NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

George Kittle TE

SF vs WAS · Mon Oct 19 · 8:15 PM ET

63.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 20 55%11/20 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 53.6
Graph avg: 57.4
Graph median: 67.00–115
Over the close: 35%6/17

2026 per game

Targets5.6▼-0.3

Rec4.2▼-0.6

Rec Yds53.6▲+0.8

Rec TD0.8▲+0.2

Snaps43.2▼-4.0

Snap %72.4%▼-3.9

63.5

2024

106

Dec 22
112

Dec 30
27

Jan 05
2025

25

Sep 07
0

Oct 19
43

Oct 26
32

Nov 02
84

Nov 09
67

Nov 16
78

Nov 24
67

Nov 30
88

Dec 14
115

Dec 22
29

Jan 03
6

Jan 11
2026

12

Sep 10
80

Sep 20
82

Sep 27
70

Oct 04
24

Oct 11
?

Oct 20

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 63.5

Home 69% 11/16 · avg 75.2
Away 38% 6/16 · avg 50.2
vs WAS No games

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 43.5 55% 11/20
O 53.5 55% 11/20
O 63.5 Today 55% 11/20
O 73.5 40% 8/20
O 83.5 25% 5/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs WAS

What WAS allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds65.9#6
Receptions5.6#12
Targets7.2#20
Yds/Target9.2#1
Rec TD1.3#1

TEs vs WAS · 2026

Each main TE who faced WAS this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+36.8

Avg diff %+190%

Beat their average80% (4/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Isaiah Likely	94	47.5	+98%
Oct 04	Tyler Warren	41	43.0	-5%
Sep 27	AJ Barner	69	13.8	+400%
Sep 20	Jake Ferguson	43	14.8	+192%
Sep 13	Dallas Goedert	77	21.0	+267%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

SF offense

SF offense: Share of SF pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%8.3 yds	5%29.4 yds	5%11.2 yds
Short	38%6.7 yds	20%6.6 yds	26%5.6 yds

Share of SF pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

WAS defense

WAS defense: Throws WAS faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%4.0 yds#31	4%18.8 yds#7	8%12.8 yds#10
Short	30%5.3 yds#24	16%8.9 yds#3	34%5.2 yds#22

Throws WAS faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%11.0 yds	5%30.7 yds	5%13.3 yds
Short	39%9.9 yds	19%8.8 yds	27%5.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of SF targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Mike Evans WR	5	6.8	34	24.5%
2	George Kittle TE	5	5.6	28	20.7%
3	Christian McCaffrey RB	5	5.0	25	18.0%
4	Deebo Samuel Sr. WR	5	4.0	20	14.3%
5	Demarcus Robinson WR	2	3.0	6	11.6%
6	Kyle Juszczyk FB	3	2.0	6	8.0%
7	Jordan Watkins WR	1	2.0	2	7.7%
8	Brandin Cooks WR	2	1.5	3	5.4%
9	Jacob Cowing WR	5	1.0	5	3.7%
10	Luke Farrell TE	5	0.8	4	2.7%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 63.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	@ SEA	24	Under	54.5	55 (92%)
2026-10-04	4	vs DEN	70	Over	64.5	60 (91%)
2026-09-27	3	vs ARI	82	Over	47.5	46 (85%)
2026-09-20	2	vs MIA	80	Over	39.5	25 (48%)
2026-09-10	1	@ LA	12	Under	33.5	30 (46%)
2026-01-11	19 (P)	@ PHI	6	Under	39.5	13 (22%)
2026-01-03	18	vs SEA	29	Under	61.5	40 (95%)
2025-12-22	16	@ IND	115	Over	66.5	41 (62%)
2025-12-14	15	vs TEN	88	Over	88.5	71 (96%)
2025-11-30	13	@ CLE	67	Over	67.5	58 (87%)
2025-11-24	12	vs CAR	78	Over	78.5	64 (91%)
2025-11-16	11	@ ARI	67	Over	53.5	48 (87%)
2025-11-09	10	vs LA	84	Over	80.5	57 (90%)
2025-11-02	9	@ NYG	32	Under	50.5	57 (86%)
2025-10-26	8	@ HOU	43	Under	55.5	43 (90%)
2025-10-19	7	vs ATL	0	Under	10.5	54 (81%)
2025-09-07	1	@ SEA	25	Under	63.5	21 (28%)
2025-01-05	18	@ ARI	27	Under	—	22 (29%)
2024-12-30	17	vs DET	112	Over	—	60 (94%)
2024-12-22	16	@ MIA	106	Over	—	63 (98%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 63.5Underdog 69.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 7m ago.