NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Michael Wilson WR

ARI vs DET ·

6.5 Receptions O +116U -148
Hit rate · All 16%6/37 Odds imply 43.7% Over
Season avg
6.2
Graph avg
4.1
Graph median
3.00–15
Over the close
53%9/17
2026 per game
Targets11.0â–²+3.6
Rec6.2â–²+1.7
Rec Yds64.5â–²+5.3
Rec TD0.2â–¼-0.2
Snaps63.5â–²+9.2
Snap %91.5%â–²+10.1
Michael Wilson receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 6.5.
  1. 2024
    1
  2. 2
  3. 8
  4. 3
  5. 5
  6. 2
  7. 1
  8. 5
  9. 0
  10. 3
  11. 2
  12. 5
  13. 2
  14. 2
  15. 2
  16. 4
  17. 2025
    1
  18. 1
  19. 1
  20. 3
  21. 2
  22. 4
  23. 3
  24. 3
  25. 4
  26. 15
  27. 10
  28. 3
  29. 11
  30. 5
  31. 2
  32. 5
  33. 5
  34. 2026
    5
  35. 2
  36. 11
  37. 7
  38. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 6.5

  • Home 24% 4/17 · avg 4.1
  • Away 10% 2/20 · avg 4.0
  • vs DET 100% 1/1 · avg 8.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 4.5 35% 13/37
  • O 5.5 16% 6/37
  • O 6.5 Today 16% 6/37
  • O 7.5 14% 5/37
  • O 8.5 11% 4/37

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs DET

What DET allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds181.9#2
  • Receptions13.4#3
  • Targets19.9#6
  • Yds/Target9.1#7
  • Rec TD1.1#7

WRs vs DET · 2026

Each main WR who faced DET this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+1.6
Avg diff %+36%
Beat their average62% (5/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Tetairoa McMillan144.0+250%
Oct 04 Brycen Tremayne21.3+50%
Sep 27 Garrett Wilson104.7+114%
Sep 27 Isaiah Williams13.0-67%
Sep 17 DJ Moore04.0-100%
Sep 17 Khalil Shakir34.0-25%
Sep 13 Chris Olave108.3+20%
Sep 13 Devaughn Vele74.7+50%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

ARI offense

ARI offense: Share of ARI pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%8.0 yds2%15.2 yds8%7.4 yds
Short28%6.4 yds20%5.0 yds36%5.6 yds

Share of ARI pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

DET defense

DET defense: Throws DET faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%7.4 yds#285%16.9 yds#108%19.9 yds#1
Short26%4.9 yds#2816%7.9 yds#1038%5.3 yds#19

Throws DET faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep12%6.9 yds1%0.0 yds14%10.5 yds
Short26%7.5 yds10%3.7 yds36%7.4 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · ARI 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of ARI targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Trey McBride TE411.54632.5%
2Michael Wilson WR411.04429.2%
3Kendrick Bourne WR34.71413.1%
4Jeremiyah Love RB43.2138.8%
5Marvin Harrison Jr. WR43.2138.3%
6Tyler Allgeier RB42.5106.7%
7Elijah Higgins TE31.753.9%
8Hunter Long TE40.521.2%
9Jalen Brooks WR30.310.7%

Game log · 37 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 6.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044@ NYG7Over5.562 (94%)
2026-09-273@ SF11Over—81 (93%)
2026-09-202vs SEA2Under4.547 (94%)
2026-09-131@ LAC5Under—64 (85%)
2026-01-0418@ LA5Under4.551 (93%)
2025-12-2817@ CIN5Under4.549 (86%)
2025-12-2116vs ATL2Under4.549 (86%)
2025-12-1415@ HOU5Under5.556 (85%)
2025-12-0714vs LA11Over5.549 (79%)
2025-11-3013@ TB3Under3.557 (93%)
2025-11-2312vs JAX10Over9.569 (82%)
2025-11-1611vs SF15Over3.565 (82%)
2025-11-0910@ SEA4Under2.570 (92%)
2025-11-039@ DAL3Under—48 (72%)
2025-10-197vs GB3Under—62 (82%)
2025-10-126@ IND4Under2.555 (75%)
2025-10-055vs TEN2Under2.547 (69%)
2025-09-254vs SEA3Under2.565 (97%)
2025-09-213@ SF1Under1.549 (74%)
2025-09-142vs CAR1Under2.538 (69%)
2025-09-071@ NO1Under2.544 (67%)
2024-12-2817@ LA4Under—69 (87%)
2024-12-2216@ CAR2Under—63 (90%)
2024-12-1515vs NE2Under—52 (74%)
2024-12-0814vs SEA2Under—59 (83%)
2024-12-0113@ MIN5Under—67 (82%)
2024-11-2412@ SEA2Under—48 (83%)
2024-11-1010vs NYJ3Under—39 (66%)
2024-11-039vs CHI0Under—41 (71%)
2024-10-278@ MIA5Under—46 (70%)
2024-10-217vs LAC1Under—44 (77%)
2024-10-136@ GB2Under—55 (95%)
2024-10-065@ SF5Under—42 (72%)
2024-09-294vs WAS3Under—50 (85%)
2024-09-223vs DET8Over—53 (90%)
2024-09-152vs LA2Under—45 (68%)
2024-09-081@ BUF1Under—49 (80%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 6.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 14m ago.