NFL Prop Research

OGI

Oronde Gadsden II TE

LAC vs DEN · Sun Oct 11 · 4:05 PM ET

3.5 Receptions

Hit rate · Last 20 35%7/20 Odds imply —

Season avg

2.2

Graph avg

3.0

Graph median

2.50–7

Over the close

41%7/17

2026 per game

Targets3.8▼-0.8

Rec2.2▼-1.0

Rec Yds21.5▼-21.9

Rec TD0.2▲+0.1

Snaps29.5▼-11.4

Snap %43.5%▼-18.0

Splits all logged games · over 3.5

• Home 30% 3/10 · avg 3.0
• Away 40% 4/10 · avg 3.1
• vs DEN 50% 1/2 · avg 3.5

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

• O 1.5 75% 15/20
• O 2.5 50% 10/20
• O 3.5 Today 35% 7/20
• O 4.5 30% 6/20
• O 5.5 10% 2/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs DEN

What DEN allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rec Yds58.3#13
• Receptions5.7#12
• Targets8.0#11
• Yds/Target7.3#16
• Rec TD0.4#15

TEs vs DEN · 2026

Each main TE who faced DEN this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.3

Avg diff %+12%

Beat their average25% (1/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	SF George Kittle	4	4.0	+0%
Sep 27	LA Tyler Higbee	8	3.5	+129%
Sep 20	JAX Brenton Strange	2	4.0	-50%
Sep 14	KC Travis Kelce	3	4.3	-31%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LAC offense

LAC offense: Share of LAC pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%12.9 yds	2%13.6 yds	9%6.5 yds
Short	29%6.6 yds	14%5.4 yds	37%4.8 yds

Share of LAC pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

DEN defense

DEN defense: Throws DEN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%4.4 yds#31	4%8.4 yds#32	8%7.7 yds#28
Short	29%7.6 yds#2	13%6.6 yds#18	36%5.1 yds#23

Throws DEN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%12.5 yds	3%27.0 yds	6%0.0 yds
Short	28%8.1 yds	17%7.0 yds	42%4.7 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · LAC 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of LAC targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Tre Harris WR	4	5.2	21	17.8%
2	Quentin Johnston WR	4	4.8	19	16.5%
3	David Njoku TE	2	4.0	8	15.0%
4	Ladd McConkey WR	4	4.2	17	14.8%
5	Oronde Gadsden II TE	4	3.8	15	12.5%
6	Brenen Thompson WR	1	3.0	3	11.5%
7	Keaton Mitchell RB	4	2.5	10	8.1%
8	Kimani Vidal RB	3	2.0	6	6.3%
9	Charlie Kolar TE	2	1.5	3	5.8%
10	Omarion Hampton RB	4	1.2	5	4.3%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 3.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	@ SEA	5	Over	2.5	39 (55%)
2026-09-27	3	@ BUF	0	Under	3.5	39 (57%)
2026-09-20	2	vs LV	2	Under	1.5	30 (44%)
2026-09-13	1	vs ARI	2	Under	—	10 (18%)
2026-01-11	19 (P)	@ NE	3	Under	1.5	27 (45%)
2026-01-04	18	@ DEN	2	Under	—	33 (46%)
2025-12-27	17	vs HOU	3	Under	2.5	46 (73%)
2025-12-21	16	@ DAL	1	Under	1.5	38 (59%)
2025-12-14	15	@ KC	4	Over	2.5	34 (52%)
2025-12-08	14	vs PHI	1	Under	1.5	46 (62%)
2025-11-30	13	vs LV	1	Under	1.5	47 (70%)
2025-11-16	11	@ JAX	2	Under	1.5	42 (88%)
2025-11-09	10	vs PIT	3	Under	4.5	38 (52%)
2025-11-02	9	@ TEN	5	Over	5.5	52 (80%)
2025-10-23	8	vs MIN	5	Over	5.5	56 (77%)
2025-10-19	7	vs IND	7	Over	7.5	60 (79%)
2025-10-12	6	@ MIA	7	Over	2.5	47 (73%)
2025-10-05	5	vs WAS	1	Under	1.5	36 (54%)
2025-09-28	4	@ NYG	2	Under	2.5	30 (48%)
2025-09-21	3	vs DEN	5	Over	—	22 (26%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 3.5Underdog 3.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: PrizePicks, updated 11m ago.