Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players
Justin Jefferson WR
MIN vs NO ·
6.5 Receptions
O +105U -133
- Season avg
- 4.3
- Graph avg
- 5.4
- Graph median
- 5.52–10
- Over the close
- 32%6/19
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2024
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2025
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 6.5
- Home 44% 8/18 · avg 5.7
- Away 25% 5/20 · avg 5.1
- vs NO No games
Alt lines all · how often Over cleared
- O 4.5 63% 24/38
- O 5.5 50% 19/38
- O 6.5 Today 34% 13/38
- O 7.5 16% 6/38
- O 8.5 5% 2/38
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · WRs vs NO
What NO allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Rec Yds114.7#31
- Receptions9.4#31
- Targets16.1#27
- Yds/Target7.1#29
- Rec TD0.8#16
WRs vs NO · 2026
Each main WR who faced NO this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 05 |
Drake London | 5 | 5.0 | +0% |
| Oct 05 |
Olamide Zaccheaus | 0 | 1.3 | -100% |
| Sep 27 |
Tre Tucker | 4 | 3.7 | +9% |
| Sep 27 |
Jalen Nailor | 1 | 2.0 | -50% |
| Sep 20 |
Rashod Bateman | 7 | 1.3 | +425% |
| Sep 20 |
Chris Moore | 1 | 1.0 | +0% |
| Sep 13 |
Amon-Ra St. Brown | 10 | 7.0 | +43% |
| Sep 13 |
Jameson Williams | 4 | 4.0 | +0% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
MIN offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 10%14.4 yds | 2%11.2 yds | 8%6.9 yds |
| Short | 26%4.6 yds | 18%7.0 yds | 35%5.2 yds |
Share of MIN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
NO defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 9%7.7 yds#26 | 2%16.0 yds#15 | 7%12.2 yds#10 |
| Short | 33%6.3 yds#9 | 13%6.7 yds#17 | 37%4.6 yds#29 |
Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His targets
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 14%15.9 yds | 3%11.0 yds | 6%0.0 yds |
| Short | 23%2.2 yds | 22%9.8 yds | 32%6.9 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/target
Target share · MIN 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of MIN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Jefferson WR | 3 | 5.7 | 17 | 26.2% |
| 2 | T.J. Hockenson TE | 4 | 6.5 | 26 | 24.5% |
| 3 | Jordan Addison WR | 4 | 5.5 | 22 | 22.3% |
| 4 | Aaron Jones RB | 4 | 3.8 | 15 | 13.1% |
| 5 | Josh Oliver TE | 3 | 1.7 | 5 | 7.6% |
| 6 | Tai Felton WR | 2 | 1.5 | 3 | 5.5% |
| 7 | Jauan Jennings WR | 3 | 1.3 | 4 | 5.1% |
| 8 | DeeJay Dallas RB | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 3.2% |
| 9 | Gavin Bartholomew TE | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 3.0% |
| 10 | Myles Price WR | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 2.8% |
Game log · 38 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Receptions | vs 6.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | @ TB | 2 | Under | 5.5 | 7 (12%) |
| 2026-09-20 | 2 | @ CHI | 3 | Under | 6.5 | 52 (100%) |
| 2026-09-13 | 1 | vs GB | 8 | Over | 5.5 | 60 (92%) |
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | vs GB | 8 | Over | 5.5 | 51 (76%) |
| 2025-12-25 | 17 | vs DET | 4 | Under | 5.5 | 53 (98%) |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ NYG | 6 | Under | 4.5 | 58 (95%) |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | @ DAL | 2 | Under | 2.5 | 53 (96%) |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs WAS | 2 | Under | 2.5 | 51 (80%) |
| 2025-11-30 | 13 | @ SEA | 2 | Under | 5.5 | 50 (96%) |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | @ GB | 4 | Under | — | 44 (100%) |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | vs CHI | 5 | Under | 5.5 | 55 (100%) |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | vs BAL | 4 | Under | 5.5 | 65 (100%) |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | @ DET | 6 | Under | 6.5 | 59 (95%) |
| 2025-10-23 | 8 | @ LAC | 7 | Over | 8.5 | 43 (88%) |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | vs PHI | 5 | Under | 5.5 | 68 (99%) |
| 2025-10-05 | 5 | @ CLE | 7 | Over | 5.5 | 65 (100%) |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | @ PIT | 10 | Over | 9.5 | 76 (100%) |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | vs CIN | 5 | Under | 5.5 | 48 (80%) |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | vs ATL | 3 | Under | 2.5 | 47 (100%) |
| 2025-09-08 | 1 | @ CHI | 4 | Under | 4.5 | 55 (98%) |
| 2025-01-13 | 19 (P) | @ LA | 5 | Under | — | 68 (92%) |
| 2025-01-05 | 18 | @ DET | 3 | Under | — | 64 (98%) |
| 2024-12-29 | 17 | vs GB | 8 | Over | — | 68 (94%) |
| 2024-12-22 | 16 | @ SEA | 10 | Over | — | 64 (97%) |
| 2024-12-16 | 15 | vs CHI | 7 | Over | — | 68 (88%) |
| 2024-12-08 | 14 | vs ATL | 7 | Over | — | 57 (95%) |
| 2024-12-01 | 13 | vs ARI | 7 | Over | — | 51 (96%) |
| 2024-11-24 | 12 | @ CHI | 2 | Under | — | 70 (99%) |
| 2024-11-17 | 11 | @ TEN | 6 | Under | — | 72 (99%) |
| 2024-11-10 | 10 | @ JAX | 5 | Under | — | 78 (93%) |
| 2024-11-03 | 9 | vs IND | 7 | Over | — | 72 (99%) |
| 2024-10-24 | 8 | @ LA | 8 | Over | — | 50 (100%) |
| 2024-10-20 | 7 | vs DET | 7 | Over | — | 58 (97%) |
| 2024-10-06 | 5 | vs NYJ | 6 | Under | — | 69 (95%) |
| 2024-09-29 | 4 | @ GB | 6 | Under | — | 61 (90%) |
| 2024-09-22 | 3 | vs HOU | 6 | Under | — | 57 (90%) |
| 2024-09-15 | 2 | vs SF | 4 | Under | — | 38 (70%) |
| 2024-09-08 | 1 | @ NYG | 4 | Under | — | 46 (84%) |
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 13m ago.