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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 170 players

Zay Flowers WR

BAL vs ATL ·

5.5 Receptions O -106U -121
Hit rate · All 38%14/37 Odds imply 48.4% Over
Season avg
6.0
Graph avg
4.8
Graph median
5.01–9
Over the close
60%12/20
2026 per game
Targets7.3â–²+0.4
Rec6.0â–²+0.9
Rec Yds117.3â–²+46.1
Rec TD0.7â–²+0.4
Snaps29.3â–¼-22.3
Snap %45.0%â–¼-41.5
Zay Flowers receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 5.5.
  1. 2024
    6
  2. 7
  3. 3
  4. 1
  5. 7
  6. 9
  7. 1
  8. 7
  9. 5
  10. 4
  11. 2
  12. 5
  13. 3
  14. 6
  15. 5
  16. 2
  17. 1
  18. 2025
    7
  19. 7
  20. 2
  21. 7
  22. 5
  23. 6
  24. 7
  25. 5
  26. 4
  27. 3
  28. 5
  29. 2
  30. 8
  31. 3
  32. 7
  33. 4
  34. 4
  35. 2026
    5
  36. 5
  37. 8
  38. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 5.5

  • Home 44% 8/18 · avg 5.1
  • Away 32% 6/19 · avg 4.5
  • vs ATL No games

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 3.5 70% 26/37
  • O 4.5 60% 22/37
  • O 5.5 Today 38% 14/37
  • O 6.5 30% 11/37
  • O 7.5 8% 3/37

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs ATL

What ATL allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds170.1#6
  • Receptions12.9#5
  • Targets22.1#1
  • Yds/Target7.7#21
  • Rec TD1.1#6

WRs vs ATL · 2026

Each main WR who faced ATL this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.5
Avg diff %+12%
Beat their average50% (4/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 05 Chris Olave89.0-11%
Oct 05 Devaughn Vele65.0+20%
Sep 24 Christian Watson74.3+62%
Sep 24 Matthew Golden54.3+15%
Sep 20 Tetairoa McMillan57.0-29%
Sep 20 Jalen Coker85.0+60%
Sep 13 DK Metcalf44.0+0%
Sep 13 Roman Wilson33.7-18%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

BAL offense

BAL offense: Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%20.4 yds4%11.0 yds8%12.3 yds
Short26%6.9 yds25%10.6 yds29%5.2 yds

Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

ATL defense

ATL defense: Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep11%9.8 yds#172%18.7 yds#710%10.7 yds#16
Short31%6.0 yds#1314%5.7 yds#2631%4.6 yds#31

Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%32.2 yds9%12.8 yds13%20.1 yds
Short22%7.3 yds22%17.2 yds28%3.8 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · BAL 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of BAL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Zay Flowers WR37.32229.8%
2Mark Andrews TE46.02423.7%
3Rashod Bateman WR43.81514.3%
4Ja'Kobi Lane WR13.0312.5%
5Chris Moore WR32.067.9%
6Matthew Hibner TE31.757.0%
7Elijah Sarratt WR12.026.9%
8Derrick Henry RB41.876.6%
9Devontez Walker WR31.756.3%
10Justice Hill RB41.565.4%

Game log · 37 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 5.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs TEN8Over5.547 (73%)
2026-09-273@ DAL5Under3.521 (33%)
2026-09-131@ IND5Under5.520 (29%)
2026-01-0418@ PIT4Under3.550 (98%)
2025-12-2717@ GB4Under4.552 (68%)
2025-12-2116vs NE7Over6.549 (89%)
2025-12-1415@ CIN3Under3.532 (78%)
2025-12-0714vs PIT8Over4.574 (92%)
2025-11-2713vs CIN2Under2.557 (95%)
2025-11-2312vs NYJ5Under3.553 (84%)
2025-11-1611@ CLE3Under4.554 (89%)
2025-11-0910@ MIN4Under4.558 (83%)
2025-10-309@ MIA5Under5.546 (82%)
2025-10-268vs CHI7Over4.559 (95%)
2025-10-126vs LA6Over4.571 (91%)
2025-10-055vs HOU5Under4.536 (84%)
2025-09-284@ KC7Over5.548 (87%)
2025-09-223vs DET2Under3.549 (86%)
2025-09-142vs CLE7Over4.544 (79%)
2025-09-071@ BUF7Over3.546 (90%)
2025-01-0418vs CLE1Under—14 (20%)
2024-12-2517@ HOU2Under—41 (65%)
2024-12-2116vs PIT5Under—54 (87%)
2024-12-1515@ NYG6Over—48 (81%)
2024-12-0113vs PHI3Under—68 (94%)
2024-11-2512@ LAC5Under—50 (77%)
2024-11-1711@ PIT2Under—51 (84%)
2024-11-0710vs CIN4Under—52 (83%)
2024-11-039vs DEN5Under—30 (53%)
2024-10-278@ CLE7Over—59 (87%)
2024-10-217@ TB1Under—42 (71%)
2024-10-136vs WAS9Over—49 (72%)
2024-10-065@ CIN7Over—64 (82%)
2024-09-294vs BUF1Under—39 (68%)
2024-09-223@ DAL3Under—42 (67%)
2024-09-152vs LV7Over—58 (89%)
2024-09-051@ KC6Over—71 (89%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 4.5PrizePicks 5.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.