NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Sam LaPorta TE

DET vs ARI ·

4.5 Receptions O -147U +115
Hit rate · All 47%14/30 Odds imply 56.1% Over
Season avg
5.5
Graph avg
4.3
Graph median
4.01–8
Over the close
58%7/12
2026 per game
Targets8.0â–²+2.6
Rec5.5â–²+1.1
Rec Yds57.0â–²+2.7
Rec TD0.5â–²+0.2
Snaps60.5â–²+3.1
Snap %87.5%â–¼-3.2
Sam LaPorta receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 4.5.
  1. 2024
    4
  2. 2
  3. 2
  4. 4
  5. 1
  6. 1
  7. 6
  8. 2
  9. 3
  10. 3
  11. 3
  12. 5
  13. 7
  14. 4
  15. 6
  16. 7
  17. 6
  18. 2025
    6
  19. 3
  20. 4
  21. 3
  22. 5
  23. 5
  24. 3
  25. 6
  26. 5
  27. 2026
    5
  28. 6
  29. 3
  30. 8
  31. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

  • Home 47% 7/15 · avg 4.5
  • Away 47% 7/15 · avg 4.1
  • vs ARI 0% 0/1 · avg 2.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 2.5 83% 25/30
  • O 3.5 60% 18/30
  • O 4.5 Today 47% 14/30
  • O 5.5 30% 9/30
  • O 6.5 10% 3/30

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs ARI

What ARI allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds70.8#3
  • Receptions6.5#4
  • Targets8.4#5
  • Yds/Target8.4#5
  • Rec TD0.9#2

TEs vs ARI · 2026

Each main TE who faced ARI this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.7
Avg diff %+11%
Beat their average50% (2/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Isaiah Likely75.0+40%
Sep 27 George Kittle63.3+80%
Sep 20 AJ Barner12.7-62%
Sep 13 Oronde Gadsden II22.3-14%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

DET offense

DET offense: Share of DET pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep5%14.8 yds6%15.0 yds5%14.2 yds
Short29%5.2 yds26%8.9 yds29%5.6 yds

Share of DET pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

ARI defense

ARI defense: Throws ARI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%14.7 yds#44%13.3 yds#2110%12.1 yds#11
Short31%5.7 yds#1918%8.6 yds#631%7.4 yds#2

Throws ARI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep0% 3%33.5 yds5%9.3 yds
Short30%6.7 yds27%10.2 yds36%8.0 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · DET 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of DET targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Amon-Ra St. Brown WR411.54629.4%
2Sam LaPorta TE48.03219.3%
3Jahmyr Gibbs RB47.02818.4%
4Jameson Williams WR46.22515.5%
5Isaac TeSlaa WR44.21710.3%
6Brock Wright TE41.253.2%
7Jackson Meeks WR11.013.2%
8Sione Vaki RB41.253.1%

Game log · 30 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 4.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044@ CAR8Over4.556 (79%)
2026-09-273vs NYJ3Under4.560 (92%)
2026-09-172@ BUF6Over4.564 (98%)
2026-09-131vs NO5Over4.562 (81%)
2025-11-0910@ WAS5Over4.553 (76%)
2025-11-029vs MIN6Over6.564 (100%)
2025-10-207vs TB3Under4.566 (97%)
2025-10-126@ KC5Over4.552 (96%)
2025-10-055@ CIN5Over3.558 (94%)
2025-09-284vs CLE3Under3.556 (93%)
2025-09-223@ BAL4Under4.557 (84%)
2025-09-142vs CHI3Under2.550 (85%)
2025-09-071@ GB6Over—61 (91%)
2025-01-1820 (P)vs WAS6Over—67 (97%)
2025-01-0518vs MIN7Over—68 (100%)
2024-12-3017@ SF6Over—66 (93%)
2024-12-2216@ CHI4Under—60 (92%)
2024-12-1515vs BUF7Over—77 (97%)
2024-12-0514vs GB5Over—72 (90%)
2024-11-2813vs CHI3Under—66 (94%)
2024-11-2412@ IND3Under—67 (93%)
2024-11-1010@ HOU3Under—39 (60%)
2024-11-039@ GB2Under—48 (84%)
2024-10-278vs TEN6Over—38 (79%)
2024-10-207@ MIN1Under—54 (95%)
2024-10-136@ DAL1Under—42 (62%)
2024-09-304vs SEA4Under—47 (89%)
2024-09-223@ ARI2Under—43 (63%)
2024-09-152vs TB2Under—75 (88%)
2024-09-081vs LA4Under—48 (79%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 5Underdog 5.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 17m ago.