NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Brock Bowers TE

LV vs NE ·

6.5 Receptions O -131U +102
Hit rate · All 36%11/31 Odds imply 53.4% Over
Season avg
8.0
Graph avg
6.2
Graph median
5.01–13
Over the close
29%4/14
2026 per game
Targets12.0â–²+4.8
Rec8.0â–²+2.7
Rec Yds101.0â–²+44.3
Rec TD1.0â–²+0.4
Snaps62.0â–²+11.6
Snap %80.5%â–¼-5.4
Brock Bowers receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 6.5.
  1. 2024
    6
  2. 9
  3. 3
  4. 2
  5. 8
  6. 9
  7. 10
  8. 5
  9. 5
  10. 13
  11. 4
  12. 10
  13. 3
  14. 3
  15. 11
  16. 7
  17. 4
  18. 2025
    5
  19. 5
  20. 4
  21. 5
  22. 12
  23. 1
  24. 7
  25. 6
  26. 4
  27. 4
  28. 6
  29. 5
  30. 2026
    10
  31. 6
  32. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 6.5

  • Home 27% 4/15 · avg 5.7
  • Away 44% 7/16 · avg 6.6
  • vs NE 0% 0/1 · avg 5.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 4.5 68% 21/31
  • O 5.5 48% 15/31
  • O 6.5 Today 36% 11/31
  • O 7.5 29% 9/31
  • O 8.5 26% 8/31

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs NE

What NE allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds35.2#30
  • Receptions3.9#29
  • Targets5.5#29
  • Yds/Target6.4#22
  • Rec TD0.1#31

TEs vs NE · 2026

Each main TE who faced NE this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-1.0
Avg diff %-23%
Beat their average25% (1/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Dalton Kincaid14.7-79%
Sep 27 Brenton Strange33.7-18%
Sep 20 Pat Freiermuth43.3+20%
Sep 09 AJ Barner22.3-14%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LV offense

LV offense: Share of LV pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%13.4 yds3%5.3 yds6%8.0 yds
Short28%6.1 yds19%6.3 yds36%5.6 yds

Share of LV pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NE defense

NE defense: Throws NE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%4.0 yds#324%10.5 yds#285%9.4 yds#24
Short31%5.3 yds#2417%7.0 yds#1637%4.2 yds#32

Throws NE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep4%6.7 yds1%0.0 yds5%15.5 yds
Short34%7.4 yds24%8.3 yds32%7.5 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · LV 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of LV targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Brock Bowers TE212.02433.1%
2Ashton Jeanty RB46.02417.9%
3Michael Mayer TE46.02417.2%
4Tre Tucker WR45.82317.0%
5Jalen Nailor WR33.71112.5%
6Jack Bech WR23.0610.3%
7Cody White WR42.5107.2%
8Ian Thomas TE21.533.8%
9Malik Benson WR41.043.4%
10Dareke Young WR40.831.9%

Game log · 31 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 6.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs KC6Under6.569 (82%)
2026-09-273@ NO10Over4.555 (79%)
2025-12-2116@ HOU5Under5.553 (98%)
2025-12-1415@ PHI6Under4.538 (90%)
2025-12-0714vs DEN4Under5.550 (100%)
2025-11-3013@ LAC4Under4.547 (98%)
2025-11-2312vs CLE6Under2.576 (96%)
2025-11-1711vs DAL7Over7.558 (97%)
2025-11-0610@ DEN1Under1.550 (83%)
2025-11-029vs JAX12Over6.552 (81%)
2025-09-284vs CHI5Under5.540 (77%)
2025-09-213@ WAS4Under4.555 (83%)
2025-09-152vs LAC5Under5.554 (77%)
2025-09-071@ NE5Under6.532 (51%)
2025-01-0518vs LAC4Under—48 (94%)
2024-12-2917@ NO7Over—70 (91%)
2024-12-2216vs JAX11Over—70 (95%)
2024-12-1615vs ATL3Under—63 (94%)
2024-12-0814@ TB3Under—57 (85%)
2024-11-2913@ KC10Over—61 (90%)
2024-11-2412vs DEN4Under—72 (94%)
2024-11-1711@ MIA13Over—62 (95%)
2024-11-039@ CIN5Under—55 (90%)
2024-10-278vs KC5Under—53 (91%)
2024-10-207@ LA10Over—66 (84%)
2024-10-136vs PIT9Over—50 (79%)
2024-10-065@ DEN8Over—55 (79%)
2024-09-294vs CLE2Under—48 (81%)
2024-09-223vs CAR3Under—42 (66%)
2024-09-152@ BAL9Over—43 (68%)
2024-09-081@ LAC6Under—41 (68%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 6.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 16m ago.