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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 170 players

Derrick Henry RB

BAL vs ATL ·

1.5 Receptions O +171U -221
Hit rate · All 28%11/40 Odds imply 34.9% Over
Season avg
1.8
Graph avg
1.0
Graph median
1.00–3
Over the close
24%5/21
2026 per game
Carries22.2â–²+4.2
Rush Yds93.5â–¼-0.3
Rush TD1.8â–²+0.8
Targets1.8â–²+0.5
Rec1.8â–²+0.9
Rec Yds11.0â–²+2.2
Snaps37.8â–²+5.1
Snap %59.0%â–²+4.5
Derrick Henry receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 1.5.
  1. 2024
    0
  2. 1
  3. 1
  4. 3
  5. 1
  6. 0
  7. 1
  8. 1
  9. 1
  10. 1
  11. 0
  12. 0
  13. 3
  14. 0
  15. 2
  16. 2
  17. 2
  18. 0
  19. 0
  20. 2025
    1
  21. 0
  22. 1
  23. 2
  24. 0
  25. 1
  26. 0
  27. 1
  28. 3
  29. 2
  30. 2
  31. 1
  32. 1
  33. 0
  34. 0
  35. 0
  36. 0
  37. 2026
    1
  38. 3
  39. 1
  40. 2
  41. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

  • Home 35% 7/20 · avg 1.2
  • Away 20% 4/20 · avg 0.8
  • vs ATL No games

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 65% 26/40
  • O 1.5 Today 28% 11/40
  • O 2.5 10% 4/40
  • O 3.5 0% 0/40

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs ATL

What ATL allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush YdsYds/CarryRush TDTargetsRec Yds
  • Rush Yds74.0#28
  • Yds/Carry4.0#21
  • Rush TD0.4#28
  • Targets5.7#11
  • Rec Yds23.5#30

RBs vs ATL · 2026

Each main RB who faced ATL this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.8
Avg diff %+29%
Beat their average50% (2/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 05 Alvin Kamara53.0+67%
Sep 24 MarShawn Lloyd22.3-14%
Sep 20 Chuba Hubbard22.7-25%
Sep 13 Jaylen Warren52.7+88%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

BAL offense

BAL offense: Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%20.4 yds4%11.0 yds8%12.3 yds
Short26%6.9 yds25%10.6 yds29%5.2 yds

Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

ATL defense

ATL defense: Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep11%9.8 yds#172%18.7 yds#710%10.7 yds#16
Short31%6.0 yds#1314%5.7 yds#2631%4.6 yds#31

Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep0% 0% 0% 
Short39%12.7 yds11%-0.5 yds50%6.7 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · BAL 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of BAL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Zay Flowers WR37.32229.8%
2Mark Andrews TE46.02423.7%
3Rashod Bateman WR43.81514.3%
4Ja'Kobi Lane WR13.0312.5%
5Chris Moore WR32.067.9%
6Matthew Hibner TE31.757.0%
7Elijah Sarratt WR12.026.9%
8Derrick Henry RB41.876.6%
9Devontez Walker WR31.756.3%
10Justice Hill RB41.565.4%

Game log · 40 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 1.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs TEN2Over1.540 (62%)
2026-09-273@ DAL1Under1.543 (67%)
2026-09-202vs NO3Over1.531 (53%)
2026-09-131@ IND1Under1.537 (54%)
2026-01-0418@ PIT0Under0.536 (71%)
2025-12-2717@ GB0Under0.548 (63%)
2025-12-2116vs NE0Under0.524 (44%)
2025-12-1415@ CIN0Under1.515 (37%)
2025-12-0714vs PIT1Under1.543 (54%)
2025-11-2713vs CIN1Under1.524 (40%)
2025-11-2312vs NYJ2Over2.535 (56%)
2025-11-1611@ CLE2Over1.533 (54%)
2025-11-0910@ MIN3Over0.547 (67%)
2025-10-309@ MIA1Under1.536 (64%)
2025-10-268vs CHI0Under0.536 (58%)
2025-10-126vs LA1Under1.538 (49%)
2025-10-055vs HOU0Under0.528 (65%)
2025-09-284@ KC2Over0.521 (38%)
2025-09-223vs DET1Under1.528 (49%)
2025-09-142vs CLE0Under1.534 (61%)
2025-09-071@ BUF1Under1.529 (57%)
2025-01-1920 (P)@ BUF0Under—35 (59%)
2025-01-1119 (P)vs PIT0Under—45 (61%)
2025-01-0418vs CLE2Over—49 (70%)
2024-12-2517@ HOU2Over—41 (65%)
2024-12-2116vs PIT2Over—46 (74%)
2024-12-1515@ NYG0Under—27 (46%)
2024-12-0113vs PHI3Over—37 (51%)
2024-11-2512@ LAC0Under—39 (60%)
2024-11-1711@ PIT0Under—30 (49%)
2024-11-0710vs CIN1Under—39 (62%)
2024-11-039vs DEN1Under—35 (61%)
2024-10-278@ CLE1Under—35 (51%)
2024-10-217@ TB1Under—34 (58%)
2024-10-136vs WAS0Under—43 (63%)
2024-10-065@ CIN1Under—39 (50%)
2024-09-294vs BUF3Over—37 (65%)
2024-09-223@ DAL1Under—37 (59%)
2024-09-152vs LV1Under—30 (46%)
2024-09-051@ KC0Under—37 (46%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 0.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 9m ago.