NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Keon Coleman WR

BUF vs LAR ·

3.5 Receptions O +124U -158
Hit rate · All 21%7/34 Odds imply 42.2% Over
Season avg
3.5
Graph avg
2.5
Graph median
2.00–8
Over the close
47%8/17
2026 per game
Targets4.0â–¼-0.5
Rec3.5â–²+0.6
Rec Yds54.2â–²+22.1
Rec TD0.2â–¼-0.1
Snaps40.5â–¼-2.3
Snap %62.5%â–¼-0.4
Keon Coleman receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 3.5.
  1. 2024
    4
  2. 0
  3. 1
  4. 3
  5. 1
  6. 3
  7. 4
  8. 5
  9. 1
  10. 1
  11. 1
  12. 3
  13. 2
  14. 1
  15. 1
  16. 1
  17. 2025
    8
  18. 3
  19. 3
  20. 3
  21. 4
  22. 3
  23. 3
  24. 2
  25. 3
  26. 2
  27. 2
  28. 2
  29. 1
  30. 1
  31. 2026
    1
  32. 6
  33. 1
  34. 6
  35. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 3.5

  • Home 33% 6/18 · avg 2.9
  • Away 6% 1/16 · avg 2.1
  • vs LAR No games

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 1.5 62% 21/34
  • O 2.5 47% 16/34
  • O 3.5 Today 21% 7/34
  • O 4.5 12% 4/34
  • O 5.5 9% 3/34

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs LAR

What LAR allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds134.4#19
  • Receptions10.0#23
  • Targets17.2#17
  • Yds/Target7.8#18
  • Rec TD1.3#4

WRs vs LAR · 2026

Each main WR who faced LAR this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.2
Avg diff %+8%
Beat their average38% (3/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Dontayvion Wicks33.0+0%
Oct 04 Makai Lemon32.3+29%
Sep 27 Jaylen Waddle24.7-57%
Sep 27 Pat Bryant22.3-14%
Sep 21 Malik Nabers15.7-82%
Sep 21 Malachi Fields22.0+0%
Sep 10 Mike Evans63.7+64%
Sep 10 Deebo Samuel Sr.62.7+125%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

BUF offense

BUF offense: Share of BUF pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%6.4 yds7%18.7 yds7%16.8 yds
Short29%7.2 yds13%7.3 yds37%5.8 yds

Share of BUF pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LAR defense

LAR defense: Throws LAR faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%10.0 yds#164%16.3 yds#148%6.9 yds#30
Short31%6.0 yds#1120%4.6 yds#3130%5.8 yds#12

Throws LAR faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep24%12.9 yds8%11.3 yds8%24.3 yds
Short32%7.6 yds8%5.7 yds21%7.8 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · BUF 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of BUF targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Khalil Shakir WR45.82320.3%
2DJ Moore WR45.02018.4%
3Dalton Kincaid TE44.81917.1%
4Keon Coleman WR44.01614.0%
5Ty Johnson RB23.0611.0%
6Josh Palmer WR33.0910.4%
7James Cook RB42.5108.9%
8Dawson Knox TE41.565.3%
9Jackson Hawes TE11.013.8%
10Ray Davis RB30.311.1%

Game log · 34 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 3.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs NE6Over1.546 (78%)
2026-09-273vs LAC1Under1.532 (48%)
2026-09-172vs DET6Over1.555 (74%)
2026-09-131@ HOU1Under1.529 (50%)
2026-01-1720 (P)@ DEN1Under1.535 (45%)
2026-01-1119 (P)@ JAX1Under0.527 (43%)
2026-01-0418vs NYJ2Under—61 (81%)
2025-12-0714vs CIN2Under1.518 (28%)
2025-11-3013@ PIT2Under1.533 (45%)
2025-11-0910@ MIA3Under3.542 (62%)
2025-11-029vs KC2Under2.545 (68%)
2025-10-268@ CAR3Under3.546 (73%)
2025-10-136@ ATL3Under2.549 (86%)
2025-10-055vs NE4Over3.542 (62%)
2025-09-284vs NO3Under3.543 (73%)
2025-09-183vs MIA3Under3.545 (75%)
2025-09-142@ NYJ3Under3.538 (51%)
2025-09-071vs BAL8Over2.575 (88%)
2025-01-2621 (P)@ KC1Under—39 (53%)
2025-01-1920 (P)vs BAL1Under—40 (66%)
2025-01-1219 (P)vs DEN1Under—46 (61%)
2025-01-0518@ NE2Under—65 (97%)
2024-12-2917vs NYJ3Under—63 (90%)
2024-12-2216vs NE1Under—39 (66%)
2024-12-1515@ DET1Under—44 (63%)
2024-11-039vs MIA1Under—52 (79%)
2024-10-278@ SEA5Over—63 (83%)
2024-10-207vs TEN4Over—41 (75%)
2024-10-146@ NYJ3Under—44 (64%)
2024-10-065@ HOU1Under—38 (62%)
2024-09-294@ BAL3Under—43 (73%)
2024-09-233vs JAX1Under—20 (31%)
2024-09-122@ MIA0Under—41 (91%)
2024-09-081vs ARI4Over—45 (73%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 3

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 16m ago.