NFL Prop Research

TH

TreVeyon Henderson RB

NE vs LV · Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

1.5 Receptions

Hit rate · All 46%11/24 Odds imply —

Season avg

0.3

Graph avg

1.7

Graph median

1.00–6

Over the close

21%5/24

2026 per game

Carries12.7▲+2.7

Rush Yds47.0+0.0

Rush TD0.3▼-0.1

Targets1.0▼-1.3

Rec0.3▼-1.6

Rec Yds2.0▼-10.1

Snaps28.0▲+0.2

Snap %44.7%▲+1.6

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

• Home 62% 8/13 · avg 2.3
• Away 27% 3/11 · avg 1.0
• vs LV 100% 1/1 · avg 6.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

• O 0.5 71% 17/24
• O 1.5 Today 46% 11/24
• O 2.5 29% 7/24
• O 3.5 12% 3/24

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs LV

What LV allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rush Yds116.2#6
• Yds/Carry4.5#11
• Rush TD0.8#13
• Targets5.2#19
• Rec Yds24.7#27

RBs vs LV · 2026

Each main RB who faced LV this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-1.5

Avg diff %-12%

Beat their average25% (1/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	KC Kenneth Walker III	1	3.7	-73%
Sep 27	NO Alvin Kamara	1	5.0	-80%
Sep 20	LAC Keaton Mitchell	1	2.7	-62%
Sep 13	MIA De'Von Achane	4	1.5	+167%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NE offense

NE offense: Share of NE pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	12%10.4 yds	4%10.0 yds	11%11.9 yds
Short	30%6.1 yds	16%7.9 yds	28%6.1 yds

Share of NE pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LV defense

LV defense: Throws LV faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%15.4 yds#3	4%11.7 yds#27	6%5.0 yds#31
Short	34%5.7 yds#18	15%6.2 yds#22	32%5.2 yds#22

Throws LV faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	4%0.0 yds
Short	42%3.2 yds	23%5.3 yds	31%7.4 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · NE 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of NE targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Romeo Doubs WR	4	5.0	20	16.8%
2	Mack Hollins WR	4	5.0	20	16.7%
3	DeMario Douglas WR	4	4.2	17	14.3%
4	Hunter Henry TE	4	3.8	15	13.5%
5	Rhamondre Stevenson RB	4	4.0	16	13.2%
6	A.J. Brown WR	1	4.0	4	12.9%
7	Reggie Gilliam RB	1	2.0	2	9.5%
8	Efton Chism III WR	3	2.3	7	7.5%
9	Lan Larison RB	1	2.0	2	6.5%
10	Kyle Williams WR	4	1.8	7	6.3%

Game log · 24 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 1.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	@ BUF	0	Under	1.5	28 (37%)
2026-09-27	3	@ JAX	1	Under	1.5	23 (37%)
2026-09-20	2	vs PIT	0	Under	1.5	33 (60%)
2026-02-08	22 (P)	vs SEA	3	Over	0.5	28 (39%)
2026-01-25	21 (P)	@ DEN	0	Under	0.5	4 (6%)
2026-01-18	20 (P)	vs HOU	1	Under	1.5	25 (38%)
2026-01-11	19 (P)	vs LAC	1	Under	1.5	26 (41%)
2026-01-04	18	vs MIA	0	Under	1.5	24 (41%)
2025-12-28	17	@ NYJ	0	Under	2.5	34 (52%)
2025-12-21	16	@ BAL	1	Under	2.5	14 (19%)
2025-12-14	15	vs BUF	2	Over	2.5	25 (48%)
2025-12-01	13	vs NYG	3	Over	3.5	32 (49%)
2025-11-23	12	@ CIN	3	Over	3.5	46 (65%)
2025-11-13	11	vs NYJ	5	Over	4.5	59 (88%)
2025-11-09	10	@ TB	1	Under	1.5	51 (84%)
2025-11-02	9	vs ATL	4	Over	4.5	51 (75%)
2025-10-26	8	vs CLE	0	Under	1.5	14 (21%)
2025-10-19	7	@ TEN	0	Under	2.5	9 (14%)
2025-10-12	6	@ NO	1	Under	2.5	19 (30%)
2025-10-05	5	@ BUF	2	Over	2.5	30 (50%)
2025-09-28	4	vs CAR	2	Over	1.5	15 (31%)
2025-09-21	3	vs PIT	3	Over	2.5	34 (46%)
2025-09-14	2	@ MIA	2	Over	3.5	19 (32%)
2025-09-07	1	vs LV	6	Over	5.5	25 (35%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 1.5Underdog 1.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: PrizePicks, updated 10m ago.