NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Ian Thomas TE

LV vs NE ·

0.5 Receptions O +115U -155
Hit rate · This season 100%2/2 Odds imply 43.3% Over
Season avg
1.5
Graph avg
1.5
Graph median
1.51–2
2026 per game
Targets1.5â–²+0.1
Rec1.5â–²+0.1
Rec Yds21.5â–²+8.8
Rec TD0.5â–²+0.5
Snaps28.5â–²+4.5
Snap %40.0%â–²+0.1
Ian Thomas receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 0.5.
  1. 2026
    1
  2. 2
  3. ?

Splits all logged games · over 0.5

  • Home 70% 7/10 · avg 1.2
  • Away 100% 4/4 · avg 1.8
  • vs NE No games

Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 Today 100% 2/2
  • O 1.5 50% 1/2
  • O 2.5 0% 0/2

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs NE

What NE allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds35.2#30
  • Receptions3.9#29
  • Targets5.5#29
  • Yds/Target6.4#22
  • Rec TD0.1#31

TEs vs NE · 2026

Each main TE who faced NE this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-1.0
Avg diff %-23%
Beat their average25% (1/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Dalton Kincaid14.7-79%
Sep 27 Brenton Strange33.7-18%
Sep 20 Pat Freiermuth43.3+20%
Sep 09 AJ Barner22.3-14%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LV offense

LV offense: Share of LV pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%13.4 yds3%5.3 yds6%8.0 yds
Short28%6.1 yds19%6.3 yds36%5.6 yds

Share of LV pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NE defense

NE defense: Throws NE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%4.0 yds#324%10.5 yds#285%9.4 yds#24
Short31%5.3 yds#2417%7.0 yds#1637%4.2 yds#32

Throws NE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 9 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%27.0 yds0% 6%20.0 yds
Short44%7.4 yds38%8.8 yds6%5.0 yds

Last 9 games · Yds/target

Target share · LV 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of LV targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Brock Bowers TE212.02433.1%
2Ashton Jeanty RB46.02417.9%
3Michael Mayer TE46.02417.2%
4Tre Tucker WR45.82317.0%
5Jalen Nailor WR33.71112.5%
6Jack Bech WR23.0610.3%
7Cody White WR42.5107.2%
8Ian Thomas TE21.533.8%
9Malik Benson WR41.043.4%
10Dareke Young WR40.831.9%

Game log · 2 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 0.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs KC2Over—26 (31%)
2026-09-202@ LAC1Over—31 (49%)

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: BetMGM, updated 7m ago.