NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Malik Nabers WR

NYG vs NO · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

72.5 Rec Yds O -110U -114

Hit rate · Last 20 30%6/20 Odds imply 49.6% Over

Season avg: 65.8
Graph avg: 70.9
Graph median: 68.51–171
Over the close: 44%4/9

2026 per game

Targets9.2▲+0.4

Rec5.8▲+1.3

Rec Yds65.8▼-2.0

Rec TD0.4▼-0.1

Snaps52.0▼-2.0

Snap %74.0%▼-5.5

72.5

2024

41

Oct 20
71

Oct 28
59

Nov 03
50

Nov 10
64

Nov 24
69

Nov 28
79

Dec 08
82

Dec 15
68

Dec 22
171

Dec 29
64

Jan 05
2025

71

Sep 07
167

Sep 14
13

Sep 21
20

Sep 28
2026

69

Sep 13
1

Sep 21
26

Sep 27
112

Oct 04
121

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 72.5

Home 38% 5/13 · avg 70.5
Away 36% 4/11 · avg 80.6
vs NO 100% 1/1 · avg 79.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 52.5 70% 14/20
O 62.5 65% 13/20
O 72.5 Today 30% 6/20
O 82.5 20% 4/20
O 92.5 20% 4/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs NO

What NO allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds121.9#27
Receptions9.8#26
Targets16.4#26
Yds/Target7.4#26
Rec TD0.9#13

WRs vs NO · 2026

Each main WR who faced NO this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+3.8

Avg diff %+36%

Beat their average40% (4/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Justin Jefferson	79	59.7	+32%
Oct 11	Tai Felton	27	7.0	+286%
Oct 05	Drake London	96	98.0	-2%
Oct 05	Jahan Dotson	54	23.8	+127%
Sep 27	Tre Tucker	43	57.8	-26%
Sep 27	Cody White	4	26.0	-85%
Sep 20	Rashod Bateman	88	36.2	+143%
Sep 20	Chris Moore	6	28.5	-79%
Sep 13	Amon-Ra St. Brown	67	76.2	-12%
Sep 13	Jameson Williams	45	57.8	-22%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NYG offense

NYG offense: Share of NYG pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%9.2 yds	4%10.9 yds	8%6.3 yds
Short	33%5.8 yds	22%6.1 yds	26%5.5 yds

Share of NYG pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NO defense

NO defense: Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%9.7 yds#21	2%15.0 yds#16	8%11.9 yds#13
Short	32%6.6 yds#8	12%5.9 yds#25	38%4.6 yds#28

Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 9 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	14%12.9 yds	7%11.7 yds	15%7.2 yds
Short	32%5.4 yds	9%7.9 yds	24%5.5 yds

Last 9 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of NYG targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Isaiah Likely TE	5	9.6	48	29.8%
2	Malik Nabers WR	5	9.2	46	26.9%
3	Malachi Fields WR	5	3.4	17	11.3%
4	Darnell Mooney WR	5	3.4	17	10.2%
5	Devin Singletary RB	2	2.5	5	8.5%
6	Cam Skattebo RB	5	2.4	12	8.2%
7	Theo Johnson TE	4	2.2	9	6.3%
8	Patrick Ricard RB	2	1.5	3	5.2%
9	Odell Beckham Jr. WR	1	1.0	1	4.8%
10	Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB	5	0.6	3	1.2%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 72.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	@ WAS	121	Over	55.5	80 (90%)
2026-10-04	4	vs ARI	112	Over	54.5	51 (76%)
2026-09-27	3	vs TEN	26	Under	52.5	50 (78%)
2026-09-21	2	@ LA	1	Under	61.5	43 (74%)
2026-09-13	1	vs DAL	69	Under	55.5	36 (52%)
2025-09-28	4	vs LAC	20	Under	60.5	25 (33%)
2025-09-21	3	vs KC	13	Under	15.5	61 (92%)
2025-09-14	2	@ DAL	167	Over	73.5	66 (99%)
2025-09-07	1	@ WAS	71	Under	71.5	64 (94%)
2025-01-05	18	@ PHI	64	Under	—	37 (70%)
2024-12-29	17	vs IND	171	Over	—	47 (84%)
2024-12-22	16	@ ATL	68	Under	—	53 (90%)
2024-12-15	15	vs BAL	82	Over	—	64 (94%)
2024-12-08	14	vs NO	79	Over	—	73 (94%)
2024-11-28	13	@ DAL	69	Under	—	60 (95%)
2024-11-24	12	vs TB	64	Under	—	55 (93%)
2024-11-10	10	@ CAR	50	Under	—	66 (88%)
2024-11-03	9	vs WAS	59	Under	—	62 (95%)
2024-10-28	8	@ PIT	71	Under	—	71 (99%)
2024-10-20	7	vs PHI	41	Under	—	54 (93%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 69.5PrizePicks 72.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 13m ago.