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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Aaron Jones Sr. RB

MIN vs NO ·

2.5 Receptions O -151U +118
Hit rate · Last 10 60%6/10 Odds imply 56.7% Over
Season avg
2.2
Graph avg
2.4
Graph median
3.00–5
Over the close
33%3/9
2026 per game
Carries18.0â–²+7.0
Rush Yds74.2â–²+28.6
Rush TD0.2â–²+0.1
Targets3.8â–²+0.3
Rec2.2â–¼-0.1
Rec Yds17.0â–²+0.4
Snaps44.0â–²+13.5
Snap %70.0%â–²+14.9
Aaron Jones Sr. receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 2.5.
  1. 2025
    3
  2. 4
  3. 0
  4. 3
  5. 2
  6. 3
  7. 2026
    0
  8. 0
  9. 5
  10. 4
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

  • Home 62% 10/16 · avg 2.6
  • Away 56% 10/18 · avg 2.7
  • vs NO No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 70% 7/10
  • O 1.5 70% 7/10
  • O 2.5 Today 60% 6/10
  • O 3.5 30% 3/10
  • O 4.5 10% 1/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs NO

What NO allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush YdsYds/CarryRush TDTargetsRec Yds
  • Rush Yds113.1#7
  • Yds/Carry4.4#16
  • Rush TD1.2#3
  • Targets4.1#31
  • Rec Yds24.1#28

RBs vs NO · 2026

Each main RB who faced NO this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-1.2
Avg diff %-2%
Beat their average25% (1/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 05 Bijan Robinson14.3-77%
Sep 27 Ashton Jeanty35.3-44%
Sep 20 Derrick Henry31.3+125%
Sep 13 Jahmyr Gibbs55.7-12%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

MIN offense

MIN offense: Share of MIN pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep10%14.4 yds2%11.2 yds8%6.9 yds
Short26%4.6 yds18%7.0 yds35%5.2 yds

Share of MIN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NO defense

NO defense: Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%7.7 yds#262%16.0 yds#157%12.2 yds#10
Short33%6.3 yds#913%6.7 yds#1737%4.6 yds#29

Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep0% 0% 0% 
Short22%3.9 yds20%4.5 yds58%4.1 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · MIN 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of MIN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Justin Jefferson WR35.71726.2%
2T.J. Hockenson TE46.52624.5%
3Jordan Addison WR45.52222.3%
4Aaron Jones RB43.81513.1%
5Josh Oliver TE31.757.6%
6Tai Felton WR21.535.5%
7Jauan Jennings WR31.345.1%
8DeeJay Dallas RB40.833.2%
9Gavin Bartholomew TE11.013.0%
10Myles Price WR40.832.8%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 2.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs MIA4Over3.557 (73%)
2026-09-273@ TB5Over1.547 (80%)
2026-09-202@ CHI0Under2.542 (81%)
2026-09-131vs GB0Under2.530 (46%)
2025-12-2517vs DET3Over3.535 (65%)
2025-12-2116@ NYG2Under2.539 (64%)
2025-12-1415@ DAL3Over3.532 (58%)
2025-12-0714vs WAS0Under0.529 (45%)
2025-11-3013@ SEA4Over2.519 (37%)
2025-11-2312@ GB3Over—29 (66%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 2.5PrizePicks 3

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.