NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Rhamondre Stevenson RB

NE vs NYJ · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

19.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 20 50%10/20 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 22.2
Graph avg: 22.2
Graph median: 18.50–75
Over the close: 60%12/20

2026 per game

Carries11.4▲+1.0

Rush Yds45.4▼-0.2

Rush TD0.4+0.0

Targets3.8▲+0.9

Rec3.0▲+0.6

Rec Yds22.2▼-4.0

Snaps43.2▲+3.3

Snap %62.0%▲+0.2

19.5

2025

3

Sep 28
13

Oct 05
0

Oct 12
0

Oct 19
15

Oct 26
5

Nov 23
40

Dec 01
27

Dec 14
27

Dec 21
55

Dec 28
22

Jan 04
75

Jan 11
11

Jan 18
0

Jan 25
40

Feb 08
2026

44

Sep 09
3

Sep 20
16

Sep 27
27

Oct 04
21

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 19.5

Home 44% 8/18 · avg 20.7
Away 30% 6/20 · avg 18.9
vs NYJ 33% 1/3 · avg 24.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 9.5 70% 14/20
O 14.5 60% 12/20
O 19.5 Today 50% 10/20
O 24.5 40% 8/20
O 29.5 25% 5/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs NYJ

What NYJ allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush Yds113.9#4
Yds/Carry4.5#8
Rush TD0.9#8
Targets5.3#17
Rec Yds38.6#5

RBs vs NYJ · 2026

Each main RB who faced NYJ this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-2.9

Avg diff %-26%

Beat their average20% (1/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Quinshon Judkins	6	24.0	-75%
Oct 04	D'Andre Swift	16	24.5	-35%
Sep 27	Jahmyr Gibbs	65	44.5	+46%
Sep 20	MarShawn Lloyd	6	12.2	-51%
Sep 13	Tyjae Spears	12	14.0	-14%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NE offense

NE offense: Share of NE pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	13%10.4 yds	3%10.5 yds	11%13.6 yds
Short	31%5.8 yds	15%7.4 yds	27%6.1 yds

Share of NE pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NYJ defense

NYJ defense: Throws NYJ faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%10.0 yds#17	4%14.6 yds#18	8%13.0 yds#8
Short	32%5.6 yds#20	20%6.9 yds#16	28%6.2 yds#5

Throws NYJ faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	3%0.0 yds	0%	0%
Short	53%6.5 yds	8%21.0 yds	36%5.6 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of NE targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Mack Hollins WR	4	5.0	20	16.7%
2	Romeo Doubs WR	5	4.6	23	15.3%
3	DeMario Douglas WR	5	4.4	22	14.6%
4	Hunter Henry TE	5	3.8	19	13.4%
5	A.J. Brown WR	1	4.0	4	12.9%
6	Rhamondre Stevenson RB	5	3.8	19	12.5%
7	Efton Chism III WR	4	3.2	13	10.5%
8	Reggie Gilliam RB	1	2.0	2	9.5%
9	Eli Raridon TE	4	2.2	9	7.4%
10	Kyle Williams WR	5	2.0	10	7.0%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 19.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs LV	21	Over	15.5	53 (71%)
2026-10-04	4	@ BUF	27	Over	17.5	50 (66%)
2026-09-27	3	@ JAX	16	Under	14.5	33 (52%)
2026-09-20	2	vs PIT	3	Under	19.5	20 (36%)
2026-09-09	1	@ SEA	44	Over	24.5	60 (85%)
2026-02-08	22 (P)	vs SEA	40	Over	24.5	45 (63%)
2026-01-25	21 (P)	@ DEN	0	Under	18.5	60 (94%)
2026-01-18	20 (P)	vs HOU	11	Under	20.5	40 (62%)
2026-01-11	19 (P)	vs LAC	75	Over	75.5	40 (62%)
2026-01-04	18	vs MIA	22	Over	6.5	28 (47%)
2025-12-28	17	@ NYJ	55	Over	10.5	32 (48%)
2025-12-21	16	@ BAL	27	Over	26.5	62 (84%)
2025-12-14	15	vs BUF	27	Over	11.5	35 (67%)
2025-12-01	13	vs NYG	40	Over	7.5	38 (58%)
2025-11-23	12	@ CIN	5	Under	8.5	22 (31%)
2025-10-26	8	vs CLE	15	Under	10.5	50 (74%)
2025-10-19	7	@ TEN	0	Under	11.5	49 (75%)
2025-10-12	6	@ NO	0	Under	14.5	46 (72%)
2025-10-05	5	@ BUF	13	Under	15.5	31 (52%)
2025-09-28	4	vs CAR	3	Under	0.5	28 (57%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 14.5PrizePicks 19.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 3m ago.