NFL Prop Research

ID

Isaiah Davis RB

NYJ vs NE · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

2.5 Rec Yds

Hit rate · All 39%13/33 Odds imply —

Season avg

2.2

Graph avg

8.2

Graph median

0.0-1–52

Over the close

46%5/11

2026 per game

Carries0.5▼-2.2

Rush Yds2.0▼-12.8

Rush TD0.0▼-0.1

Targets0.5▼-1.2

Rec0.2▼-1.1

Rec Yds2.2▼-9.4

Snaps6.0▼-11.8

Snap %10.0%▼-18.0

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

• Home 35% 6/17 · avg 6.0
• Away 44% 7/16 · avg 10.5
• vs NE 25% 1/4 · avg 2.2

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

• O 2.5 Today 39% 13/33
• O 7.5 33% 11/33
• O 12.5 21% 7/33

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs NE

What NE allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rush Yds68.8#31
• Yds/Carry3.5#29
• Rush TD0.4#27
• Targets5.6#13
• Rec Yds31.8#17

RBs vs NE · 2026

Each main RB who faced NE this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-14.3

Avg diff %-37%

Beat their average40% (2/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	LV Ashton Jeanty	50	41.2	+21%
Oct 04	BUF Ty Johnson	9	61.0	-85%
Sep 27	JAX Bhayshul Tuten	17	15.2	+11%
Sep 20	PIT Jaylen Warren	34	49.0	-31%
Sep 09	SEA George Holani	0	15.2	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NYJ offense

NYJ offense: Share of NYJ pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%9.0 yds	2%21.2 yds	6%12.7 yds
Short	37%5.3 yds	10%4.5 yds	40%5.0 yds

Share of NYJ pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NE defense

NE defense: Throws NE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%6.6 yds#29	4%10.5 yds#31	4%10.0 yds#22
Short	32%5.2 yds#27	17%7.7 yds#12	36%4.4 yds#31

Throws NE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	52%5.2 yds	19%3.5 yds	29%12.0 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · NYJ 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of NYJ targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Garrett Wilson WR	5	8.4	42	30.1%
2	Adonai Mitchell WR	2	7.5	15	23.2%
3	Kenyon Sadiq TE	5	4.2	21	16.1%
4	Mason Taylor TE	2	3.0	6	11.7%
5	Isaiah Williams WR	5	2.8	14	10.7%
6	Breece Hall RB	3	3.3	10	10.3%
7	Tim Patrick WR	1	3.0	3	10.3%
8	Braelon Allen RB	5	2.2	11	8.5%
9	Jeremy Ruckert TE	3	2.7	8	7.9%
10	Sterling Shepard WR	2	1.0	2	4.7%

Game log · 33 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 2.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs CLE	9	Over	0.5	10 (14%)
2026-10-04	4	@ CHI	0	Under	9.5	2 (6%)
2026-09-27	3	@ DET	0	Under	—	—
2026-09-20	2	vs GB	0	Under	—	—
2025-12-28	17	vs NE	9	Over	5.5	8 (13%)
2025-12-21	16	@ NO	52	Over	—	24 (36%)
2025-12-14	15	@ JAX	7	Over	—	26 (38%)
2025-12-07	14	vs MIA	0	Under	—	14 (24%)
2025-11-30	13	vs ATL	0	Under	10.5	8 (12%)
2025-11-23	12	@ BAL	0	Under	13.5	17 (29%)
2025-11-13	11	@ NE	0	Under	10.5	16 (28%)
2025-11-09	10	vs CLE	1	Under	10.5	14 (29%)
2025-10-26	8	@ CIN	44	Over	35.5	33 (46%)
2025-10-19	7	vs CAR	22	Over	7.5	29 (48%)
2025-10-12	6	vs DEN	-1	Under	10.5	15 (26%)
2025-10-05	5	vs DAL	28	Over	8.5	33 (40%)
2025-09-29	4	@ MIA	18	Over	—	21 (33%)
2025-09-21	3	@ TB	0	Under	—	9 (13%)
2025-09-14	2	vs BUF	6	Over	—	10 (21%)
2025-09-07	1	vs PIT	0	Under	—	8 (12%)
2025-01-05	18	vs MIA	0	Under	—	8 (13%)
2024-12-29	17	@ BUF	8	Over	—	14 (22%)
2024-12-22	16	vs LA	0	Under	—	10 (14%)
2024-12-15	15	@ JAX	2	Under	—	24 (41%)
2024-12-08	14	@ MIA	27	Over	—	36 (53%)
2024-12-01	13	vs SEA	28	Over	—	12 (18%)
2024-11-17	11	vs IND	0	Under	—	—
2024-11-10	10	@ ARI	10	Over	—	2 (3%)
2024-10-27	8	@ NE	0	Under	—	—
2024-10-20	7	@ PIT	0	Under	—	1 (2%)
2024-10-14	6	vs BUF	0	Under	—	—
2024-10-06	5	@ MIN	0	Under	—	—
2024-09-19	3	vs NE	0	Under	—	3 (4%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 2.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: PrizePicks, updated 13m ago.