NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Noah Fant TE

NO vs NYG · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

10.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · All 81%25/31 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 18.2
Graph avg: 27.8
Graph median: 26.00–65
Over the close: 50%6/12

2026 per game

Targets3.2▲+0.1

Rec2.2▼-0.4

Rec Yds18.2▼-3.9

Rec TD0.8▲+0.5

Snaps34.8▲+8.1

Snap %52.2%▲+12.2

10.5

2024

11

Sep 08
14

Sep 15
60

Sep 22
26

Sep 30
24

Oct 06
63

Oct 10
65

Oct 20
22

Oct 27
26

Dec 01
18

Dec 08
15

Dec 15
50

Dec 22
43

Dec 26
63

Jan 05
2025

26

Sep 07
28

Sep 14
26

Sep 21
27

Oct 12
44

Oct 16
41

Oct 26
28

Nov 02
36

Nov 16
9

Nov 23
3

Nov 27
15

Dec 07
0

Dec 28
5

Jan 04
2026

33

Sep 13
0

Sep 20
33

Sep 27
7

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 10.5

Home 75% 12/16 · avg 27.5
Away 87% 13/15 · avg 28.1
vs NYG 100% 1/1 · avg 24.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 0.5 94% 29/31
O 5.5 87% 27/31
O 10.5 Today 81% 25/31
O 15.5 68% 21/31
O 20.5 64% 20/31

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs NYG

What NYG allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds54.4#14
Receptions5.5#13
Targets7.3#15
Yds/Target7.5#14
Rec TD0.2#25

TEs vs NYG · 2026

Each main TE who faced NYG this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-14.2

Avg diff %-50%

Beat their average20% (1/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	John Bates	1	11.0	-91%
Oct 04	Trey McBride	31	69.2	-55%
Sep 27	Gunnar Helm	14	11.5	+22%
Sep 21	Davis Allen	7	14.0	-50%
Sep 13	Jake Ferguson	6	24.0	-75%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NO offense

NO offense: Share of NO pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%7.6 yds	3%18.2 yds	7%13.7 yds
Short	32%5.7 yds	15%8.7 yds	33%5.5 yds

Share of NO pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NYG defense

NYG defense: Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%7.6 yds#27	2%21.6 yds#4	8%8.9 yds#26
Short	30%5.9 yds#15	15%8.2 yds#9	36%6.0 yds#9

Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	3%23.0 yds	0%
Short	31%1.9 yds	17%5.4 yds	48%7.3 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of NO targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Chris Olave WR	5	10.8	54	27.9%
2	Devaughn Vele WR	5	7.4	37	19.7%
3	Juwan Johnson TE	5	6.4	32	16.8%
4	Alvin Kamara RB	4	4.0	16	11.1%
5	Travis Etienne RB	3	4.3	13	9.5%
6	Bryce Lance WR	5	3.2	16	8.3%
7	Noah Fant TE	4	3.2	13	7.4%
8	Kendre Miller RB	4	1.5	6	3.5%
9	Kevin Austin Jr. WR	1	1.0	1	3.1%
10	CJ Donaldson RB	5	1.0	5	2.5%

Game log · 31 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 10.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs MIN	7	Under	13.5	30 (67%)
2026-09-27	3	vs LV	33	Over	11.5	42 (57%)
2026-09-20	2	@ BAL	0	Under	14.5	30 (44%)
2026-09-13	1	@ DET	33	Over	10.5	37 (41%)
2026-01-04	18	vs CLE	5	Under	—	15 (22%)
2025-12-28	17	vs ARI	0	Under	7.5	17 (22%)
2025-12-07	14	@ BUF	15	Over	10.5	25 (42%)
2025-11-27	13	@ BAL	3	Under	10.5	35 (42%)
2025-11-23	12	vs NE	9	Under	23.5	18 (28%)
2025-11-16	11	@ PIT	36	Over	30.5	32 (48%)
2025-11-02	9	vs CHI	28	Over	10.5	31 (46%)
2025-10-26	8	vs NYJ	41	Over	23.5	28 (47%)
2025-10-16	7	vs PIT	44	Over	44.5	52 (68%)
2025-10-12	6	@ GB	27	Over	—	32 (49%)
2025-09-21	3	@ MIN	26	Over	—	18 (32%)
2025-09-14	2	vs JAX	28	Over	—	17 (25%)
2025-09-07	1	@ CLE	26	Over	—	26 (50%)
2025-01-05	18	@ LA	63	Over	—	35 (64%)
2024-12-26	17	@ CHI	43	Over	—	29 (56%)
2024-12-22	16	vs MIN	50	Over	—	46 (72%)
2024-12-15	15	vs GB	15	Over	—	35 (59%)
2024-12-08	14	@ ARI	18	Over	—	38 (59%)
2024-12-01	13	@ NYJ	26	Over	—	43 (67%)
2024-10-27	8	vs BUF	22	Over	—	31 (61%)
2024-10-20	7	@ ATL	65	Over	—	32 (53%)
2024-10-10	6	vs SF	63	Over	—	54 (69%)
2024-10-06	5	vs NYG	24	Over	—	40 (69%)
2024-09-30	4	@ DET	26	Over	—	51 (57%)
2024-09-22	3	vs MIA	60	Over	—	28 (44%)
2024-09-15	2	@ NE	14	Over	—	57 (81%)
2024-09-08	1	vs DEN	11	Over	—	50 (75%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 10.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 8m ago.