NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Rashod Bateman WR

BAL vs CLE · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

19.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · All 67%24/36 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 46.6
Graph avg: 36.2
Graph median: 28.00–121
Over the close: 28%5/18

2026 per game

Targets4.2▲+1.3

Rec3.2▲+1.7

Rec Yds46.6▲+29.4

Rec TD0.2+0.0

Snaps50.8▲+8.5

Snap %77.2%▲+7.9

19.5

2024

53

Sep 05
40

Sep 15
28

Sep 22
23

Sep 29
58

Oct 06
71

Oct 13
121

Oct 21
28

Oct 27
25

Nov 03
54

Nov 07
30

Nov 17
43

Nov 25
80

Dec 15
14

Dec 21
12

Dec 25
76

Jan 04
24

Jan 11
66

Jan 19
2025

10

Sep 07
15

Sep 14
63

Sep 22
24

Sep 28
0

Oct 05
8

Oct 12
51

Oct 26
13

Oct 30
10

Nov 09
0

Nov 27
23

Dec 07
0

Dec 21
7

Dec 27
2026

0

Sep 13
88

Sep 20
37

Sep 27
46

Oct 04
62

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 19.5

Home 67% 12/18 · avg 34.5
Away 67% 12/18 · avg 37.9
vs CLE 67% 2/3 · avg 39.7

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 9.5 83% 30/36
O 14.5 69% 25/36
O 19.5 Today 67% 24/36
O 24.5 56% 20/36
O 29.5 47% 17/36

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs CLE

What CLE allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds132.4#20
Receptions10.2#24
Targets17.6#16
Yds/Target7.5#24
Rec TD1.3#2

WRs vs CLE · 2026

Each main WR who faced CLE this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-24.4

Avg diff %-36%

Beat their average20% (2/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Garrett Wilson	104	67.5	+54%
Oct 11	Isaiah Williams	16	33.8	-53%
Oct 01	Germie Bernard	11	43.0	-74%
Oct 01	Michael Pittman	15	37.0	-59%
Sep 27	Tetairoa McMillan	17	122.7	-86%
Sep 27	Jalen Coker	18	102.0	-82%
Sep 20	Emeka Egbuka	16	44.0	-64%
Sep 20	Ted Hurst III	27	33.7	-20%
Sep 13	Parker Washington	83	67.2	+23%
Sep 13	Jakobi Meyers	40	40.5	-1%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

BAL offense

BAL offense: Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%19.9 yds	3%14.1 yds	7%14.9 yds
Short	27%6.6 yds	24%9.8 yds	31%5.3 yds

Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

CLE defense

CLE defense: Throws CLE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%7.8 yds#26	5%16.4 yds#13	7%6.2 yds#30
Short	30%4.7 yds#31	14%7.0 yds#15	37%6.1 yds#8

Throws CLE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	17%9.8 yds	3%22.0 yds	17%11.2 yds
Short	30%8.8 yds	10%9.7 yds	23%5.4 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of BAL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Zay Flowers WR	4	7.8	31	29.6%
2	Mark Andrews TE	5	6.0	30	22.8%
3	Rashod Bateman WR	5	4.2	21	15.3%
4	Ja'Kobi Lane WR	1	3.0	3	12.5%
5	Chris Moore WR	3	2.0	6	7.9%
6	Matthew Hibner TE	3	1.7	5	7.0%
7	Justice Hill RB	5	2.0	10	6.9%
8	Elijah Sarratt WR	1	2.0	2	6.9%
9	Derrick Henry RB	5	1.8	9	6.6%
10	Devontez Walker WR	4	1.8	7	6.3%

Game log · 36 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 19.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	@ ATL	62	Over	17.5	61 (80%)
2026-10-04	4	vs TEN	46	Over	26.5	30 (47%)
2026-09-27	3	@ DAL	37	Over	39.5	56 (88%)
2026-09-20	2	vs NO	88	Over	39.5	54 (93%)
2026-09-13	1	@ IND	0	Under	26.5	53 (78%)
2025-12-27	17	@ GB	7	Under	7.5	40 (53%)
2025-12-21	16	vs NE	0	Under	0.5	38 (69%)
2025-12-07	14	vs PIT	23	Over	23.5	69 (86%)
2025-11-27	13	vs CIN	0	Under	0.5	44 (73%)
2025-11-09	10	@ MIN	10	Under	10.5	43 (61%)
2025-10-30	9	@ MIA	13	Under	30.5	40 (71%)
2025-10-26	8	vs CHI	51	Over	17.5	49 (79%)
2025-10-12	6	vs LA	8	Under	10.5	44 (56%)
2025-10-05	5	vs HOU	0	Under	10.5	35 (81%)
2025-09-28	4	@ KC	24	Over	36.5	44 (80%)
2025-09-22	3	vs DET	63	Over	50.5	34 (60%)
2025-09-14	2	vs CLE	15	Under	15.5	33 (59%)
2025-09-07	1	@ BUF	10	Under	10.5	37 (73%)
2025-01-19	20 (P)	@ BUF	66	Over	—	37 (63%)
2025-01-11	19 (P)	vs PIT	24	Over	—	36 (49%)
2025-01-04	18	vs CLE	76	Over	—	50 (71%)
2024-12-25	17	@ HOU	12	Under	—	28 (44%)
2024-12-21	16	vs PIT	14	Under	—	50 (81%)
2024-12-15	15	@ NYG	80	Over	—	45 (76%)
2024-11-25	12	@ LAC	43	Over	—	37 (57%)
2024-11-17	11	@ PIT	30	Over	—	49 (80%)
2024-11-07	10	vs CIN	54	Over	—	49 (78%)
2024-11-03	9	vs DEN	25	Over	—	35 (61%)
2024-10-27	8	@ CLE	28	Over	—	57 (84%)
2024-10-21	7	@ TB	121	Over	—	45 (76%)
2024-10-13	6	vs WAS	71	Over	—	47 (69%)
2024-10-06	5	@ CIN	58	Over	—	49 (63%)
2024-09-29	4	vs BUF	23	Over	—	37 (65%)
2024-09-22	3	@ DAL	28	Over	—	39 (62%)
2024-09-15	2	vs LV	40	Over	—	53 (82%)
2024-09-05	1	@ KC	53	Over	—	67 (84%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 21.5Underdog 39.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 5m ago.