NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Rome Odunze WR

CHI vs ATL · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

40.5 Rec Yds O -120U -110

Hit rate · Last 20 65%13/20 Odds imply 51.0% Over

Season avg: 54.6
Graph avg: 52.0
Graph median: 44.00–128
Over the close: 53%10/19

2026 per game

Targets5.8▼-1.5

Rec3.4-0.0

Rec Yds54.6▲+1.1

Rec TD0.0▼-0.4

Snaps62.0▲+1.4

Snap %81.0%▼-4.9

40.5

2024

18

Jan 05
2025

37

Sep 08
128

Sep 14
62

Sep 21
69

Sep 28
32

Oct 13
31

Oct 19
114

Oct 26
0

Nov 02
86

Nov 09
41

Nov 16
53

Nov 23
8

Nov 28
44

Jan 10
44

Jan 18
2026

52

Sep 13
43

Sep 20
44

Sep 28
94

Oct 04
40

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 40.5

Home 53% 10/19 · avg 45.2
Away 53% 9/17 · avg 52.8
vs ATL No games

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 30.5 85% 17/20
O 35.5 75% 15/20
O 40.5 Today 65% 13/20
O 45.5 40% 8/20
O 50.5 40% 8/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs ATL

What ATL allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds169.4#6
Receptions13.1#5
Targets21.6#1
Yds/Target7.8#19
Rec TD1.1#6

WRs vs ATL · 2026

Each main WR who faced ATL this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-2.9

Avg diff %-1%

Beat their average60% (6/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Zay Flowers	53	117.3	-55%
Oct 11	Rashod Bateman	62	42.8	+45%
Oct 05	Chris Olave	116	105.2	+10%
Oct 05	Devaughn Vele	54	49.5	+9%
Sep 24	Christian Watson	96	94.5	+2%
Sep 24	Matthew Golden	100	74.2	+35%
Sep 20	Tetairoa McMillan	101	94.7	+7%
Sep 20	Jalen Coker	66	78.0	-15%
Sep 13	DK Metcalf	40	46.2	-14%
Sep 13	Roman Wilson	26	40.5	-36%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CHI offense

CHI offense: Share of CHI pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%13.8 yds	6%12.2 yds	8%6.7 yds
Short	22%5.8 yds	24%6.7 yds	32%5.6 yds

Share of CHI pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

ATL defense

ATL defense: Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	11%8.8 yds#23	2%18.7 yds#8	10%11.2 yds#15
Short	32%6.2 yds#9	15%5.8 yds#26	30%4.8 yds#26

Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	13%10.5 yds	10%18.3 yds	21%8.2 yds
Short	10%6.5 yds	18%9.2 yds	29%1.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of CHI targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Luther Burden III WR	5	7.0	35	21.9%
2	Kalif Raymond WR	5	5.4	27	17.7%
3	Rome Odunze WR	5	5.8	29	17.5%
4	Colston Loveland TE	5	4.6	23	14.2%
5	D'Andre Swift RB	5	3.2	16	9.7%
6	Roschon Johnson RB	3	2.7	8	6.9%
7	Cole Kmet TE	5	1.8	9	5.9%
8	Kyle Monangai RB	4	1.2	5	4.4%
9	Sam Roush TE	4	1.2	5	4.0%
10	Jahdae Walker WR	2	1.0	2	3.2%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 40.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	@ GB	40	Under	39.5	68 (99%)
2026-10-04	4	vs NYJ	94	Over	32.5	83 (89%)
2026-09-28	3	vs PHI	44	Over	26.5	61 (85%)
2026-09-20	2	vs MIN	43	Over	39.5	62 (84%)
2026-09-13	1	@ CAR	52	Over	39.5	36 (48%)
2026-01-18	20 (P)	vs LA	44	Over	34.5	62 (77%)
2026-01-10	19 (P)	vs GB	44	Over	44.5	54 (69%)
2025-11-28	13	@ PHI	8	Under	8.5	70 (80%)
2025-11-23	12	vs PIT	53	Over	55.5	51 (78%)
2025-11-16	11	@ MIN	41	Over	45.5	57 (76%)
2025-11-09	10	vs NYG	86	Over	53.5	53 (78%)
2025-11-02	9	@ CIN	0	Under	63.5	80 (100%)
2025-10-26	8	@ BAL	114	Over	55.5	59 (94%)
2025-10-19	7	vs NO	31	Under	35.5	65 (94%)
2025-10-13	6	@ WAS	32	Under	40.5	62 (97%)
2025-09-28	4	@ LV	69	Over	65.5	52 (76%)
2025-09-21	3	vs DAL	62	Over	62.5	53 (90%)
2025-09-14	2	@ DET	128	Over	140.5	68 (100%)
2025-09-08	1	vs MIN	37	Under	30.5	63 (94%)
2025-01-05	18	@ GB	18	Under	—	55 (89%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 41.5Underdog 49.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: ESPN BET, updated 13m ago.