NFL Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Jameson Williams WR

DET vs GB · Sun Oct 25 · 4:25 PM ET

49.5 Rec Yds

Hit rate · This season 20%1/5 Odds imply —

Season avg: 55.2
Graph avg: 55.2
Graph median: 47.033–102
Over the close: 20%1/5

2026 per game

Targets5.8▼-0.2

Rec3.6▼-0.2

Rec Yds55.2▼-10.5

Rec TD0.4-0.0

Snaps62.0▲+3.6

Snap %90.2%+0.0

49.5

2026

45

Sep 13
33

Sep 17
49

Sep 27
102

Oct 04
47

Oct 11
?

Oct 25

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 49.5

Home 53% 10/19 · avg 64.2
Away 58% 11/19 · avg 62.8
vs GB 67% 2/3 · avg 82.3

Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared

O 39.5 80% 4/5
O 44.5 80% 4/5
O 49.5 Today 20% 1/5
O 54.5 20% 1/5
O 59.5 20% 1/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs GB

What GB allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds134.7#21
Receptions12.2#9
Targets19.2#11
Yds/Target7.0#27
Rec TD0.9#13

WRs vs GB · 2026

Each main WR who faced GB this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-2.6

Avg diff %-7%

Beat their average33% (4/12)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 18	CeeDee Lamb	70	101.4	-31%
Oct 18	George Pickens	73	71.0	+3%
Oct 11	Luther Burden III	47	62.8	-25%
Oct 11	Rome Odunze	40	54.4	-26%
Oct 04	Emeka Egbuka	13	45.4	-71%
Oct 04	Chris Godwin Jr.	31	37.0	-16%
Sep 24	Drake London	194	71.2	+172%
Sep 24	Jahan Dotson	11	45.0	-76%
Sep 20	Garrett Wilson	57	72.2	-21%
Sep 20	Isaiah Williams	34	23.4	+45%
Sep 13	Justin Jefferson	92	55.3	+66%
Sep 13	Jordan Addison	0	54.3	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

DET offense

DET offense: Share of DET pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%15.4 yds	6%13.8 yds	6%14.0 yds
Short	30%5.1 yds	25%8.5 yds	29%6.0 yds

Share of DET pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

GB defense

GB defense: Throws GB faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%13.8 yds#6	4%10.1 yds#32	7%5.3 yds#29
Short	25%5.1 yds#26	21%6.0 yds#26	35%5.8 yds#11

Throws GB faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	13%8.4 yds	12%14.4 yds	15%18.8 yds
Short	24%6.7 yds	13%10.4 yds	24%6.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of DET targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Amon-Ra St. Brown WR	5	11.4	57	31.1%
2	Sam LaPorta TE	5	7.4	37	18.9%
3	Jahmyr Gibbs RB	5	6.8	34	18.8%
4	Jameson Williams WR	5	5.8	29	15.2%
5	Isaac TeSlaa WR	5	3.8	19	9.6%
6	Brock Wright TE	5	1.2	6	3.3%
7	Jackson Meeks WR	1	1.0	1	3.2%
8	Sione Vaki RB	5	1.0	5	2.5%

Game log · 5 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 49.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	@ ARI	47	Under	53.5	59 (89%)
2026-10-04	4	@ CAR	102	Over	51.5	70 (99%)
2026-09-27	3	vs NYJ	49	Under	54.5	53 (82%)
2026-09-17	2	@ BUF	33	Under	57.5	63 (97%)
2026-09-13	1	vs NO	45	Under	59.5	65 (84%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 49.5PrizePicks 54.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: Underdog, updated 14m ago.