Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 170 players
Aaron Jones Sr. RB
MIN vs NO ·
2.5 Receptions
O -151U +118
- Season avg
- 2.2
- Graph avg
- 2.4
- Graph median
- 3.00–5
- Over the close
- 40%2/5
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2025
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2026
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-
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 2.5
- Home 62% 10/16 · avg 2.6
- Away 56% 10/18 · avg 2.7
- vs NO No games
Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared
- O 0.5 60% 3/5
- O 1.5 60% 3/5
- O 2.5 Today 60% 3/5
- O 3.5 40% 2/5
- O 4.5 20% 1/5
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · RBs vs NO
What NO allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Rush Yds113.1#7
- Yds/Carry4.4#16
- Rush TD1.2#3
- Targets4.1#31
- Rec Yds24.1#28
RBs vs NO · 2026
Each main RB who faced NO this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 05 |
Bijan Robinson | 1 | 4.3 | -77% |
| Sep 27 |
Ashton Jeanty | 3 | 5.3 | -44% |
| Sep 20 |
Derrick Henry | 3 | 1.3 | +125% |
| Sep 13 |
Jahmyr Gibbs | 5 | 5.7 | -12% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
MIN offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 10%14.4 yds | 2%11.2 yds | 8%6.9 yds |
| Short | 26%4.6 yds | 18%7.0 yds | 35%5.2 yds |
Share of MIN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
NO defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 9%7.7 yds#26 | 2%16.0 yds#15 | 7%12.2 yds#10 |
| Short | 33%6.3 yds#9 | 13%6.7 yds#17 | 37%4.6 yds#29 |
Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His targets
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Short | 22%3.9 yds | 20%4.5 yds | 58%4.1 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/target
Target share · MIN 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of MIN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Jefferson WR | 3 | 5.7 | 17 | 26.2% |
| 2 | T.J. Hockenson TE | 4 | 6.5 | 26 | 24.5% |
| 3 | Jordan Addison WR | 4 | 5.5 | 22 | 22.3% |
| 4 | Aaron Jones RB | 4 | 3.8 | 15 | 13.1% |
| 5 | Josh Oliver TE | 3 | 1.7 | 5 | 7.6% |
| 6 | Tai Felton WR | 2 | 1.5 | 3 | 5.5% |
| 7 | Jauan Jennings WR | 3 | 1.3 | 4 | 5.1% |
| 8 | DeeJay Dallas RB | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 3.2% |
| 9 | Gavin Bartholomew TE | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 3.0% |
| 10 | Myles Price WR | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 2.8% |
Game log · 5 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Receptions | vs 2.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 4 | vs MIA | 4 | Over | 3.5 | 57 (73%) |
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | @ TB | 5 | Over | 1.5 | 47 (80%) |
| 2026-09-20 | 2 | @ CHI | 0 | Under | 2.5 | 42 (81%) |
| 2026-09-13 | 1 | vs GB | 0 | Under | 2.5 | 30 (46%) |
| 2025-12-25 | 17 | vs DET | 3 | Over | 3.5 | 35 (65%) |
Pick’em lines: Underdog 2.5PrizePicks 3
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.