameron WR41.566.4%
7Nate Boerkircher TE31.345.7%
8LeQuint Allen Jr. RB31.033.7%
9Ameer Abdullah RB40.833.0%
10Quintin Morris TE30.722.8%

Game log · 20 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 2.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044@ CIN2Under2.538 (62%)
2026-09-273vs NE1Under2.523 (37%)
2026-09-202@ DEN3Over2.532 (54%)
2026-09-131vs CLE3Over2.520 (35%)
2026-01-1119 (P)vs BUF2Under2.543 (77%)
2026-01-0418vs TEN3Over3.535 (57%)
2025-12-2817@ IND4Over4.554 (78%)
2025-12-2116@ DEN2Under2.551 (73%)
2025-12-1415vs NYJ4Over4.548 (77%)
2025-12-0714vs IND3Over3.553 (83%)
2025-11-3013@ TEN2Under2.547 (75%)
2025-11-029@ LV3Over3.552 (65%)
2025-10-197vs LA3Over4.551 (66%)
2025-10-126vs SEA8Over8.561 (80%)
2025-10-065vs KC4Over3.554 (93%)
2025-09-284@ SF5Over4.554 (79%)
2025-09-213vs HOU2Under1.557 (81%)
2025-09-142@ CIN4Over5.567 (94%)
2025-09-071vs CAR1Under5.557 (86%)
2025-01-0518@ IND7Over—62 (90%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 2Underdog 2.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 11m ago.