NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 164 players

Tony Pollard RB

TEN vs HOU ·

1.5 Receptions O -129U +101
Hit rate · All 68%25/37 Odds imply 53.1% Over
Season avg
2.0
Graph avg
2.2
Graph median
2.00–6
Over the close
57%12/21
2026 per game
Carries13.5â–¼-0.7
Rush Yds55.2â–¼-8.4
Rush TD0.2-0.0
Targets2.8â–²+0.3
Rec2.0â–²+0.1
Rec Yds6.0â–¼-6.1
Snaps30.2â–¼-8.4
Snap %53.2%â–¼-9.2
Tony Pollard receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 1.5.
  1. 2024
    3
  2. 5
  3. 3
  4. 2
  5. 3
  6. 2
  7. 3
  8. 3
  9. 4
  10. 2
  11. 3
  12. 4
  13. 2
  14. 0
  15. 2
  16. 0
  17. 2025
    1
  18. 0
  19. 2
  20. 3
  21. 3
  22. 2
  23. 6
  24. 1
  25. 1
  26. 3
  27. 4
  28. 1
  29. 0
  30. 1
  31. 0
  32. 2
  33. 3
  34. 2026
    1
  35. 1
  36. 4
  37. 2
  38. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

  • Home 58% 11/19 · avg 2.1
  • Away 78% 14/18 · avg 2.4
  • vs HOU 75% 3/4 · avg 2.2

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 86% 32/37
  • O 1.5 Today 68% 25/37
  • O 2.5 43% 16/37
  • O 3.5 16% 6/37

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs HOU

What HOU allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush YdsYds/CarryRush TDTargetsRec Yds
  • Rush Yds75.3#27
  • Yds/Carry3.5#30
  • Rush TD0.5#23
  • Targets5.5#14
  • Rec Yds26.5#25

RBs vs HOU · 2026

Each main RB who faced HOU this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.1
Avg diff %+48%
Beat their average50% (2/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Javonte Williams53.0+67%
Sep 27 Jonathan Taylor22.7-25%
Sep 20 Chase Brown36.0-50%
Sep 13 James Cook31.0+200%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

TEN offense

TEN offense: Share of TEN pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%5.7 yds2%12.0 yds6%15.8 yds
Short34%5.0 yds10%4.6 yds41%4.3 yds

Share of TEN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

HOU defense

HOU defense: Throws HOU faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%13.1 yds#83%23.1 yds#47%13.7 yds#6
Short27%5.2 yds#2619%6.6 yds#1934%5.0 yds#24

Throws HOU faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep4%0.0 yds0% 0% 
Short36%3.4 yds18%3.2 yds43%3.1 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · TEN 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of TEN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Carnell Tate WR48.03229.9%
2Wan'Dale Robinson WR45.82319.1%
3Gunnar Helm TE43.01211.2%
4Elic Ayomanor WR42.51010.1%
5Tony Pollard RB42.8119.7%
6Tyjae Spears RB41.877.4%
7Calvin Ridley WR31.757.3%
8Daniel Bellinger TE41.254.7%
9Chimere Dike WR40.832.5%

Game log · 37 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 1.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044@ BAL2Over1.534 (53%)
2026-09-273@ NYG4Over1.532 (53%)
2026-09-202vs PHI1Under1.529 (55%)
2026-09-131vs NYJ1Under1.526 (52%)
2026-01-0418@ JAX3Over2.534 (63%)
2025-12-2817vs NO2Over1.537 (50%)
2025-12-2116vs KC0Under1.540 (55%)
2025-12-1415@ SF1Under1.528 (53%)
2025-12-0714@ CLE0Under0.539 (59%)
2025-11-3013vs JAX1Under0.527 (46%)
2025-11-2312vs SEA4Over1.539 (51%)
2025-11-1611vs HOU3Over1.529 (49%)
2025-11-029vs LAC1Under0.529 (62%)
2025-10-268@ IND1Under0.533 (46%)
2025-10-197vs NE6Over1.530 (57%)
2025-10-126@ LV2Over1.526 (43%)
2025-10-055@ ARI3Over1.549 (73%)
2025-09-284@ HOU3Over3.543 (86%)
2025-09-213vs IND2Over2.564 (91%)
2025-09-142vs LA0Under2.559 (89%)
2025-09-071@ DEN1Under2.551 (89%)
2025-01-0518vs HOU0Under—45 (73%)
2024-12-2216@ IND2Over—24 (39%)
2024-12-1515vs CIN0Under—31 (44%)
2024-12-0814vs JAX2Over—40 (63%)
2024-12-0113@ WAS4Over—40 (73%)
2024-11-2412@ HOU3Over—63 (94%)
2024-11-1711vs MIN2Over—37 (63%)
2024-11-1010@ LAC4Over—29 (54%)
2024-11-039vs NE3Over—66 (86%)
2024-10-278@ DET3Over—62 (82%)
2024-10-207@ BUF2Over—65 (89%)
2024-10-136vs IND3Over—43 (74%)
2024-09-304@ MIA2Over—39 (60%)
2024-09-223vs GB3Over—34 (63%)
2024-09-152vs NYJ5Over—44 (67%)
2024-09-081@ CHI3Over—39 (61%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 1.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.